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Weather & Climate in Lake Valley, NM
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Lake Valley experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 49°F (10°C). Winters average 28°F in January while summers reach 73°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 8.9 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 11.2 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 37. The city sits at an elevation of 5,889 feet.
Temperature
28°F Jan (-2°C)
73°F Jul (23°C)
| Annual Average | 49.3°F |
| 9% below US avg | |
| January Average | 28°F (-2°C) |
| July Average | 73°F (23°C) |
| Sunny Days | 330 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 5,889 ft (1,795 m) |
| Area | 8.4 sq mi (21.6 km²) |
| Population Density | 10/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 36.0901°N, 108.1642°W |
| Timezone | America/Denver |
| County | San Juan County County |
| Nearest Airport | Four Corners Regional (FMN) 45 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 37.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk Score | 88.3 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 91.5 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 5.3 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High |
| Lightning | Relatively High |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low |
| Drought | Relatively High |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate |
| Avalanche | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
29 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.2.
| Jul 12, 2021 | 5 km E of Capulin, New Mexico | M4.2 | 128 km | 13 km |
| May 18, 2023 | 8 km ENE of San Mateo, New Mexico | M3.8 | 97 km | 5 km |
| Jul 12, 2021 | 3 km E of Capulin, New Mexico | M3.7 | 126 km | 10 km |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 km NNW of Seboyeta, New Mexico | M3.5 | 117 km | 5 km |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 km NNE of Capulin, New Mexico | M3.3 | 124 km | 5 km |
| Jul 4, 2021 | 24 km SW of Lake Valley, New Mexico | M3.1 | 24 km | 5 km |
| Jul 12, 2021 | 4 km NNE of Capulin, New Mexico | M3.0 | 126 km | 10 km |
| Jun 14, 2018 | 0 km NW of Regina, New Mexico | M3.0 | 109 km | 5 km |
| Jun 26, 2018 | 3 km ESE of Regina, New Mexico | M3.0 | 112 km | 3 km |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 km ENE of Capulin, New Mexico | M2.9 | 127 km | 6 km |
| Sep 1, 2024 | 7 km ENE of Capulin, New Mexico | M2.9 | 130 km | 10 km |
| Aug 10, 2019 | 5 km E of Bluewater Village, New Mexico | M2.8 | 98 km | 5 km |
| Jun 10, 2020 | 5 km WNW of Tsaile, Arizona | M2.8 | 103 km | 14 km |
| Jul 17, 2009 | 17 km SSE of Eagle Nest, New Mexico | M2.8 | 122 km | 5 km |
| Jun 17, 2022 | 4 km NNW of Regina, New Mexico | M2.8 | 107 km | 3 km |
| Nov 28, 2009 | 28 km SE of Eagle Nest, New Mexico | M2.7 | 133 km | 5 km |
| Jul 12, 2021 | 4 km SE of Capulin, New Mexico | M2.7 | 125 km | 10 km |
| Jul 13, 2021 | 4 km NE of Capulin, New Mexico | M2.7 | 127 km | 10 km |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 18 km WSW of Pueblo Pintado, New Mexico | M2.7 | 39 km | 5 km |
| Sep 23, 1995 | 4 km E of Teec Nos Pos, Arizona | M2.7 | 121 km | 8 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
13 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF2.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| May 10, 1957 | EF2 | 66 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Aug 30, 1966 | EF1 | 94 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
| Mar 21, 2020 | EF0 | 61 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| May 30, 2019 | EF0 | 60 km | 0.4 mi | 0 |
| Feb 17, 2019 | EF0 | 81 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Aug 13, 2016 | EF0 | 75 km | 0.0 mi | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2015 | EF0 | 56 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Sep 18, 2013 | EF0 | 63 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2013 | EF0 | 92 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Oct 23, 2000 | EF0 | 92 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Oct 23, 2000 | EF0 | 92 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Sep 28, 1990 | EF0 | 71 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| May 28, 1963 | EF0 | 72 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Nearby Volcanoes
1 volcano within 200 km. Closest: Zuni-Bandera (144 km).
| Name | Type | Elevation | Last Eruption | Distance |
| Zuni-Bandera | Volcanic field | 2,550 m (8,366 ft) | -1170 | 144 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).
Wildfire History
12 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: ASSAYII LAKE (13,176 acres, 2014).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2014 | ASSAYII LAKE | 13,176 | 62 km |
| 2005 | LITTLE WATER1 | 4,342 | 61 km |
| 2018 | BLUE WATER | 3,663 | 95 km |
| 2005 | HOOK LAKE | 3,609 | 71 km |
| 2009 | SAWMILL ROAD RX | 3,411 | 99 km |
| 1999 | LA JARA | 3,249 | 100 km |
| 2004 | TURKEY SPRING | 3,017 | 93 km |
| 2004 | SANDSPRING | 2,935 | 63 km |
| 2010 | FLUTED ROCK LAKE RX | 2,630 | 95 km |
| 2001 | VALLES | 2,460 | 97 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 1,983 | 100 km |
| 2011 | CATTAIL CANYON JACKPOT BURN | 1,801 | 90 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 28°F (-2°C) | 0.6 in | Coldest |
| February | 36°F (2°C) | 0.5 in | |
| March | 42°F (5°C) | 0.6 in | |
| April | 49°F (9°C) | 0.4 in | Driest |
| May | 58°F (14°C) | 0.6 in | |
| June | 68°F (20°C) | 0.4 in | |
| July | 73°F (23°C) | 1.2 in | Warmest |
| August | 71°F (22°C) | 1.4 in | Wettest |
| September | 64°F (18°C) | 1.1 in | |
| October | 52°F (11°C) | 1.0 in | |
| November | 40°F (4°C) | 0.6 in | |
| December | 31°F (-1°C) | 0.6 in |
Lake Valley has a seasonal temperature swing of 45°F / from 28°F in January to 73°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 9.0 inches, with August being the wettest month (1.4") and April the driest (0.4").