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Weather & Climate in Ash Flat, AR
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Ash Flat enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 58°F (15°C). Winters average 36°F in January while summers reach 79°F in July. The area gets 299 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 51.4 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 6.7 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 645 feet.
Temperature
36°F Jan (2°C)
79°F Jul (26°C)
| Annual Average | 58.4°F |
| 8% above US avg | |
| January Average | 36°F (2°C) |
| July Average | 79°F (26°C) |
| Sunny Days | 299 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 645 ft (197 m) |
| Area | 6.1 sq mi (15.9 km²) |
| Population Density | 205/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 36.2366°N, 91.6065°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Sharp County County |
| Nearest Airport | Sharp County Regional (CKK) 3 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 43.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 68.1 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 95.2 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 8.1 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Very High |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
315 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.7.
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.7 | 127 km | 3 km |
| May 4, 2001 | 8 km NNW of Holland, Arkansas | M4.3 | 127 km | 8 km |
| May 1, 2005 | 5 km SSE of Manila, Arkansas | M4.2 | 139 km | 10 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.1 | 128 km | 6 km |
| Feb 10, 2005 | 3 km NNW of Etowah, Arkansas | M4.1 | 133 km | 15 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 129 km | 5 km |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 128 km | 6 km |
| Oct 21, 1999 | 9 km NW of Maynard, Arkansas | M3.9 | 63 km | 10 km |
| Jul 7, 1991 | 11 km ENE of Brandsville, Missouri | M3.9 | 50 km | 8 km |
| Aug 22, 2000 | 19 km WNW of Maynard, Arkansas | M3.9 | 53 km | 10 km |
| Oct 29, 2012 | 8 km SW of Parkin, Arkansas | M3.9 | 145 km | 21 km |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.8 | 127 km | 6 km |
| Jun 4, 2014 | 3 km ESE of Fairfield Bay, Arkansas | M3.8 | 93 km | 0 km |
| Sep 17, 1997 | 2 km E of Trumann, Arkansas | M3.8 | 119 km | 0 km |
| Aug 16, 2003 | 5 km W of Thomasville, Missouri | M3.7 | 62 km | 0 km |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 7 km SW of Trumann, Arkansas | M3.7 | 116 km | 14 km |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.7 | 130 km | 6 km |
| Sep 12, 2019 | 13 km N of Big Flat, Arkansas | M3.7 | 73 km | 18 km |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 6 km SE of Manila, Arkansas | M3.6 | 141 km | 17 km |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.6 | 128 km | 4 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
425 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 95 fatalities, 1,202 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Apr 24, 2002 | EF4 | 100 km | 40.5 mi | 0 |
| Jan 21, 1999 | EF4 | 95 km | 16.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 14, 1996 | EF4 | 81 km | 44.0 mi | 7 |
| Mar 15, 1984 | EF4 | 92 km | 26.0 mi | 5 |
| Dec 24, 1982 | EF4 | 6 km | 63.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF4 | 66 km | 20.0 mi | 2 |
| May 15, 1968 | EF4 | 66 km | 0.3 mi | 7 |
| May 15, 1968 | EF4 | 68 km | 20.9 mi | 35 |
| May 21, 1957 | EF4 | 88 km | 9.1 mi | 7 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 97 km | 34.6 mi | 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 88 km | 12.4 mi | 0 |
| Mar 28, 2020 | EF3 | 96 km | 12.5 mi | 0 |
| May 25, 2011 | EF3 | 93 km | 47.4 mi | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2010 | EF3 | 93 km | 7.7 mi | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF3 | 77 km | 2.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 1, 2007 | EF3 | 63 km | 15.0 mi | 1 |
| Apr 2, 2006 | EF3 | 57 km | 77.0 mi | 2 |
| Jan 21, 1999 | EF3 | 90 km | 19.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 21, 1999 | EF3 | 67 km | 31.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 1, 1997 | EF3 | 72 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Tsunami History
1 tsunami recorded within 500 km.
| Year | Location | Cause | Max Wave | Deaths | Distance |
| 1811 | AR: NE - NEW MADRID EARTHQUAKES | Eruption + Earthquake | — | — | 130 km |
Source: NOAA/NCEI Historical Tsunami Database.
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: HANDY (12,818 acres, 2012).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2012 | HANDY | 12,818 | 81 km |
| 2007 | DEAD HORSE | 10,389 | 78 km |
| 2004 | LOWER WILD | 10,034 | 78 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 9,641 | 78 km |
| 2022 | CEDAR BLUFF | 9,617 | 79 km |
| 2013 | LOWER WILDERNESS RX | 8,699 | 79 km |
| 2020 | BIG BARREN CREEK | 8,150 | 84 km |
| 2021 | SYL BIRMINGHAM | 6,803 | 67 km |
| 2021 | ROCK PILE | 5,067 | 85 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 4,873 | 68 km |
| 2024 | BRIDGES RX | 4,781 | 79 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 4,493 | 54 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 4,337 | 57 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 3,807 | 67 km |
| 2024 | RX BAD BRANCH 2 | 3,591 | 58 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 3,542 | 68 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 3,441 | 62 km |
| 2015 | UNNAMED | 3,404 | 65 km |
| 2020 | RORIE NORTH | 3,180 | 60 km |
| 2024 | WOLF MOUNTAIN RX | 3,140 | 64 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 36°F (2°C) | 2.8 in | Coldest, Driest |
| February | 40°F (4°C) | 3.2 in | |
| March | 49°F (9°C) | 4.8 in | Wettest |
| April | 58°F (15°C) | 4.3 in | |
| May | 66°F (19°C) | 4.6 in | |
| June | 74°F (24°C) | 3.4 in | |
| July | 79°F (26°C) | 3.3 in | Warmest |
| August | 78°F (25°C) | 3.4 in | |
| September | 71°F (21°C) | 4.0 in | |
| October | 59°F (15°C) | 3.4 in | |
| November | 48°F (9°C) | 4.7 in | |
| December | 39°F (4°C) | 4.2 in |
Ash Flat has a seasonal temperature swing of 43°F / from 36°F in January to 79°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 46.0 inches, with March being the wettest month (4.8") and January the driest (2.8").