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Weather & Climate in Monticello, AR
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Monticello enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 64°F (18°C). Winters average 44°F in January while summers reach 83°F in July. The area gets 304 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 53.0 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 279 feet.
Temperature
44°F Jan (7°C)
83°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 64.1°F |
| 19% above US avg | |
| January Average | 44°F (7°C) |
| July Average | 83°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 304 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 279 ft (85 m) |
| Area | 11.0 sq mi (28.6 km²) |
| Population Density | 775/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 33.6248°N, 91.7937°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Drew County County |
| Nearest Airport | Pinebluff Regional/Grider Field (PBF) 39 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 43.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 35.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 94.1 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 43.3 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
16 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.7.
| Jan 8, 2019 | 8 km WNW of Hollandale, Mississippi | M3.7 | 93 km | 16 km |
| Jun 10, 1994 | 4 km E of Junction City, Arkansas | M3.2 | 106 km | 5 km |
| Aug 11, 1996 | 9 km WSW of Shaw, Mississippi | M3.1 | 85 km | 10 km |
| Oct 26, 2002 | 3 km SE of Alligator, Mississippi | M3.1 | 113 km | 3 km |
| Mar 3, 2001 | 2 km SSE of El Dorado, Arkansas | M3.0 | 94 km | 5 km |
| May 16, 2007 | 5 km SW of Calion, Arkansas | M3.0 | 82 km | 5 km |
| Dec 17, 2001 | 3 km WSW of El Dorado, Arkansas | M2.8 | 97 km | 10 km |
| Jan 9, 1997 | 6 km E of El Dorado, Arkansas | M2.8 | 89 km | 5 km |
| Feb 24, 2020 | 12 km ENE of Junction City, Arkansas | M2.8 | 97 km | 14 km |
| May 11, 2020 | 13 km SSE of El Dorado, Arkansas | M2.8 | 95 km | 12 km |
| Feb 11, 1991 | 10 km SSW of Clarksdale, Mississippi | M2.7 | 123 km | 12 km |
| Dec 24, 1997 | 7 km W of El Dorado, Arkansas | M2.6 | 101 km | 5 km |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 9 km SE of Redfield, Arkansas | M2.6 | 90 km | 29 km |
| Apr 11, 1996 | 9 km ENE of Biscoe, Arkansas | M2.6 | 144 km | 7 km |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 9 km E of Leola, Arkansas | M2.6 | 89 km | 10 km |
| Oct 20, 1999 | 8 km NE of Clarendon, Arkansas | M2.5 | 136 km | 9 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
2 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2020 | Laura | Category 2 | 98 mph | 218 km |
| 2005 | Katrina | Category 1 | 92 mph | 295 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
428 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 23 fatalities, 485 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Nov 24, 2001 | EF4 | 67 km | 30.3 mi | 0 |
| Apr 17, 1978 | EF4 | 76 km | 3.6 mi | 0 |
| Mar 28, 1975 | EF4 | 31 km | 5.4 mi | 7 |
| Apr 3, 1968 | EF4 | 33 km | 33.7 mi | 5 |
| May 10, 2008 | EF3 | 98 km | 14.1 mi | 0 |
| Feb 24, 2007 | EF3 | 13 km | 29.1 mi | 0 |
| Nov 24, 2001 | EF3 | 92 km | 30.0 mi | 3 |
| Feb 24, 2001 | EF3 | 34 km | 42.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 21, 1999 | EF3 | 84 km | 11.0 mi | 0 |
| May 14, 1983 | EF3 | 66 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 3, 1982 | EF3 | 94 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 8, 1979 | EF3 | 42 km | 17.7 mi | 0 |
| Mar 20, 1976 | EF3 | 84 km | 4.6 mi | 0 |
| Jun 20, 1972 | EF3 | 41 km | 0.3 mi | 0 |
| Mar 28, 1972 | EF3 | 82 km | 10.4 mi | 0 |
| Nov 27, 1968 | EF3 | 98 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Feb 9, 1965 | EF3 | 72 km | 10.5 mi | 0 |
| Feb 9, 1965 | EF3 | 32 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
| Dec 19, 1957 | EF3 | 85 km | 3.8 mi | 0 |
| May 23, 1957 | EF3 | 3 km | 5.2 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (4,134 acres, 2006).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 4,134 | 51 km |
| 2006 | MOLLICY WARREN | 2,175 | 80 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 2,066 | 99 km |
| 2000 | UNNAMED | 2,042 | 45 km |
| 2012 | LACEY | 1,439 | 20 km |
| 2010 | DREW | 1,283 | 25 km |
| 2006 | SHALLOW LAKE ROAD WEST 2 H | 1,146 | 66 km |
| 2013 | SINGLETON CREEK | 1,124 | 39 km |
| 2007 | BOULDIN HOUSE N 3F | 1,061 | 69 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 1,057 | 58 km |
| 2011 | SHALLOW LAKE WEST | 900 | 66 km |
| 2000 | SHALLOW LAKE W | 892 | 66 km |
| 1986 | UNNAMED | 889 | 67 km |
| 1987 | UNNAMED | 839 | 68 km |
| 2010 | EAST CAMDEN | 837 | 91 km |
| 1989 | SHALLOW LAKE | 820 | 67 km |
| 1996 | RIDGE ROAD | 804 | 66 km |
| 2006 | PINE ISLAND | 757 | 60 km |
| 2014 | ARFSR-FY14-RX-JONES LAKE | 752 | 64 km |
| 1995 | BOULDINHSE | 748 | 68 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 44°F (7°C) | 4.5 in | Coldest |
| February | 46°F (8°C) | 4.8 in | |
| March | 54°F (12°C) | 5.8 in | Wettest |
| April | 62°F (17°C) | 4.7 in | |
| May | 70°F (21°C) | 4.8 in | |
| June | 77°F (25°C) | 3.9 in | |
| July | 83°F (28°C) | 4.5 in | Warmest |
| August | 80°F (27°C) | 3.3 in | Driest |
| September | 74°F (23°C) | 3.4 in | |
| October | 63°F (17°C) | 4.2 in | |
| November | 53°F (12°C) | 5.1 in | |
| December | 45°F (7°C) | 5.3 in |
Monticello has a seasonal temperature swing of 39°F / from 44°F in January to 83°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 54.2 inches, with March being the wettest month (5.8") and August the driest (3.3").