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Weather & Climate in McMinnville, TN

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

McMinnville enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F (16°C). Winters average 41°F in January while summers reach 78°F in July. The area gets 301 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 54.4 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 4.1 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 40. The city sits at an elevation of 1,016 feet.

Temperature

41°F Jan (5°C) 78°F Jul (26°C)
Annual Average60.2°F
11% above US avg
January Average41°F (5°C)
July Average78°F (26°C)
Sunny Days301 days/yr

Geography

Elevation1,016 ft (310 m)
Area11.1 sq mi (28.6 km²)
Population Density1,245/sq mi
Coordinates35.6863°N, 85.7812°W
TimezoneAmerica/Chicago
CountyWarren County County
Nearest AirportTullahoma Regional/Wm Northern Field (THA)
34 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 54.4"
43% above US avg
Snowfall 4.1"
Wettest Month (Mar) 5.94"
Driest Month (Oct) 3.46"

Air Quality

AQI Median40.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskRelatively Low
Risk Score63.5 / 100
Social Vulnerability67.3 / 100
Community Resilience23.3 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

129 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.6.

Apr 29, 2003 8 km S of Valley Head, Alabama M4.6 133 km 20 km
Dec 8, 2001 5 km SW of Pleasant Groves, Alabama M3.9 116 km 0 km
Jun 17, 1998 9 km SSE of Coalfield, Tennessee M3.6 129 km 11 km
Jul 19, 1997 12 km E of Cohutta, Georgia M3.5 120 km 3 km
Jun 19, 2007 10 km ENE of Spencer, Tennessee M3.5 40 km 1 km
Aug 31, 2009 2 km NNE of Friendsville, Tennessee M3.3 150 km 14 km
Mar 18, 1995 10 km SE of Dayton, Tennessee M3.3 82 km 26 km
Apr 11, 2006 5 km NE of Etowah, Tennessee M3.3 123 km 20 km
Apr 5, 1994 10 km N of Trenton, Georgia M3.2 84 km 24 km
Mar 7, 2001 5 km WNW of Decatur, Tennessee M3.2 87 km 18 km
Mar 21, 2001 7 km ESE of Trenton, Georgia M3.2 98 km 0 km
Mar 7, 2001 6 km NW of Decatur, Tennessee M3.2 86 km 7 km
May 10, 2006 3 km WNW of Madisonville, Tennessee M3.2 126 km 25 km
May 10, 2020 7 km SSE of Sewanee, Tennessee M3.1 62 km 8 km
Jan 15, 1993 1 km N of Apison, Tennessee M3.1 99 km 8 km
Jun 23, 2008 10 km ESE of Cohutta, Georgia M3.1 120 km 9 km
Apr 29, 2003 7 km E of Fort Payne, Alabama M3.1 139 km 3 km
Oct 30, 1991 9 km NNE of Eton, Georgia M3.1 130 km 8 km
May 2, 2003 8 km S of Valley Head, Alabama M3.1 134 km 15 km
Nov 10, 1992 4 km ESE of Greenback, Tennessee M3.0 149 km 10 km
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Tornado History

471 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 112 fatalities, 1,549 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Path Fatalities
Mar 3, 2020 EF4 55 km 8.4 mi 19
Apr 27, 2011 EF4 100 km 30.2 mi 1
Apr 27, 2011 EF4 51 km 40.2 mi 4
Apr 10, 2009 EF4 97 km 23.3 mi 2
Jan 24, 1997 EF4 66 km 6.5 mi 0
Apr 3, 1974 EF4 89 km 18.8 mi 7
Apr 3, 1974 EF4 43 km 28.4 mi 10
May 2, 1953 EF4 92 km 4.2 mi 4
Feb 29, 1952 EF4 94 km 2.0 mi 2
Feb 13, 1952 EF4 72 km 12.7 mi 3
Apr 12, 2020 EF3 96 km 19.3 mi 2
Mar 2, 2012 EF3 84 km 41.0 mi 0
Feb 5, 2008 EF3 92 km 50.3 mi 22
May 11, 2003 EF3 63 km 1.0 mi 0
May 5, 2003 EF3 86 km 1.6 mi 0
Nov 10, 2002 EF3 66 km 12.2 mi 4
Apr 28, 2002 EF3 54 km 3.2 mi 0
Mar 29, 1997 EF3 100 km 4.0 mi 0
Mar 29, 1997 EF3 82 km 8.0 mi 0
May 18, 1995 EF3 54 km 9.0 mi 0
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (4,675 acres, 2003).

Year Name Acres Burned Distance
2003 UNNAMED 4,675 97 km
2001 UNNAMED 4,635 97 km
2001 UNNAMED 4,213 51 km
2000 UNNAMED 3,539 95 km
1999 UNNAMED 2,638 28 km
2001 UNNAMED 2,084 85 km
2016 BRIDGE CREEK ROAD 1,777 53 km
2016 BENCH BLUFF 1,715 50 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,691 44 km
2003 UNNAMED 1,635 51 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,491 71 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,301 96 km
2004 UNNAMED 1,271 74 km
2003 UNNAMED 1,259 70 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,250 47 km
2004 UNNAMED 1,236 19 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,210 40 km
1999 UNNAMED 1,201 35 km
2001 UNNAMED 1,173 82 km
2009 LOWER FORD RD 1,108 28 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 41°F (5°C) 4.7 in
February 40°F (5°C) 4.4 in Coldest
March 49°F (9°C) 5.9 in Wettest
April 57°F (14°C) 4.5 in
May 65°F (18°C) 5.2 in
June 73°F (23°C) 4.3 in
July 78°F (26°C) 4.8 in Warmest
August 76°F (24°C) 3.9 in
September 70°F (21°C) 4.1 in
October 58°F (15°C) 3.5 in Driest
November 49°F (9°C) 4.8 in
December 41°F (5°C) 5.4 in

McMinnville has a seasonal temperature swing of 38°F / from 40°F in February to 78°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 55.5 inches, with March being the wettest month (5.9") and October the driest (3.5").

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