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Weather & Climate in Bull Shoals, AR
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Bull Shoals enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 56°F (13°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 77°F in July. The area gets 305 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 47.4 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 8.2 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 645 feet.
Temperature
34°F Jan (1°C)
77°F Jul (25°C)
| Annual Average | 56.1°F |
| 4% above US avg | |
| January Average | 34°F (1°C) |
| July Average | 77°F (25°C) |
| Sunny Days | 305 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 645 ft (197 m) |
| Area | 5.0 sq mi (13.0 km²) |
| Population Density | 344/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 36.3736°N, 92.5915°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Marion County County |
| Nearest Airport | Marion County Regional (FLP) 6 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 43.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 48.0 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 89.3 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 12.9 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm | Very High |
| Drought | No Rating |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
255 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.7.
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.7 | 125 km | 3 km |
| May 4, 2001 | 8 km NNW of Holland, Arkansas | M4.3 | 129 km | 8 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.1 | 124 km | 6 km |
| Oct 21, 1999 | 9 km NW of Maynard, Arkansas | M3.9 | 146 km | 10 km |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 125 km | 6 km |
| Aug 22, 2000 | 19 km WNW of Maynard, Arkansas | M3.9 | 134 km | 10 km |
| Jul 7, 1991 | 11 km ENE of Brandsville, Missouri | M3.9 | 98 km | 8 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 126 km | 5 km |
| Jun 4, 2014 | 3 km ESE of Fairfield Bay, Arkansas | M3.8 | 94 km | 0 km |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.8 | 124 km | 6 km |
| Sep 12, 2019 | 13 km N of Big Flat, Arkansas | M3.7 | 32 km | 18 km |
| Aug 16, 2003 | 5 km W of Thomasville, Missouri | M3.7 | 100 km | 0 km |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.7 | 126 km | 6 km |
| Jun 11, 2017 | 6 km NNE of Bergman, Arkansas | M3.6 | 36 km | 6 km |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.6 | 124 km | 4 km |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.6 | 125 km | 5 km |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 125 km | 7 km |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 123 km | 6 km |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 km NW of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 127 km | 6 km |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 0 km N of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 127 km | 7 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
395 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 33 fatalities, 511 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Apr 14, 1996 | EF4 | 65 km | 44.0 mi | 7 |
| Mar 15, 1984 | EF4 | 89 km | 41.0 mi | 2 |
| Dec 24, 1982 | EF4 | 90 km | 63.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF4 | 40 km | 20.0 mi | 2 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 22 km | 34.6 mi | 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 47 km | 21.6 mi | 4 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF3 | 82 km | 2.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 1, 2007 | EF3 | 46 km | 15.0 mi | 1 |
| Mar 5, 1999 | EF3 | 99 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 5, 1996 | EF3 | 67 km | 46.5 mi | 0 |
| Nov 18, 1985 | EF3 | 23 km | 34.0 mi | 3 |
| Dec 23, 1982 | EF3 | 94 km | 14.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 2, 1982 | EF3 | 83 km | 23.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 2, 1982 | EF3 | 90 km | 9.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF3 | 43 km | 1.5 mi | 2 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF3 | 37 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 11, 1979 | EF3 | 83 km | 35.4 mi | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1973 | EF3 | 56 km | 7.8 mi | 1 |
| Apr 7, 1972 | EF3 | 70 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 14, 1971 | EF3 | 14 km | 23.6 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: DEAD HORSE (10,389 acres, 2007).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2007 | DEAD HORSE | 10,389 | 30 km |
| 2004 | LOWER WILD | 10,034 | 30 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 9,226 | 76 km |
| 2013 | LOWER WILDERNESS RX | 8,699 | 30 km |
| 2003 | UNNAMED | 8,286 | 79 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 6,931 | 43 km |
| 2021 | SYL BIRMINGHAM | 6,803 | 40 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 6,686 | 38 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 6,457 | 79 km |
| 2010 | BRUSHY/CLAYTON | 6,401 | 43 km |
| 2020 | BIG CREEK | 6,399 | 38 km |
| 2001 | UNNAMED | 6,354 | 73 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 5,504 | 90 km |
| 2006 | SULPHUR CREEK 2 | 5,469 | 89 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 5,118 | 79 km |
| 2021 | ROCK PILE | 5,067 | 78 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 4,912 | 79 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 4,900 | 97 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 4,873 | 40 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 4,724 | 98 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 34°F (1°C) | 2.2 in | Coldest, Driest |
| February | 40°F (5°C) | 2.8 in | |
| March | 48°F (9°C) | 4.2 in | |
| April | 58°F (14°C) | 4.0 in | |
| May | 66°F (19°C) | 4.9 in | Wettest |
| June | 74°F (23°C) | 4.0 in | |
| July | 77°F (25°C) | 2.8 in | |
| August | 78°F (25°C) | 3.3 in | Warmest |
| September | 71°F (22°C) | 3.9 in | |
| October | 60°F (16°C) | 3.4 in | |
| November | 49°F (9°C) | 4.2 in | |
| December | 40°F (4°C) | 3.6 in |
Bull Shoals has a seasonal temperature swing of 44°F / from 34°F in January to 78°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 43.3 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.9") and January the driest (2.2").