Weather & Climate in Conicville, VA

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Conicville experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 53°F (12°C). Winters average 32°F in January while summers reach 74°F in July. The area gets 302 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 37.2 inches. The area receives 21.0 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35. The city sits at an elevation of 1,134 feet.

Temperature

32°F Jan (-0°C) 74°F Jul (23°C)

Annual Average	52.8°F
	2% below US avg
January Average	32°F (-0°C)
July Average	74°F (23°C)
Sunny Days	302 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	1,134 ft (346 m)
Area	0.5 sq mi (1.2 km²)
Population Density	813/sq mi
Coordinates	38.8290°N, 78.6813°W
Timezone	America/New_York
County	Shenandoah County County
Nearest Airport	Winchester Regional (WGO) 36 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 37.2"

2% below US avg

Snowfall 21.0"

Wettest Month (May) 3.66"

Driest Month (Jan) 2.32"

Air Quality

AQI Median	35.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively Low
Risk Score	59.8 / 100
Social Vulnerability	55.4 / 100
Community Resilience	50.1 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Relatively Low
Hurricane	Relatively Low
Earthquake	Very Low
Wildfire	Very Low
Flood	Relatively Moderate
Hail	Relatively Low
Strong Wind	Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave	Relatively Low
Winter Weather	Relatively Low
Lightning	Relatively Low
Ice Storm	Very Low
Drought	Relatively Low
Cold Wave	Relatively Low
Landslide	Relatively Low
Avalanche	Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

35 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.8.

Aug 23, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M5.8	121 km	6 km
Aug 25, 2011	8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.5	116 km	7 km
Aug 24, 2011	11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M4.2	120 km	0 km
Mar 15, 1991	7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.8	138 km	16 km
May 5, 2003	Virginia	M3.6	148 km	13 km
Jul 16, 2010	5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland	M3.6	120 km	7 km
Aug 24, 2011	16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia	M3.4	129 km	0 km
Sep 1, 2011	7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M3.4	118 km	3 km
Sep 22, 2001	5 km E of Pantops, Virginia	M3.2	93 km	0 km
Jan 30, 2012	9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia	M3.1	116 km	3 km
Jan 17, 2016	3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia	M3.0	92 km	5 km
Oct 12, 2011	9 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	116 km	4 km
Oct 2, 2010	10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia	M3.0	149 km	19 km
Mar 26, 2012	13 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M3.0	119 km	9 km
Aug 23, 2011	9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia	M2.8	119 km	0 km
Mar 15, 2015	6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia	M2.8	116 km	5 km
Apr 21, 1998	1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia	M2.8	74 km	2 km
Feb 19, 2012	12 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M2.7	119 km	3 km
Aug 29, 2011	10 km S of Louisa, Virginia	M2.7	116 km	4 km
Nov 25, 2009	14 km S of Arrington, Virginia	M2.7	142 km	0 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Hurricane History

1 hurricane (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.

Year	Name	Category	Max Wind	Closest
2003	Isabel	Category 1	75 mph	252 km

Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).

Tornado History

189 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 15 fatalities, 84 injuries.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
Sep 24, 2001	EF4	67 km	10.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF3	84 km	9.0 mi	0
Oct 18, 1990	EF3	85 km	3.5 mi	0
Jul 25, 1985	EF3	74 km	0.2 mi	0
Mar 21, 1976	EF3	61 km	5.6 mi	0
May 19, 1967	EF3	83 km	0.3 mi	1
Sep 30, 1959	EF3	87 km	0.8 mi	11
Sep 30, 1959	EF3	63 km	2.0 mi	1
Apr 28, 2011	EF2	31 km	33.5 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	65 km	5.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	58 km	5.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	91 km	7.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	82 km	2.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	59 km	8.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	82 km	13.0 mi	0
Sep 17, 2004	EF2	82 km	8.0 mi	0
Sep 8, 2004	EF2	86 km	1.5 mi	0
Apr 28, 2002	EF2	17 km	4.0 mi	0
Jun 2, 1998	EF2	69 km	15.0 mi	0
Jun 24, 1996	EF2	100 km	20.0 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 acres, 2000).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
2000	PINNACLES	24,792	41 km
2016	ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016	9,299	58 km
2024	WATERFALL MOUNTAIN	9,251	19 km
2014	ARCHER KNOB RX	6,093	98 km
2022	UNNAMED	5,893	98 km
2024	WAITES RUN	5,496	24 km
2021	UNNAMED	5,345	67 km
2015	UNNAMED	5,149	66 km
2013	UNNAMED	4,687	59 km
2002	FULTZ RUN	4,638	37 km
1999	SHOP RUN	4,261	75 km
1986	BIG RUN	4,161	60 km
2018	UNNAMED	4,022	59 km
2012	SHIPWRECK	3,779	36 km
2021	UNNAMED	3,667	34 km
2014	CUB RUN RX	2,868	34 km
2011	VALLEY	2,514	45 km
2019	UNNAMED	2,460	18 km
2024	CAPON	2,302	22 km
2012	NEIGHBOR MTN FIRE	1,986	31 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	32°F (-0°C)	2.3 in	Coldest, Driest
February	34°F (1°C)	2.3 in
March	42°F (6°C)	2.9 in
April	52°F (11°C)	2.7 in
May	61°F (16°C)	3.7 in	Wettest
June	69°F (20°C)	3.4 in
July	74°F (23°C)	3.6 in	Warmest
August	71°F (22°C)	3.5 in
September	65°F (18°C)	3.4 in
October	54°F (12°C)	3.2 in
November	44°F (7°C)	2.9 in
December	35°F (2°C)	2.4 in

Conicville has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 32°F in January to 74°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 36.3 inches, with May being the wettest month (3.7") and January the driest (2.3").

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