Weather & Climate in Elkton, VA
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Elkton experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 48°F (9°C). Winters average 27°F in January while summers reach 67°F in July. Annual precipitation totals 41.6 inches. The area receives 19.4 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. The city sits at an elevation of 1,016 feet.
Temperature
27°F Jan (-3°C)
67°F Jul (20°C)
| Annual Average | 47.5°F |
| 12% below US avg | |
| January Average | 27°F (-3°C) |
| July Average | 67°F (20°C) |
Geography
| Elevation | 1,016 ft (310 m) |
| Area | 3.1 sq mi (8.0 km²) |
| Population Density | 941/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 38.4107°N, 78.6161°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Greene County County |
| Nearest Airport | Shenandoah Valley Regional (SHD) 18 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 9.3 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 33.6 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 39.7 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | Relatively Low |
| Cold Wave | Very Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
| Avalanche | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
42 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.8.
| Aug 23, 2011 | 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia | M5.8 | 82 km | 6 km |
| Aug 25, 2011 | 8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia | M4.5 | 77 km | 7 km |
| Aug 24, 2011 | 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia | M4.2 | 80 km | 0 km |
| Oct 21, 1998 | 13 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia | M3.8 | 111 km | 13 km |
| Mar 15, 1991 | 7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia | M3.8 | 96 km | 16 km |
| Jul 16, 2010 | 5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland | M3.6 | 141 km | 7 km |
| May 5, 2003 | Virginia | M3.6 | 105 km | 13 km |
| Apr 22, 1991 | 14 km ESE of Falling Spring, West Virginia | M3.5 | 148 km | 15 km |
| Aug 24, 2011 | 16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia | M3.4 | 88 km | 0 km |
| Sep 1, 2011 | 7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia | M3.4 | 79 km | 3 km |
| Sep 22, 2001 | 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia | M3.2 | 47 km | 0 km |
| May 22, 2014 | 15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia | M3.1 | 109 km | 10 km |
| Jan 30, 2012 | 9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia | M3.1 | 76 km | 3 km |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia | M3.0 | 122 km | 5 km |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 13 km S of Louisa, Virginia | M3.0 | 79 km | 9 km |
| Oct 2, 2010 | 10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia | M3.0 | 114 km | 19 km |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 9 km S of Louisa, Virginia | M3.0 | 76 km | 4 km |
| May 6, 2025 | 8 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia | M3.0 | 106 km | 8 km |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia | M2.8 | 77 km | 5 km |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia | M2.8 | 80 km | 0 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
2 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2003 | Isabel | Category 1 | 75 mph | 207 km |
| 1999 | Floyd | Category 1 | - | 285 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).
Tornado History
183 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 14 fatalities, 54 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Sep 24, 2001 | EF4 | 58 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF3 | 72 km | 9.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | EF3 | 58 km | 3.5 mi | 0 |
| Jul 25, 1985 | EF3 | 29 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Jul 9, 1977 | EF3 | 94 km | 5.9 mi | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | EF3 | 24 km | 5.6 mi | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1966 | EF3 | 100 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 30, 1959 | EF3 | 40 km | 0.8 mi | 11 |
| Sep 30, 1959 | EF3 | 66 km | 6.5 mi | 0 |
| Sep 30, 1959 | EF3 | 20 km | 2.0 mi | 1 |
| Apr 19, 2019 | EF2 | 84 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 41 km | 33.5 mi | 0 |
| May 8, 2008 | EF2 | 96 km | 3.4 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 93 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 63 km | 7.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 22 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 20 km | 8.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 82 km | 13.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 76 km | 8.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | EF2 | 75 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 acres, 2000).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2000 | PINNACLES | 24,792 | 34 km |
| 2016 | MOUNT PLEASANT | 11,001 | 90 km |
| 2016 | ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016 | 9,299 | 12 km |
| 2024 | WATERFALL MOUNTAIN | 9,251 | 30 km |
| 2014 | ARCHER KNOB RX | 6,093 | 73 km |
| 2022 | UNNAMED | 5,893 | 73 km |
| 2024 | WAITES RUN | 5,496 | 70 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 5,345 | 58 km |
| 2015 | UNNAMED | 5,149 | 58 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 4,687 | 49 km |
| 2002 | FULTZ RUN | 4,638 | 13 km |
| 2008 | ST MARYS | 4,373 | 73 km |
| 1999 | SHOP RUN | 4,261 | 32 km |
| 1986 | BIG RUN | 4,161 | 15 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 4,022 | 49 km |
| 2012 | SHIPWRECK | 3,779 | 11 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 3,667 | 14 km |
| 2014 | CUB RUN RX | 2,868 | 14 km |
| 2011 | VALLEY | 2,514 | 37 km |
| 2024 | RAMSHORN-GUINN RIDGES RX | 2,469 | 99 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 27°F (-3°C) | 3.0 in | Coldest |
| February | 30°F (-1°C) | 2.4 in | Driest |
| March | 35°F (2°C) | 3.5 in | |
| April | 47°F (8°C) | 3.2 in | |
| May | 55°F (13°C) | 4.2 in | |
| June | 62°F (17°C) | 4.4 in | Wettest |
| July | 67°F (20°C) | 3.4 in | Warmest |
| August | 65°F (18°C) | 3.9 in | |
| September | 61°F (16°C) | 4.1 in | |
| October | 50°F (10°C) | 3.3 in | |
| November | 40°F (4°C) | 3.4 in | |
| December | 32°F (-0°C) | 3.0 in |
Elkton has a seasonal temperature swing of 40°F / from 27°F in January to 67°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 41.6 inches, with June being the wettest month (4.4") and February the driest (2.4").