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Weather & Climate in Bull Shoals, AR

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Bull Shoals enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 56°F (13°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 77°F in July. The area gets 305 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 47.4 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 8.2 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 645 feet.

Temperature

34°F Jan (1°C) 77°F Jul (25°C)
Annual Average56.1°F
4% above US avg
January Average34°F (1°C)
July Average77°F (25°C)
Sunny Days305 days/yr

Geography

Elevation645 ft (197 m)
Area5.0 sq mi (13.0 km²)
Population Density344/sq mi
Coordinates36.3736°N, 92.5915°W
TimezoneAmerica/Chicago
CountyMarion County County
Nearest AirportMarion County Regional (FLP)
6 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 47.4"
25% above US avg
Snowfall 8.2"
Wettest Month (May) 4.88"
Driest Month (Jan) 2.24"

Air Quality

AQI Median43.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskRelatively Low
Risk Score48.0 / 100
Social Vulnerability89.3 / 100
Community Resilience12.9 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Flood Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very High
Drought No Rating
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

255 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.7.

Feb 28, 2011 4 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M4.7 125 km 3 km
May 4, 2001 8 km NNW of Holland, Arkansas M4.3 129 km 8 km
Feb 18, 2011 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M4.1 124 km 6 km
Oct 21, 1999 9 km NW of Maynard, Arkansas M3.9 146 km 10 km
Apr 8, 2011 3 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.9 125 km 6 km
Aug 22, 2000 19 km WNW of Maynard, Arkansas M3.9 134 km 10 km
Jul 7, 1991 11 km ENE of Brandsville, Missouri M3.9 98 km 8 km
Feb 18, 2011 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.9 126 km 5 km
Jun 4, 2014 3 km ESE of Fairfield Bay, Arkansas M3.8 94 km 0 km
Feb 17, 2011 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.8 124 km 6 km
Sep 12, 2019 13 km N of Big Flat, Arkansas M3.7 32 km 18 km
Aug 16, 2003 5 km W of Thomasville, Missouri M3.7 100 km 0 km
Apr 7, 2011 2 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.7 126 km 6 km
Jun 11, 2017 6 km NNE of Bergman, Arkansas M3.6 36 km 6 km
Feb 28, 2011 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.6 124 km 4 km
Feb 20, 2011 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.6 125 km 5 km
Feb 16, 2011 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.5 125 km 7 km
Feb 25, 2011 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.5 123 km 6 km
Mar 9, 2011 1 km NW of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.5 127 km 6 km
Mar 3, 2011 0 km N of Greenbrier, Arkansas M3.5 127 km 7 km
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Tornado History

395 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 33 fatalities, 511 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Path Fatalities
Apr 14, 1996 EF4 65 km 44.0 mi 7
Mar 15, 1984 EF4 89 km 41.0 mi 2
Dec 24, 1982 EF4 90 km 63.0 mi 0
Apr 2, 1982 EF4 40 km 20.0 mi 2
May 26, 2024 EF3 22 km 34.6 mi 1
May 26, 2024 EF3 47 km 21.6 mi 4
May 8, 2009 EF3 82 km 2.2 mi 0
Mar 1, 2007 EF3 46 km 15.0 mi 1
Mar 5, 1999 EF3 99 km 10.0 mi 0
Mar 5, 1996 EF3 67 km 46.5 mi 0
Nov 18, 1985 EF3 23 km 34.0 mi 3
Dec 23, 1982 EF3 94 km 14.0 mi 0
Dec 2, 1982 EF3 83 km 23.0 mi 0
Dec 2, 1982 EF3 90 km 9.0 mi 0
Apr 2, 1982 EF3 43 km 1.5 mi 2
Apr 2, 1982 EF3 37 km 1.0 mi 0
Apr 11, 1979 EF3 83 km 35.4 mi 0
Apr 20, 1973 EF3 56 km 7.8 mi 1
Apr 7, 1972 EF3 70 km 2.0 mi 0
Dec 14, 1971 EF3 14 km 23.6 mi 0
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: DEAD HORSE (10,389 acres, 2007).

Year Name Acres Burned Distance
2007 DEAD HORSE 10,389 30 km
2004 LOWER WILD 10,034 30 km
2018 UNNAMED 9,226 76 km
2013 LOWER WILDERNESS RX 8,699 30 km
2003 UNNAMED 8,286 79 km
2007 UNNAMED 6,931 43 km
2021 SYL BIRMINGHAM 6,803 40 km
2011 UNNAMED 6,686 38 km
2017 UNNAMED 6,457 79 km
2010 BRUSHY/CLAYTON 6,401 43 km
2020 BIG CREEK 6,399 38 km
2001 UNNAMED 6,354 73 km
2007 UNNAMED 5,504 90 km
2006 SULPHUR CREEK 2 5,469 89 km
2016 UNNAMED 5,118 79 km
2021 ROCK PILE 5,067 78 km
2013 UNNAMED 4,912 79 km
2005 UNNAMED 4,900 97 km
2018 UNNAMED 4,873 40 km
2006 UNNAMED 4,724 98 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 34°F (1°C) 2.2 in Coldest, Driest
February 40°F (5°C) 2.8 in
March 48°F (9°C) 4.2 in
April 58°F (14°C) 4.0 in
May 66°F (19°C) 4.9 in Wettest
June 74°F (23°C) 4.0 in
July 77°F (25°C) 2.8 in
August 78°F (25°C) 3.3 in Warmest
September 71°F (22°C) 3.9 in
October 60°F (16°C) 3.4 in
November 49°F (9°C) 4.2 in
December 40°F (4°C) 3.6 in

Bull Shoals has a seasonal temperature swing of 44°F / from 34°F in January to 78°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 43.3 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.9") and January the driest (2.2").

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