Weather & Climate in Burke Centre, VA

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Burke Centre experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 54°F (12°C). Winters average 33°F in January while summers reach 75°F in July. The area gets 293 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 43.6 inches. The area receives 18.5 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35. The city sits at an elevation of 372 feet.

Temperature

33°F Jan (0°C) 75°F Jul (24°C)

Annual Average	54.0°F
	0% below US avg
January Average	33°F (0°C)
July Average	75°F (24°C)
Sunny Days	293 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	372 ft (113 m)
Area	3.2 sq mi (8.2 km²)
Population Density	5,574/sq mi
Coordinates	38.7912°N, 77.3006°W
Timezone	America/New_York
County	Fairfax County County
Nearest Airport	Manassas Regional/Harry P Davis Field (MNZ) 12 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 43.6"

15% above US avg

Snowfall 18.5"

Wettest Month (May) 3.86"

Driest Month (Feb) 2.72"

Air Quality

AQI Median	35.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively High
Risk Score	94.7 / 100
Social Vulnerability	11.4 / 100
Community Resilience	59.4 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Relatively Low
Hurricane	Relatively Moderate
Earthquake	Relatively Moderate
Wildfire	Very Low
Flood	Relatively High
Hail	Relatively High
Strong Wind	Relatively High
Heat Wave	Relatively High
Winter Weather	Very High
Lightning	Very High
Ice Storm	Relatively Moderate
Drought	Relatively Low
Cold Wave	Relatively Moderate
Landslide	Relatively Low
Coastal Flood	Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

45 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.8.

Aug 23, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M5.8	113 km	6 km
Aug 25, 2011	8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.5	110 km	7 km
Aug 24, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.2	113 km	0 km
Mar 15, 1991	7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.8	128 km	16 km
May 5, 2003	Virginia	M3.6	142 km	13 km
Jul 16, 2010	5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland	M3.6	53 km	7 km
Aug 24, 2011	16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.4	121 km	0 km
Sep 1, 2011	7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M3.4	109 km	3 km
Sep 22, 2001	5 km E of Pantops, Virginia	M3.2	128 km	0 km
Jan 30, 2012	9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia	M3.1	111 km	3 km
Jun 3, 2010	4 km ENE of Franklintown, Pennsylvania	M3.1	147 km	2 km
Jan 17, 2016	3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia	M3.0	74 km	5 km
Oct 2, 2010	10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia	M3.0	106 km	19 km
Oct 12, 2011	9 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	112 km	4 km
Mar 26, 2012	13 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	115 km	9 km
Apr 24, 2009	1 km S of Franklintown, Pennsylvania	M2.9	144 km	1 km
Sep 15, 2019	5 km ESE of East Berlin, Pennsylvania	M2.8	130 km	5 km
Aug 23, 2011	9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M2.8	111 km	0 km
Mar 15, 2015	6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia	M2.8	108 km	5 km
Apr 21, 1998	1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia	M2.8	130 km	2 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Hurricane History

5 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 2.

Year	Name	Category	Max Wind	Closest
2011	Irene	Category 1	75 mph	215 km
2003	Isabel	Category 1	75 mph	235 km
1999	Floyd	Category 1	—	245 km
1986	Charley	Category 1	81 mph	240 km
1985	Gloria	Category 2	98 mph	247 km

Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).

Tornado History

477 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 9 fatalities, 370 injuries.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
Apr 28, 2002	EF4	29 km	38.0 mi	3
Sep 24, 2001	EF4	64 km	10.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF3	53 km	9.0 mi	0
Apr 28, 2002	EF3	96 km	18.0 mi	0
Sep 24, 2001	EF3	32 km	17.5 mi	2
Jul 19, 1996	EF3	84 km	2.2 mi	0
Oct 18, 1990	EF3	80 km	3.5 mi	0
Sep 5, 1979	EF3	19 km	17.9 mi	1
Jan 26, 1978	EF3	32 km	0.7 mi	1
Apr 1, 1973	EF3	3 km	9.8 mi	0
Jun 9, 1961	EF3	74 km	0.1 mi	0
Sep 1, 2021	EF2	61 km	11.4 mi	0
Apr 19, 2019	EF2	100 km	2.0 mi	0
Nov 2, 2018	EF2	63 km	5.5 mi	0
Jul 23, 2017	EF2	85 km	2.4 mi	0
May 8, 2008	EF2	52 km	3.4 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	86 km	5.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	79 km	7.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	40 km	13.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	11 km	15.0 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Wildfire History

8 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 acres, 2000).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
2000	PINNACLES	24,792	90 km
2012	NEIGHBOR MTN FIRE	1,986	94 km
2011	SMITH RUN FIRE	1,908	76 km
2012	POINT 2	1,126	91 km
2024	ROCKY BRANCH	1,018	90 km
2011	CHOPPING ROAD	889	100 km
1999	NCO	816	28 km
1984	UNNAMED	696	91 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	33°F (0°C)	3.0 in	Coldest
February	37°F (3°C)	2.7 in	Driest
March	45°F (7°C)	3.4 in
April	55°F (13°C)	3.1 in
May	64°F (18°C)	3.9 in	Wettest
June	73°F (23°C)	3.5 in
July	75°F (24°C)	3.6 in
August	76°F (24°C)	3.8 in	Warmest
September	69°F (21°C)	3.6 in
October	57°F (14°C)	3.2 in
November	48°F (9°C)	3.3 in
December	39°F (4°C)	3.2 in

Burke Centre has a seasonal temperature swing of 43°F / from 33°F in January to 76°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 40.2 inches, with May being the wettest month (3.9") and February the driest (2.7").

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