Weather & Climate in Bailey, TX
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Bailey enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 64°F (18°C). Winters average 43°F in January while summers reach 84°F in July. Annual precipitation totals 46.2 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The city sits at an elevation of 719 feet.
Temperature
43°F Jan (6°C)
84°F Jul (29°C)
| Annual Average | 63.5°F |
| 18% above US avg | |
| January Average | 43°F (6°C) |
| July Average | 84°F (29°C) |
Geography
| Elevation | 719 ft (219 m) |
| Area | 0.4 sq mi (1.0 km²) |
| Population Density | 475/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 33.4336°N, 96.1651°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Fannin County County |
| Nearest Airport | North Texas Regional/Perrin Field (PNX) 35 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 68.1 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 38.6 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 34.5 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High |
| Drought | Relatively High |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
155 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.5.
| Sep 6, 1997 | 6 km N of Tupelo, Oklahoma | M4.5 | 139 km | 5 km |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 8 km SSW of Pittsburg, Oklahoma | M4.1 | 136 km | 5 km |
| May 7, 2015 | 5 km N of Venus, Texas | M4.0 | 137 km | 3 km |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 0 km NNE of Sanctuary, Texas | M3.6 | 144 km | 5 km |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 6 km NE of Irving, Texas | M3.6 | 94 km | 5 km |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 km NNW of Azle, Texas | M3.6 | 141 km | 5 km |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 5 km S of Tishomingo, Oklahoma | M3.5 | 97 km | 5 km |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 4 km ENE of Irving, Texas | M3.5 | 96 km | 6 km |
| Apr 28, 2013 | 4 km NNW of Oakland, Oklahoma | M3.5 | 98 km | 5 km |
| Jun 8, 2004 | 6 km N of Lone Grove, Oklahoma | M3.5 | 134 km | 5 km |
| Jun 24, 2012 | 3 km SSE of Briaroaks, Texas | M3.5 | 150 km | 5 km |
| Sep 30, 2012 | 4 km NW of Irving, Texas | M3.4 | 100 km | 5 km |
| Oct 20, 2002 | 8 km WSW of Lane, Oklahoma | M3.4 | 94 km | 5 km |
| May 31, 1997 | 3 km ESE of Neylandville, Texas | M3.4 | 34 km | 5 km |
| May 19, 2018 | 8 km NW of Venus, Texas | M3.4 | 141 km | 5 km |
| Sep 23, 2013 | 4 km WNW of Marietta, Oklahoma | M3.4 | 108 km | 5 km |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 km WNW of Sanctuary, Texas | M3.4 | 147 km | 5 km |
| Aug 7, 2024 | 9 km N of Stonewall, Oklahoma | M3.4 | 149 km | 27 km |
| May 16, 2009 | 5 km NNW of Grand Prairie, Texas | M3.3 | 106 km | 9 km |
| May 31, 2002 | 15 km S of Cornish, Oklahoma | M3.3 | 150 km | 5 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
1 hurricane (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2008 | Ike | Category 1 | - | 283 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).
Tornado History
686 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF5. Total: 58 fatalities, 1,598 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF5 | 95 km | 53.0 mi | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | EF4 | 86 km | 60.2 mi | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | EF4 | 43 km | 44.7 mi | 0 |
| Dec 26, 2015 | EF4 | 81 km | 13.0 mi | 10 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF4 | 55 km | 23.0 mi | 10 |
| May 13, 1981 | EF4 | 57 km | 8.8 mi | 0 |
| May 4, 1960 | EF4 | 78 km | 30.8 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1957 | EF4 | 60 km | 7.9 mi | 3 |
| Apr 2, 1957 | EF4 | 77 km | 5.2 mi | 2 |
| May 25, 2024 | EF3 | 56 km | 0.7 mi | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | EF3 | 94 km | 15.8 mi | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2019 | EF3 | 60 km | 27.6 mi | 2 |
| May 9, 2016 | EF3 | 61 km | 13.8 mi | 0 |
| May 25, 2015 | EF3 | 62 km | 18.8 mi | 1 |
| Apr 3, 2012 | EF3 | 81 km | 7.7 mi | 0 |
| Apr 14, 2011 | EF3 | 96 km | 17.0 mi | 2 |
| May 9, 2006 | EF3 | 34 km | 9.3 mi | 3 |
| May 4, 1999 | EF3 | 97 km | 71.5 mi | 1 |
| Dec 13, 1984 | EF3 | 90 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF3 | 24 km | 32.0 mi | 1 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
8 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: CALLISBURG (5,797 acres, 2005).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2005 | CALLISBURG | 5,797 | 91 km |
| 2005 | ACHILLE | 4,958 | 51 km |
| 2013 | ROCKY POINT | 3,165 | 91 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 1,634 | 40 km |
| 2009 | ELM WOOD | 1,313 | 87 km |
| 2005 | ALLEN | 1,232 | 94 km |
| 2006 | COOPER LAKE | 1,224 | 40 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 1,133 | 81 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 43°F (6°C) | 2.9 in | Coldest |
| February | 47°F (8°C) | 3.0 in | |
| March | 54°F (12°C) | 4.4 in | |
| April | 62°F (17°C) | 4.1 in | |
| May | 71°F (22°C) | 5.4 in | Wettest |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 4.0 in | |
| July | 84°F (29°C) | 2.8 in | Warmest, Driest |
| August | 83°F (28°C) | 3.3 in | |
| September | 76°F (24°C) | 3.4 in | |
| October | 65°F (18°C) | 5.4 in | |
| November | 53°F (12°C) | 3.4 in | |
| December | 45°F (7°C) | 4.4 in |
Bailey has a seasonal temperature swing of 41°F / from 43°F in January to 84°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 46.3 inches, with May being the wettest month (5.4") and July the driest (2.8").