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Weather & Climate in Fleming Island, FL
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Fleming Island has a warm climate with an average annual temperature of 71°F (22°C). Winters average 56°F in January while summers reach 84°F in July. The area gets 301 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 47.6 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 41. The city sits at an elevation of 21 feet.
Temperature
56°F Jan (14°C)
84°F Jul (29°C)
| Annual Average | 71.4°F |
| 32% above US avg | |
| January Average | 56°F (14°C) |
| July Average | 84°F (29°C) |
| Sunny Days | 301 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 21 ft (6 m) |
| Area | 15.8 sq mi (41.0 km²) |
| Population Density | 1,853/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 30.0990°N, 81.7119°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Duval County County |
| Nearest Airport | Northeast Florida Regional (UST) 24 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 41.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively High |
| Risk Score | 97.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 39.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 62.1 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | Relatively High |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate |
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate |
| Flood | Relatively High |
| Hail | Relatively High |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively High |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Very High |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High |
| Landslide | Very Low |
| Coastal Flood | Relatively High |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Hurricane History
22 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Helene | Category 4 | 138 mph | 188 km |
| 2024 | Milton | Category 3 | 115 mph | 210 km |
| 2024 | Debby | Category 1 | 81 mph | 164 km |
| 2023 | Idalia | Category 4 | 132 mph | 137 km |
| 2022 | Ian | Category 2 | 86 mph | 205 km |
| 2020 | Isaias | Category 1 | 92 mph | 228 km |
| 2019 | Dorian | Category 3 | 115 mph | 194 km |
| 2017 | Irma | Category 1 | 75 mph | 216 km |
| 2016 | Matthew | Category 3 | 127 mph | 98 km |
| 2016 | Hermine | Category 1 | 81 mph | 221 km |
| 2014 | Arthur | Category 1 | 92 mph | 242 km |
| 2005 | Ophelia | Category 1 | 75 mph | 287 km |
| 2004 | Jeanne | Category 2 | 86 mph | 235 km |
| 2004 | Frances | Category 1 | 92 mph | 282 km |
| 2004 | Charley | Category 1 | 86 mph | 88 km |
| 1999 | Floyd | Category 3 | 115 mph | 253 km |
| 1999 | Irene | Category 1 | 81 mph | 184 km |
| 1995 | Erin | Category 1 | 86 mph | 296 km |
| 1985 | Elena | Category 3 | 127 mph | 249 km |
| 1985 | Kate | Category 1 | 75 mph | 231 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
407 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 5 fatalities, 114 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Dec 2, 2018 | EF3 | 77 km | 7.1 mi | 0 |
| Feb 7, 1971 | EF3 | 27 km | 13.1 mi | 0 |
| Feb 25, 1960 | EF3 | 89 km | 0.8 mi | 0 |
| Apr 15, 1958 | EF3 | 47 km | 3.6 mi | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | EF2 | 74 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2017 | EF2 | 63 km | 1.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 7, 2008 | EF2 | 91 km | 1.5 mi | 1 |
| Apr 15, 2007 | EF2 | 71 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
| Dec 25, 2006 | EF2 | 69 km | 2.7 mi | 0 |
| Aug 12, 2004 | EF2 | 42 km | 7.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 29, 2001 | EF2 | 26 km | 12.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 2, 1996 | EF2 | 25 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1995 | EF2 | 50 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 2, 1994 | EF2 | 72 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 14, 1986 | EF2 | 77 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 27, 1984 | EF2 | 46 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 27, 1984 | EF2 | 84 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Nov 20, 1983 | EF2 | 90 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 2, 1983 | EF2 | 84 km | 0.3 mi | 0 |
| May 4, 1978 | EF2 | 92 km | 12.8 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: BIG TURNAROUND COMPLEX (328,827 acres, 2007).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2007 | BIG TURNAROUND COMPLEX | 328,827 | 84 km |
| 2017 | WEST MIMS | 166,737 | 83 km |
| 2011 | HONEY PRAIRIE | 147,065 | 87 km |
| 2011 | CRAVENS HAMMOCK | 142,688 | 98 km |
| 2002 | BLACKJACK BAY COMPLEX | 107,076 | 87 km |
| 1999 | FRIENDLY | 75,089 | 82 km |
| 2012 | COUNTY LINE | 35,440 | 85 km |
| 2004 | IMPASSABLE ONE | 29,836 | 75 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 24,956 | 69 km |
| 1998 | OAK | 21,478 | 80 km |
| 1990 | SHORTS | 21,413 | 95 km |
| 2011 | DURDIN PRAIRIE | 19,487 | 95 km |
| 2004 | UNNAMED | 18,577 | 81 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 16,594 | 56 km |
| 1989 | PIN HOOK | 16,471 | 80 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 14,543 | 68 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 13,873 | 51 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 13,806 | 50 km |
| 2006 | JUNIPER | 11,998 | 98 km |
| 2011 | IMPASSABLE BAY | 11,889 | 80 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 56°F (14°C) | 3.5 in | Coldest |
| February | 57°F (14°C) | 3.5 in | |
| March | 63°F (17°C) | 3.9 in | |
| April | 68°F (20°C) | 2.6 in | |
| May | 74°F (24°C) | 3.5 in | |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 6.1 in | |
| July | 84°F (29°C) | 6.1 in | Warmest |
| August | 81°F (27°C) | 7.0 in | Wettest |
| September | 79°F (26°C) | 6.5 in | |
| October | 71°F (22°C) | 3.0 in | |
| November | 64°F (18°C) | 2.4 in | Driest |
| December | 57°F (14°C) | 2.8 in |
Fleming Island has a seasonal temperature swing of 28°F / from 56°F in January to 84°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 50.8 inches, with August being the wettest month (7.0") and November the driest (2.4").