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Weather & Climate in El Carmelo, Mexico
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
El Carmelo enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 67°F (20°C). Winters average 63°F in January while summers reach 68°F in July / relatively mild seasonal variation. The area gets 348 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 30.9 inches. The city sits at an elevation of 2,779 feet.
Temperature
63°F Jan (17°C)
68°F Jul (20°C)
| Annual Average | 67.1°F |
| 24% above US avg | |
| January Average | 63°F (17°C) |
| July Average | 68°F (20°C) |
| Sunny Days | 348 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 2,779 ft (847 m) |
| Area | 144.9 sq mi (375.2 km²) |
| Population Density | 5/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 16.9319°N, 93.1206°W |
| Timezone | America/Mexico_City |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
Earthquake History
777 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M7.2.
| Oct 21, 1995 | 13 km NW of Ocozocoautla de Espinosa, Mexico | M7.2 | 39 km | 159 km |
| Mar 14, 1994 | 6 km ENE of Rizo de Oro, Mexico | M6.9 | 128 km | 164 km |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 7 km SW of Helio García Alfaro, Mexico | M6.6 | 133 km | 166 km |
| Feb 12, 2008 | 9 km SSW of General Pascual Fentes, Mexico | M6.5 | 141 km | 83 km |
| Dec 31, 1996 | 4 km SW of El Ramal (Porvenir), Mexico | M6.4 | 124 km | 100 km |
| Jun 7, 1998 | 2 km NNE of Cabeza de Toro, Mexico | M6.3 | 129 km | 87 km |
| Jul 6, 2007 | 6 km N of Lázaro Cárdenas, Mexico | M6.1 | 113 km | 113 km |
| May 5, 2025 | 5 km NNE of Nuevo León, Mexico | M5.8 | 75 km | 261 km |
| Feb 1, 2003 | 7 km NNW of Nuevo Vicente Guerrero (El Chichonal), Mexico | M5.8 | 49 km | 211 km |
| Aug 9, 2023 | 7 km NNE of Tonalá, Mexico | M5.8 | 108 km | 103 km |
| Jan 17, 2009 | 5 km NNW of Nueva Colombia, Mexico | M5.8 | 139 km | 169 km |
| Aug 5, 2015 | 11 km ENE of Tonalá, Mexico | M5.7 | 105 km | 101 km |
| May 20, 2017 | 21 km SE of La Horqueta (Poblado Doce), Mexico | M5.7 | 104 km | 144 km |
| Mar 12, 1994 | 30 km NNE of Santo Domingo Zanatepec, Mexico | M5.6 | 124 km | 97 km |
| Sep 1, 2012 | 11 km N of Plan de Agua Prieta, Mexico | M5.5 | 87 km | 257 km |
| Aug 12, 2019 | 7 km NE of Cabeza de Toro, Mexico | M5.5 | 124 km | 93 km |
| Jun 7, 2009 | 5 km SW of Emiliano Zapata, Mexico | M5.4 | 91 km | 140 km |
| May 23, 2016 | 9 km WSW of Emiliano Zapata, Mexico | M5.4 | 87 km | 124 km |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 17 km NW of Emiliano Zapata, Mexico | M5.4 | 88 km | 140 km |
| Feb 8, 2002 | 7 km N of Dolores Jaltenango, Mexico | M5.4 | 114 km | 210 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
3 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 3.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2013 | Barbara | Category 1 | 81 mph | 116 km |
| 2010 | Karl | Category 3 | 127 mph | 297 km |
| 2005 | Stan | Category 1 | 81 mph | 263 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tsunami History
1 tsunami recorded within 500 km. Highest wave on record: 50.0 m (164 ft).
| Year | Location | Cause | Max Wave | Deaths | Distance |
| 2007 | JUAN DE GRIJALVA, CHIAPAS | Meteorological | 50.0 m | 19 | 9 km |
Source: NOAA/NCEI Historical Tsunami Database.
Nearby Volcanoes
1 volcano within 200 km. Closest: Chichon, El (49 km).
| Name | Type | Elevation | Last Eruption | Distance |
| Chichon, El | Lava dome(s) | 1,150 m (3,773 ft) | 1982 | 49 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 63°F (17°C) | 1.2 in | Coldest |
| February | 69°F (21°C) | 1.2 in | |
| March | 73°F (23°C) | 0.9 in | Driest |
| April | 76°F (25°C) | 1.5 in | |
| May | 78°F (26°C) | 4.2 in | Warmest |
| June | 76°F (24°C) | 9.5 in | |
| July | 68°F (20°C) | 7.8 in | |
| August | 75°F (24°C) | 8.9 in | |
| September | 74°F (23°C) | 10.4 in | Wettest |
| October | 72°F (22°C) | 5.4 in | |
| November | 70°F (21°C) | 2.5 in | |
| December | 68°F (20°C) | 1.6 in |
El Carmelo has a seasonal temperature swing of 15°F / from 63°F in January to 78°F in May. Total annual precipitation is 55.0 inches, with September being the wettest month (10.4") and March the driest (0.9").