Weather & Climate in Northchase, NC

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Northchase enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 62°F (17°C). Winters average 45°F in January while summers reach 80°F in July. The area gets 302 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 63.5 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 40. The city sits at an elevation of 34 feet.

Temperature

45°F Jan (7°C) 80°F Jul (27°C)

Annual Average	62.4°F
	16% above US avg
January Average	45°F (7°C)
July Average	80°F (27°C)
Sunny Days	302 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	34 ft (10 m)
Area	0.7 sq mi (1.8 km²)
Population Density	3,418/sq mi
Coordinates	34.3078°N, 77.8775°W
Timezone	America/New_York
County	New Hanover County County
Nearest Airport	Wilmington International (ILM) 3 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 63.5"

67% above US avg

Snowfall 0.2"

Wettest Month (Jul) 7.80"

Driest Month (Oct) 2.83"

Air Quality

AQI Median	40.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively High
Risk Score	96.1 / 100
Social Vulnerability	19.0 / 100
Community Resilience	90.2 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Relatively High
Hurricane	Very High
Earthquake	Relatively Low
Wildfire	Relatively Low
Flood	Relatively Moderate
Hail	Very Low
Strong Wind	Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave	Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather	Relatively High
Lightning	Very High
Ice Storm	Relatively High
Drought	Very Low
Cold Wave	Relatively Moderate
Landslide	Very Low
Coastal Flood	Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

1 earthquake (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.6.

Aug 6, 1994	4 km SSW of Bayboro, North Carolina	M3.6	133 km	0 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Hurricane History

25 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.

Year	Name	Category	Max Wind	Closest
2022	Ian	Category 1	81 mph	166 km
2020	Isaias	Category 1	92 mph	73 km
2019	Dorian	Category 3	115 mph	81 km
2018	Florence	Category 3	109 mph	14 km
2016	Matthew	Category 2	98 mph	70 km
2014	Arthur	Category 2	98 mph	63 km
2011	Irene	Category 1	86 mph	111 km
2005	Ophelia	Category 1	86 mph	57 km
2004	Alex	Category 2	98 mph	120 km
2004	Gaston	Category 1	75 mph	216 km
2004	Charley	Category 1	81 mph	95 km
2003	Isabel	Category 2	104 mph	161 km
1999	Irene	Category 2	109 mph	110 km
1999	Floyd	Category 2	104 mph	33 km
1999	Dennis	Category 2	104 mph	143 km
1998	Bonnie	Category 3	115 mph	16 km
1996	Fran	Category 3	115 mph	44 km
1996	Bertha	Category 2	104 mph	7 km
1994	Gordon	Category 1	81 mph	203 km
1993	Emily	Category 3	115 mph	247 km

Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).

Tornado History

323 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 27 fatalities, 776 injuries.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
Mar 28, 1984	EF4	89 km	21.0 mi	3
Feb 15, 2021	EF3	73 km	21.9 mi	3
Apr 16, 2011	EF3	66 km	3.8 mi	0
Nov 16, 2006	EF3	34 km	2.2 mi	8
Mar 28, 1984	EF3	99 km	9.0 mi	0
Apr 18, 1969	EF3	91 km	25.8 mi	0
Aug 17, 1965	EF3	90 km	0.3 mi	0
Mar 17, 1965	EF3	98 km	41.3 mi	2
Apr 8, 1957	EF3	61 km	8.0 mi	0
Oct 9, 1950	EF3	68 km	2.0 mi	0
Aug 7, 2024	EF2	49 km	4.7 mi	0
Aug 3, 2020	EF2	52 km	8.3 mi	0
Sep 5, 2019	EF2	85 km	13.0 mi	0
Sep 5, 2019	EF2	74 km	9.3 mi	0
Nov 24, 2018	EF2	97 km	2.8 mi	0
Sep 8, 2014	EF2	58 km	0.2 mi	0
Apr 16, 2011	EF2	93 km	29.9 mi	3
Apr 16, 2011	EF2	80 km	2.4 mi	0
Apr 16, 2011	EF2	87 km	13.1 mi	1
Apr 6, 2009	EF2	67 km	1.4 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (77,768 acres, 1986).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
1986	UNNAMED	77,768	26 km
2011	JUNIPER ROAD	31,511	30 km
1994	UNNAMED	7,944	43 km
1985	UNNAMED	5,807	97 km
2009	CAROLINA BAY	3,056	99 km
1985	UNNAMED	2,970	33 km
1992	GREAT LAKE	2,843	95 km
1986	UNNAMED	2,642	81 km
2001	UNNAMED	2,204	98 km
2020	TRAM ROAD/GRASSY ROAD	2,076	25 km
1993	UNNAMED	2,073	45 km
2006	UNNAMED	2,027	96 km
1986	UNNAMED	2,024	6 km
2013	WOODPECKER FIRE	2,015	92 km
2010	BURNCOMP27	1,894	91 km
2020	CRO PETTIFORD CREEK - C-29/30/31 RX	1,878	91 km
2020	CRO HUNTERS CREEK C-37 RX	1,616	92 km
2006	UNNAMED	1,602	86 km
2020	CRO MILLIS ROAD C-28/26 RX	1,584	96 km
2014	SHAKEN CREEK	1,469	39 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	45°F (7°C)	4.3 in	Coldest
February	48°F (9°C)	3.9 in
March	55°F (13°C)	4.1 in
April	62°F (17°C)	3.0 in
May	70°F (21°C)	4.3 in
June	77°F (25°C)	5.6 in
July	80°F (27°C)	7.8 in	Warmest, Wettest
August	79°F (26°C)	6.9 in
September	75°F (24°C)	5.9 in
October	65°F (18°C)	2.8 in	Driest
November	56°F (14°C)	3.2 in
December	49°F (9°C)	3.7 in

Northchase has a seasonal temperature swing of 36°F / from 45°F in January to 80°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 55.2 inches, with July being the wettest month (7.8") and October the driest (2.8").

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