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Weather & Climate in Nocatee, FL
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Nocatee has a warm climate with an average annual temperature of 71°F (22°C). Winters average 57°F in January while summers reach 83°F in July. The area gets 306 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 52.4 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 41. The city sits at an elevation of 29 feet.
Temperature
57°F Jan (14°C)
83°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 71.4°F |
| 32% above US avg | |
| January Average | 57°F (14°C) |
| July Average | 83°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 306 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 29 ft (9 m) |
| Area | 26.8 sq mi (69.4 km²) |
| Population Density | 954/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 30.0851°N, 81.4099°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Duval County County |
| Nearest Airport | Northeast Florida Regional (UST) 10 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 41.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively High |
| Risk Score | 97.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 39.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 62.1 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively High |
| Hurricane | Relatively High |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate |
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate |
| Flood | Relatively High |
| Hail | Relatively High |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Relatively High |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Very High |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High |
| Landslide | Very Low |
| Coastal Flood | Relatively High |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Hurricane History
25 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Helene | Category 4 | 138 mph | 216 km |
| 2024 | Milton | Category 3 | 115 mph | 192 km |
| 2024 | Debby | Category 1 | 81 mph | 193 km |
| 2023 | Idalia | Category 4 | 132 mph | 161 km |
| 2022 | Ian | Category 2 | 86 mph | 183 km |
| 2022 | Nicole | Category 1 | 75 mph | 297 km |
| 2020 | Isaias | Category 1 | 75 mph | 205 km |
| 2019 | Dorian | Category 3 | 115 mph | 165 km |
| 2017 | Irma | Category 1 | 75 mph | 223 km |
| 2016 | Matthew | Category 3 | 127 mph | 69 km |
| 2016 | Hermine | Category 1 | 81 mph | 250 km |
| 2014 | Arthur | Category 1 | 92 mph | 213 km |
| 2005 | Ophelia | Category 1 | 75 mph | 263 km |
| 2004 | Jeanne | Category 2 | 86 mph | 239 km |
| 2004 | Frances | Category 1 | 92 mph | 277 km |
| 2004 | Charley | Category 1 | 86 mph | 59 km |
| 1999 | Floyd | Category 3 | 127 mph | 223 km |
| 1999 | Dennis | Category 2 | 104 mph | 281 km |
| 1999 | Irene | Category 1 | 81 mph | 155 km |
| 1996 | Bertha | Category 2 | 98 mph | 293 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
361 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 4 fatalities, 97 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Dec 2, 2018 | EF3 | 78 km | 7.1 mi | 0 |
| Feb 7, 1971 | EF3 | 25 km | 13.1 mi | 0 |
| Apr 15, 1958 | EF3 | 26 km | 3.6 mi | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | EF2 | 60 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 10, 2017 | EF2 | 44 km | 1.2 mi | 0 |
| Apr 15, 2007 | EF2 | 95 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
| Dec 25, 2006 | EF2 | 98 km | 2.7 mi | 0 |
| Aug 12, 2004 | EF2 | 57 km | 7.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 29, 2001 | EF2 | 41 km | 12.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 2, 1996 | EF2 | 40 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1995 | EF2 | 57 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 2, 1994 | EF2 | 73 km | 0.2 mi | 0 |
| Feb 27, 1984 | EF2 | 68 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 27, 1984 | EF2 | 87 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Nov 20, 1983 | EF2 | 96 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Nov 20, 1983 | EF2 | 74 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1978 | EF2 | 99 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 5, 1977 | EF2 | 58 km | 9.4 mi | 1 |
| Mar 18, 1975 | EF2 | 20 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| May 12, 1974 | EF2 | 26 km | 4.3 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (24,956 acres, 1998).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 24,956 | 55 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 19,129 | 99 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 16,594 | 80 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 14,543 | 96 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 13,873 | 80 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 13,806 | 74 km |
| 2006 | JUNIPER | 11,998 | 100 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 9,807 | 65 km |
| 1985 | UNNAMED | 9,554 | 76 km |
| 2009 | JUNIPER SPRINGS | 8,363 | 99 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 7,345 | 38 km |
| 2000 | GA-2 | 7,319 | 92 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 7,078 | 85 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 6,572 | 99 km |
| 2011 | SANTE FE | 6,497 | 73 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 6,345 | 90 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 5,631 | 99 km |
| 2004 | HORN | 5,561 | 91 km |
| 2011 | ESPANOLA FIRE | 5,468 | 61 km |
| 2002 | NO.1WILD | 5,355 | 98 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 57°F (14°C) | 3.4 in | Coldest |
| February | 57°F (14°C) | 3.5 in | |
| March | 63°F (17°C) | 3.8 in | |
| April | 68°F (20°C) | 2.5 in | |
| May | 74°F (23°C) | 3.4 in | |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 5.7 in | |
| July | 83°F (28°C) | 5.7 in | Warmest |
| August | 81°F (27°C) | 6.5 in | |
| September | 79°F (26°C) | 6.8 in | Wettest |
| October | 72°F (22°C) | 3.6 in | |
| November | 64°F (18°C) | 2.4 in | Driest |
| December | 57°F (14°C) | 2.8 in |
Nocatee has a seasonal temperature swing of 26°F / from 57°F in January to 83°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 50.0 inches, with September being the wettest month (6.8") and November the driest (2.4").