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Weather & Climate in El Carmen, Mexico
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
El Carmen has a warm climate with an average annual temperature of 81°F (27°C). Winters average 79°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July / relatively mild seasonal variation. The area gets 202 sunny days per year. Annual precipitation totals 91.8 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The city sits at an elevation of 66 feet.
Temperature
79°F Jan (26°C)
82°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 81.3°F |
| 51% above US avg | |
| January Average | 79°F (26°C) |
| July Average | 82°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 202 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 66 ft (20 m) |
| Area | 984.3 sq mi (2,549.3 km²) |
| Population Density | 1/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 15.5755°N, 93.1287°W |
| Timezone | America/Mexico_City |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
Earthquake History
2,218 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M8.2.
| Sep 8, 2017 | 2017 Tehuantepec, Mexico Earthquake | M8.2 | 103 km | 47 km |
| Oct 21, 1995 | 13 km NW of Ocozocoautla de Espinosa, Mexico | M7.2 | 145 km | 159 km |
| Sep 10, 1993 | 24 km W of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M7.2 | 109 km | 34 km |
| Jun 14, 2017 | 2 km SSW of San Pablo, Guatemala | M6.9 | 141 km | 93 km |
| Jul 7, 2014 | 4 km W of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M6.9 | 119 km | 53 km |
| Mar 14, 1994 | 6 km ENE of Rizo de Oro, Mexico | M6.9 | 88 km | 164 km |
| Sep 3, 1993 | 38 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M6.8 | 125 km | 27 km |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 5 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M6.7 | 123 km | 66 km |
| Jan 16, 2002 | 2 km SW of Las Brisas, Mexico | M6.4 | 8 km | 80 km |
| Dec 31, 1996 | 4 km SW of El Ramal (Porvenir), Mexico | M6.4 | 33 km | 100 km |
| May 12, 2024 | 28 km WSW of Brisas Barra de Suchiate, Mexico | M6.4 | 147 km | 62 km |
| Sep 19, 1993 | 105 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M6.4 | 137 km | 18 km |
| Nov 28, 2001 | 2 km ESE of El Carmen, Mexico | M6.4 | 3 km | 85 km |
| Jun 7, 1998 | 2 km NNE of Cabeza de Toro, Mexico | M6.3 | 81 km | 87 km |
| Mar 12, 2000 | 3 km ESE of Plan de Ayala, Mexico | M6.3 | 99 km | 62 km |
| Jul 14, 2023 | Offshore Chiapas, Mexico | M6.3 | 112 km | 34 km |
| May 30, 1992 | 62 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | M6.3 | 128 km | 55 km |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 46 km SW of El Arenal, Mexico | M6.2 | 79 km | 45 km |
| Dec 4, 2000 | 104 km SW of El Palmarcito, Mexico | M6.1 | 117 km | 33 km |
| Jul 6, 2007 | 6 km N of Lázaro Cárdenas, Mexico | M6.1 | 126 km | 113 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
4 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2013 | Barbara | Category 1 | 81 mph | 105 km |
| 1998 | Lester | Category 2 | 98 mph | 205 km |
| 1997 | Pauline | Category 4 | 132 mph | 295 km |
| 1996 | Douglas | Category 1 | 75 mph | 255 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tsunami History
2 tsunamis recorded within 500 km. Highest wave on record: 50.0 m (164 ft).
| Year | Location | Cause | Max Wave | Deaths | Distance |
| 2007 | JUAN DE GRIJALVA, CHIAPAS | Meteorological | 50.0 m | 19 | 142 km |
| 2017 | S. MEXICO | Earthquake | 2.7 m | 98 | 103 km |
Source: NOAA/NCEI Historical Tsunami Database.
Nearby Volcanoes
4 volcanoes within 200 km. Closest: Tacana (120 km).
| Name | Type | Elevation | Last Eruption | Distance |
| Tacana | Stratovolcano | 4,064 m (13,333 ft) | 1986 | 120 km |
| Santa Maria | Stratovolcano | 3,745 m (12,287 ft) | 2020 | 192 km |
| Almolonga | Stratovolcano | 3,173 m (10,410 ft) | 1818 | 193 km |
| Chichon, El | Lava dome(s) | 1,150 m (3,773 ft) | 1982 | 199 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 79°F (26°C) | 0.1 in | Coldest, Driest |
| February | 80°F (27°C) | 0.2 in | |
| March | 82°F (28°C) | 0.6 in | |
| April | 84°F (29°C) | 1.9 in | Warmest |
| May | 84°F (29°C) | 8.8 in | |
| June | 82°F (28°C) | 16.1 in | |
| July | 82°F (28°C) | 15.4 in | |
| August | 81°F (27°C) | 17.4 in | |
| September | 81°F (27°C) | 19.5 in | Wettest |
| October | 81°F (27°C) | 9.3 in | |
| November | 81°F (27°C) | 2.1 in | |
| December | 80°F (26°C) | 0.4 in |
El Carmen has a seasonal temperature swing of 5°F / from 79°F in January to 84°F in April. Total annual precipitation is 91.8 inches, with September being the wettest month (19.5") and January the driest (0.1").