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Weather & Climate in Flagler Estates, FL
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Flagler Estates enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 70°F (21°C). Winters average 56°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July. The area gets 314 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 56.3 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 41. The city sits at an elevation of 39 feet.
Temperature
56°F Jan (13°C)
82°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 69.7°F |
| 29% above US avg | |
| January Average | 56°F (13°C) |
| July Average | 82°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 314 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 39 ft (12 m) |
| Area | 11.9 sq mi (30.9 km²) |
| Population Density | 332/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 29.6484°N, 81.4577°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Flagler County County |
| Nearest Airport | Northeast Florida Regional (UST) 23 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 41.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk Score | 82.8 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 60.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 40.3 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | Relatively High |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | No Rating |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Very Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
| Coastal Flood | Relatively Moderate |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Hurricane History
25 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Helene | Category 4 | 138 mph | 218 km |
| 2024 | Milton | Category 3 | 121 mph | 155 km |
| 2024 | Debby | Category 1 | 81 mph | 190 km |
| 2023 | Idalia | Category 4 | 132 mph | 190 km |
| 2022 | Ian | Category 3 | 115 mph | 156 km |
| 2022 | Nicole | Category 1 | 75 mph | 254 km |
| 2020 | Isaias | Category 1 | 75 mph | 241 km |
| 2019 | Dorian | Category 3 | 121 mph | 171 km |
| 2017 | Irma | Category 1 | 75 mph | 177 km |
| 2016 | Matthew | Category 4 | 127 mph | 73 km |
| 2016 | Hermine | Category 1 | 81 mph | 255 km |
| 2014 | Arthur | Category 1 | 92 mph | 223 km |
| 2005 | Ophelia | Category 1 | 75 mph | 240 km |
| 2004 | Charley | Category 4 | 86 mph | 66 km |
| 2004 | Jeanne | Category 3 | 121 mph | 191 km |
| 2004 | Frances | Category 2 | 109 mph | 229 km |
| 2000 | Gordon | Category 1 | 75 mph | 293 km |
| 1999 | Floyd | Category 3 | 127 mph | 229 km |
| 1999 | Dennis | Category 2 | 104 mph | 294 km |
| 1999 | Irene | Category 1 | 81 mph | 161 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
490 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 21 fatalities, 289 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Feb 2, 2007 | EF3 | 78 km | 26.0 mi | 13 |
| Nov 1, 1997 | EF3 | 87 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 31, 1975 | EF3 | 94 km | 2.0 mi | 1 |
| Feb 7, 1971 | EF3 | 29 km | 13.1 mi | 0 |
| Apr 15, 1958 | EF3 | 29 km | 3.6 mi | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | EF2 | 22 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Aug 18, 2020 | EF2 | 69 km | 4.6 mi | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2017 | EF2 | 23 km | 1.2 mi | 0 |
| Dec 25, 2006 | EF2 | 70 km | 2.8 mi | 0 |
| Dec 25, 2006 | EF2 | 65 km | 2.7 mi | 0 |
| Aug 12, 2004 | EF2 | 97 km | 7.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 29, 2001 | EF2 | 38 km | 12.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 22, 1998 | EF2 | 64 km | 8.0 mi | 1 |
| Oct 7, 1996 | EF2 | 94 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 2, 1996 | EF2 | 79 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1995 | EF2 | 26 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 7, 1995 | EF2 | 97 km | 12.0 mi | 1 |
| Mar 12, 1993 | EF2 | 98 km | 15.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 15, 1987 | EF2 | 96 km | 3.0 mi | 1 |
| Mar 14, 1986 | EF2 | 83 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (121,213 acres, 1998).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 121,213 | 57 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 24,956 | 16 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 19,129 | 55 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 13,873 | 92 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 13,806 | 67 km |
| 2006 | JUNIPER | 11,998 | 53 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 9,972 | 88 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 9,807 | 26 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 9,705 | 56 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 9,554 | 35 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 8,382 | 86 km |
| 2009 | JUNIPER SPRINGS | 8,363 | 52 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 7,345 | 16 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 7,078 | 76 km |
| 2011 | SANTE FE | 6,497 | 64 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 6,345 | 45 km |
| 2011 | ESPANOLA FIRE | 5,468 | 13 km |
| 2012 | UNNAMED | 5,431 | 73 km |
| 1991 | UNNAMED | 4,948 | 14 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 4,907 | 83 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 56°F (13°C) | 3.1 in | Coldest |
| February | 58°F (14°C) | 3.4 in | |
| March | 63°F (17°C) | 3.9 in | |
| April | 68°F (20°C) | 2.4 in | Driest |
| May | 74°F (23°C) | 3.4 in | |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 6.2 in | |
| July | 82°F (28°C) | 6.4 in | Warmest |
| August | 80°F (27°C) | 6.7 in | Wettest |
| September | 79°F (26°C) | 6.4 in | |
| October | 72°F (22°C) | 3.2 in | |
| November | 65°F (18°C) | 2.5 in | |
| December | 58°F (15°C) | 2.8 in |
Flagler Estates has a seasonal temperature swing of 25°F / from 56°F in January to 82°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 50.4 inches, with August being the wettest month (6.7") and April the driest (2.4").