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Weather & Climate in Horseshoe Lake, AR
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Horseshoe Lake enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 63°F (17°C). Winters average 41°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July. The area gets 301 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 56.5 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 1.1 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 201 feet.
Temperature
41°F Jan (5°C)
82°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 62.7°F |
| 16% above US avg | |
| January Average | 41°F (5°C) |
| July Average | 82°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 301 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 201 ft (61 m) |
| Area | 0.2 sq mi (0.4 km²) |
| Population Density | 2,640/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 34.9138°N, 90.3077°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Tunica County County |
| Nearest Airport | Memphis International (MEM) 21 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 43.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 36.3 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 94.2 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 69.8 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
124 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.2.
| May 1, 2005 | 5 km SSE of Manila, Arkansas | M4.2 | 104 km | 10 km |
| Feb 10, 2005 | 3 km NNW of Etowah, Arkansas | M4.1 | 94 km | 15 km |
| Apr 30, 2003 | 1 km N of Blytheville, Arkansas | M4.0 | 120 km | 24 km |
| Oct 29, 2012 | 8 km SW of Parkin, Arkansas | M3.9 | 44 km | 21 km |
| Sep 17, 1997 | 2 km E of Trumann, Arkansas | M3.8 | 86 km | 0 km |
| Nov 29, 1996 | 1 km W of Blytheville, Arkansas | M3.8 | 118 km | 19 km |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 7 km SW of Trumann, Arkansas | M3.7 | 82 km | 14 km |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 6 km SE of Manila, Arkansas | M3.6 | 104 km | 17 km |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 4 km SW of Caruthersville, Missouri | M3.6 | 150 km | 9 km |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 km WNW of Cooter, Missouri | M3.6 | 134 km | 10 km |
| Jan 8, 1993 | 6 km WSW of Gosnell, Arkansas | M3.5 | 116 km | 22 km |
| Aug 25, 2015 | 9 km W of Henning, Tennessee | M3.5 | 101 km | 13 km |
| Aug 29, 1990 | 9 km WSW of Central, Tennessee | M3.4 | 114 km | 15 km |
| Jun 26, 2010 | 10 km NW of Garner, Arkansas | M3.3 | 146 km | 0 km |
| Jun 28, 2010 | 11 km NW of Garner, Arkansas | M3.2 | 146 km | 0 km |
| Jul 17, 2013 | 7 km SW of Trumann, Arkansas | M3.2 | 82 km | 14 km |
| Apr 23, 1994 | 7 km W of Gosnell, Arkansas | M3.2 | 119 km | 5 km |
| Aug 19, 1994 | 9 km WSW of Gilt Edge, Tennessee | M3.2 | 75 km | 11 km |
| May 10, 2008 | 1 km SSE of Sherman, Mississippi | M3.1 | 149 km | 0 km |
| Oct 26, 2002 | 3 km SE of Alligator, Mississippi | M3.1 | 101 km | 3 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
430 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 124 fatalities, 1,365 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Dec 10, 2021 | EF4 | 100 km | 81.2 mi | 8 |
| Dec 23, 2015 | EF4 | 65 km | 75.1 mi | 9 |
| Mar 1, 1997 | EF4 | 96 km | 20.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1952 | EF4 | 86 km | 13.1 mi | 29 |
| Mar 21, 1952 | EF4 | 58 km | 29.6 mi | 16 |
| Mar 21, 1952 | EF4 | 84 km | 0.1 mi | 4 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | EF3 | 67 km | 72.6 mi | 4 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | EF3 | 75 km | 39.2 mi | 1 |
| May 2, 2008 | EF3 | 40 km | 20.2 mi | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2008 | EF3 | 99 km | 31.1 mi | 3 |
| Feb 5, 2008 | EF3 | 91 km | 7.2 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 2006 | EF3 | 76 km | 38.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 21, 1999 | EF3 | 92 km | 16.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 1, 1997 | EF3 | 84 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 1, 1997 | EF3 | 83 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Nov 27, 1994 | EF3 | 47 km | 16.0 mi | 3 |
| Jan 19, 1988 | EF3 | 80 km | 22.0 mi | 3 |
| Dec 14, 1987 | EF3 | 22 km | 25.0 mi | 6 |
| Apr 21, 1984 | EF3 | 26 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 24, 1982 | EF3 | 97 km | 15.0 mi | 1 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Tsunami History
1 tsunami recorded within 500 km.
| Year | Location | Cause | Max Wave | Deaths | Distance |
| 1811 | AR: NE - NEW MADRID EARTHQUAKES | Eruption + Earthquake | — | — | 77 km |
Source: NOAA/NCEI Historical Tsunami Database.
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (3,152 acres, 2017).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 3,152 | 92 km |
| 2014 | C-39 EAST CHEWALLA | 3,107 | 92 km |
| 2022 | HOLLY SPRINGS BB 119/90/88 | 2,955 | 96 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 2,848 | 93 km |
| 2014 | C-84 BAGLEY BOTTOMS | 2,766 | 95 km |
| 2013 | MIDWAY CEM PRESCRIBED BURN | 2,513 | 97 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 2,248 | 100 km |
| 2010 | COMP 42 | 2,142 | 94 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 2,073 | 95 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 1,785 | 94 km |
| 1996 | UNNAMED | 1,363 | 74 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 1,334 | 46 km |
| 1994 | UNNAMED | 1,298 | 87 km |
| 2021 | HOLLY SPRINGS - BB41 | 1,254 | 94 km |
| 2022 | HOLLY SPRINGS BB 35/37/38 | 1,243 | 92 km |
| 2024 | HOLLY SPRINGS IU 89-1 90-1 RX | 1,241 | 95 km |
| 1996 | UNNAMED | 1,192 | 91 km |
| 2024 | HOLLY SPRINGS CPT 21-1 RX | 1,126 | 93 km |
| 2022 | HOLLY SPRINGS BB 72 | 1,101 | 99 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 1,029 | 97 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 41°F (5°C) | 3.9 in | Coldest |
| February | 43°F (6°C) | 4.3 in | |
| March | 52°F (11°C) | 5.4 in | |
| April | 61°F (16°C) | 5.6 in | Wettest |
| May | 70°F (21°C) | 5.5 in | |
| June | 78°F (25°C) | 4.1 in | |
| July | 82°F (28°C) | 3.6 in | Warmest |
| August | 79°F (26°C) | 3.0 in | Driest |
| September | 73°F (23°C) | 3.3 in | |
| October | 62°F (17°C) | 3.3 in | |
| November | 52°F (11°C) | 5.1 in | |
| December | 43°F (6°C) | 5.5 in |
Horseshoe Lake has a seasonal temperature swing of 41°F / from 41°F in January to 82°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 52.5 inches, with April being the wettest month (5.6") and August the driest (3.0").