Weather & Climate in Churchville, VA

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Churchville experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 54°F (12°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 74°F in July. The area gets 293 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 40.6 inches. The area receives 21.6 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35. The city sits at an elevation of 1,426 feet.

Temperature

34°F Jan (1°C) 74°F Jul (23°C)

Annual Average	54.1°F
	0% below US avg
January Average	34°F (1°C)
July Average	74°F (23°C)
Sunny Days	293 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	1,426 ft (435 m)
Area	0.4 sq mi (1.0 km²)
Population Density	168/sq mi
Coordinates	38.2247°N, 79.1614°W
Timezone	America/New_York
County	Augusta County County
Nearest Airport	Shenandoah Valley Regional (SHD) 15 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 40.6"

7% above US avg

Snowfall 21.6"

Wettest Month (Jul) 3.86"

Driest Month (Feb) 2.48"

Air Quality

AQI Median	35.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively Low
Risk Score	68.6 / 100
Social Vulnerability	52.3 / 100
Community Resilience	63.8 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Relatively Low
Hurricane	Relatively Low
Earthquake	Relatively Low
Wildfire	Relatively Low
Flood	Relatively Moderate
Hail	Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind	Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave	Relatively Low
Winter Weather	Relatively Moderate
Lightning	Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm	Relatively Low
Drought	Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave	Relatively Low
Landslide	Relatively Moderate
Avalanche	Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

45 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.8.

Aug 23, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M5.8	113 km	6 km
Aug 25, 2011	8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.5	109 km	7 km
Aug 24, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.2	111 km	0 km
Mar 15, 1991	7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.8	122 km	16 km
Oct 21, 1998	13 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia	M3.8	110 km	13 km
May 5, 2003	Virginia	M3.6	125 km	13 km
Apr 22, 1991	14 km ESE of Falling Spring, West Virginia	M3.5	97 km	15 km
Sep 1, 2011	7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M3.4	112 km	3 km
Aug 24, 2011	16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.4	115 km	0 km
Sep 22, 2001	5 km E of Pantops, Virginia	M3.2	71 km	0 km
Dec 4, 2001	9 km W of Alderson, West Virginia	M3.1	150 km	9 km
May 22, 2014	15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia	M3.1	123 km	10 km
Jan 30, 2012	9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia	M3.1	108 km	3 km
May 16, 2009	2 km NNE of Cave Spring, Virginia	M3.0	131 km	13 km
Oct 12, 2011	9 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	108 km	4 km
Oct 2, 2010	10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia	M3.0	150 km	19 km
Mar 26, 2012	13 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	109 km	9 km
May 6, 2025	8 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia	M3.0	104 km	8 km
Apr 21, 1998	1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia	M2.8	52 km	2 km
Aug 23, 2011	9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M2.8	112 km	0 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Hurricane History

1 hurricane (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.

Year	Name	Category	Max Wind	Closest
2003	Isabel	Category 1	75 mph	213 km

Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).

Tornado History

100 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 14 fatalities, 40 injuries.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
Jul 25, 1985	EF3	65 km	0.2 mi	0
Mar 21, 1976	EF3	72 km	5.6 mi	0
Jun 16, 1966	EF3	86 km	1.0 mi	0
Sep 30, 1959	EF3	85 km	6.5 mi	0
Sep 30, 1959	EF3	51 km	0.8 mi	11
Sep 30, 1959	EF3	64 km	2.0 mi	1
May 27, 2022	EF2	96 km	6.3 mi	0
Apr 28, 2011	EF2	51 km	33.5 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	64 km	5.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	68 km	8.0 mi	0
Apr 28, 2002	EF2	66 km	4.0 mi	0
May 4, 1990	EF2	20 km	7.0 mi	2
Jul 9, 1980	EF2	80 km	0.3 mi	0
Jun 12, 1976	EF2	79 km	0.2 mi	0
Aug 17, 1965	EF2	93 km	0.1 mi	0
Nov 29, 1963	EF2	25 km	0.1 mi	0
Aug 6, 1960	EF2	55 km	0.1 mi	0
Apr 5, 1952	EF2	29 km	1.0 mi	0
Apr 5, 1952	EF2	41 km	4.9 mi	0
Jun 16, 2022	EF1	97 km	21.5 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 acres, 2000).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
2000	PINNACLES	24,792	85 km
2012	RICH HOLE	15,923	58 km
2023	MATTS CREEK	11,028	75 km
2016	MOUNT PLEASANT	11,001	54 km
2016	ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016	9,299	44 km
2024	WATERFALL MOUNTAIN	9,251	72 km
2022	UNNAMED	7,791	65 km
2014	ARCHER KNOB RX	6,093	21 km
2022	UNNAMED	5,893	21 km
2021	UNNAMED	5,345	27 km
2015	UNNAMED	5,149	27 km
2013	UNNAMED	4,687	27 km
2002	FULTZ RUN	4,638	62 km
2008	ST MARYS	4,373	35 km
1999	SHOP RUN	4,261	34 km
2012	UNNAMED	4,219	64 km
1986	BIG RUN	4,161	42 km
2018	UNNAMED	4,022	27 km
2012	SHIPWRECK	3,779	54 km
2021	UNNAMED	3,667	54 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	34°F (1°C)	2.7 in	Coldest
February	35°F (2°C)	2.5 in	Driest
March	43°F (6°C)	3.2 in
April	52°F (11°C)	2.9 in
May	61°F (16°C)	3.8 in
June	69°F (21°C)	3.5 in
July	74°F (23°C)	3.9 in	Warmest, Wettest
August	72°F (22°C)	3.5 in
September	65°F (19°C)	3.6 in
October	54°F (12°C)	3.4 in
November	44°F (7°C)	3.0 in
December	36°F (2°C)	2.6 in

Churchville has a seasonal temperature swing of 40°F / from 34°F in January to 74°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 38.4 inches, with July being the wettest month (3.9") and February the driest (2.5").

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