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Weather & Climate in Manuelito, NM
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Manuelito experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 51°F (11°C). Winters average 33°F in January while summers reach 72°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 11.2 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 10.0 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 37. The city sits at an elevation of 6,319 feet.
Temperature
33°F Jan (0°C)
72°F Jul (22°C)
| Annual Average | 51.3°F |
| 5% below US avg | |
| January Average | 33°F (0°C) |
| July Average | 72°F (22°C) |
| Sunny Days | 330 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 6,319 ft (1,926 m) |
| Area | 8.2 sq mi (21.2 km²) |
| Population Density | 5/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 35.4387°N, 108.9946°W |
| Timezone | America/Denver |
| County | McKinley County County |
| Nearest Airport | Show Low Regional (SOW) 99 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 37.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 78.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 99.8 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 0.5 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Hurricane | No Rating |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Relatively High |
| Lightning | Relatively High |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | No Rating |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate |
| Volcano | Very Low |
| Avalanche | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
16 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.9.
| Jan 6, 1998 | 15 km WSW of Joseph City, Arizona | M3.9 | 148 km | 5 km |
| May 18, 2023 | 8 km ENE of San Mateo, New Mexico | M3.8 | 130 km | 5 km |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 km NNW of Seboyeta, New Mexico | M3.5 | 146 km | 5 km |
| Sep 23, 2019 | 22 km NNW of Saint Johns, Arizona | M3.1 | 90 km | 5 km |
| Jul 4, 2021 | 24 km SW of Lake Valley, New Mexico | M3.1 | 80 km | 5 km |
| Jun 10, 2020 | 5 km WNW of Tsaile, Arizona | M2.8 | 102 km | 14 km |
| Aug 10, 2019 | 5 km E of Bluewater Village, New Mexico | M2.8 | 100 km | 5 km |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 18 km WSW of Pueblo Pintado, New Mexico | M2.7 | 117 km | 5 km |
| Sep 7, 2014 | 4 km WSW of Sun Valley, Arizona | M2.6 | 113 km | 5 km |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 17 km ENE of Chilchinbito, Arizona | M2.6 | 150 km | 13 km |
| Aug 26, 2024 | 8 km S of Rough Rock, Arizona | M2.6 | 128 km | 5 km |
| May 20, 2024 | 11 km WNW of Ramah, New Mexico | M2.6 | 46 km | 11 km |
| May 8, 2025 | 44 km SSW of San Rafael, New Mexico | M2.6 | 119 km | 8 km |
| Jul 16, 2022 | 11 km NW of Many Farms, Arizona | M2.5 | 128 km | 5 km |
| Aug 25, 2024 | 13 km NNE of Round Rock, Arizona | M2.5 | 137 km | 5 km |
| Jun 23, 2006 | 5 km NNW of Seboyeta, New Mexico | M2.5 | 145 km | 5 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
8 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF0.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Jun 17, 2021 | EF0 | 43 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2015 | EF0 | 74 km | 6.9 mi | 0 |
| May 22, 2009 | EF0 | 82 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Jul 25, 2005 | EF0 | 62 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 3, 2003 | EF0 | 99 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2003 | EF0 | 46 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 27, 1974 | EF0 | 96 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Oct 17, 1962 | EF0 | 73 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Nearby Volcanoes
2 volcanoes within 200 km. Closest: Zuni-Bandera (115 km).
| Name | Type | Elevation | Last Eruption | Distance |
| Zuni-Bandera | Volcanic field | 2,550 m (8,366 ft) | -1170 | 115 km |
| Red Hill | Volcanic field | 2,300 m (7,546 ft) | -9450 | 133 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: WOOD SPRINGS 2 (13,208 acres, 2020).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2020 | WOOD SPRINGS 2 | 13,208 | 59 km |
| 2014 | ASSAYII LAKE | 13,176 | 67 km |
| 2018 | DIENER CANYON | 9,824 | 86 km |
| 2004 | SEDGWICK | 9,241 | 87 km |
| 2005 | LITTLE WATER1 | 4,342 | 61 km |
| 2018 | BLUE WATER | 3,663 | 85 km |
| 2005 | HOOK LAKE | 3,609 | 82 km |
| 2009 | SAWMILL ROAD RX | 3,411 | 49 km |
| 2019 | REDONDO RX | 3,382 | 78 km |
| 2004 | TURKEY SPRING | 3,017 | 76 km |
| 2007 | OAK RIDGE 3 | 2,959 | 39 km |
| 2004 | SANDSPRING | 2,935 | 68 km |
| 1996 | ALLENTOWN5 | 2,653 | 30 km |
| 2010 | FLUTED ROCK LAKE RX | 2,630 | 57 km |
| 2004 | BROADCAST BLOCK 1 | 2,285 | 96 km |
| 2006 | KINLICHEE CANYON 1 | 2,283 | 39 km |
| 1996 | HDSCRABBLE | 2,217 | 65 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 1,983 | 81 km |
| 2005 | KINLICHEE | 1,949 | 37 km |
| 1989 | HOYA | 1,869 | 100 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 33°F (0°C) | 0.8 in | |
| February | 33°F (1°C) | 0.8 in | |
| March | 39°F (4°C) | 1.0 in | |
| April | 46°F (8°C) | 0.6 in | |
| May | 55°F (13°C) | 0.4 in | Driest |
| June | 65°F (18°C) | 0.4 in | |
| July | 72°F (22°C) | 1.8 in | Warmest |
| August | 68°F (20°C) | 2.1 in | Wettest |
| September | 62°F (17°C) | 1.3 in | |
| October | 51°F (10°C) | 1.3 in | |
| November | 38°F (4°C) | 0.9 in | |
| December | 30°F (-1°C) | 0.9 in | Coldest |
Manuelito has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 30°F in December to 72°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 12.2 inches, with August being the wettest month (2.1") and May the driest (0.4").