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Weather & Climate in Rosebud, TX
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Rosebud enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 65°F (19°C). Winters average 46°F in January while summers reach 83°F in July. The area gets 303 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 39.1 inches. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42. The city sits at an elevation of 405 feet.
Temperature
46°F Jan (8°C)
83°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 65.3°F |
| 21% above US avg | |
| January Average | 46°F (8°C) |
| July Average | 83°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 303 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 405 ft (123 m) |
| Area | 0.8 sq mi (2.1 km²) |
| Population Density | 1,346/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 31.0757°N, 96.9745°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Falls County County |
| Nearest Airport | Draughon-Miller Central Texas Regional (TPL) 26 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 42.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 26.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 85.6 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 35.2 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low |
| Drought | Relatively Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
8 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M2.9.
| Sep 3, 2015 | 7 km NNE of Leander, Texas | M2.9 | 95 km | 5 km |
| Dec 5, 2009 | 7 km S of Midlothian, Texas | M2.9 | 149 km | 5 km |
| Jun 2, 2009 | 1 km WNW of Cleburne, Texas | M2.8 | 148 km | 5 km |
| Jun 12, 2011 | 4 km NNW of Plum Grove, Texas | M2.7 | 129 km | 5 km |
| Jun 7, 2009 | 6 km NNE of Rio Vista, Texas | M2.6 | 139 km | 5 km |
| Jun 26, 2012 | Northern Texas | M2.5 | 145 km | 5 km |
| Jun 25, 2011 | 7 km NNW of Maypearl, Texas | M2.5 | 144 km | 5 km |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 4 km SSW of Round Top, Texas | M2.5 | 120 km | 17 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
10 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 3.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Beryl | Category 1 | 92 mph | 219 km |
| 2021 | Nicholas | Category 1 | 75 mph | 281 km |
| 2017 | Harvey | Category 2 | 75 mph | 266 km |
| 2008 | Ike | Category 2 | 109 mph | 160 km |
| 2005 | Rita | Category 1 | 75 mph | 282 km |
| 2003 | Claudette | Category 1 | 81 mph | 275 km |
| 1989 | Chantal | Category 1 | 81 mph | 297 km |
| 1989 | Jerry | Category 1 | 86 mph | 282 km |
| 1986 | Bonnie | Category 1 | 86 mph | 288 km |
| 1983 | Alicia | Category 3 | 115 mph | 208 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
471 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF5. Total: 168 fatalities, 994 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| May 27, 1997 | EF5 | 68 km | 5.1 mi | 27 |
| May 6, 1973 | EF5 | 78 km | 10.6 mi | 0 |
| May 11, 1953 | EF5 | 55 km | 20.9 mi | 114 |
| Mar 10, 1973 | EF4 | 52 km | 23.3 mi | 6 |
| Mar 31, 1959 | EF4 | 89 km | 10.4 mi | 6 |
| Apr 21, 1952 | EF4 | 65 km | 2.3 mi | 0 |
| Apr 12, 2022 | EF3 | 80 km | 16.6 mi | 0 |
| Apr 13, 2019 | EF3 | 34 km | 32.5 mi | 0 |
| May 12, 2000 | EF3 | 99 km | 7.0 mi | 2 |
| Mar 10, 2000 | EF3 | 78 km | 21.0 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 1997 | EF3 | 100 km | 9.2 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 1997 | EF3 | 48 km | 1.4 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 1997 | EF3 | 43 km | 3.7 mi | 0 |
| Apr 27, 1990 | EF3 | 74 km | 4.0 mi | 0 |
| Mar 14, 1990 | EF3 | 50 km | 9.0 mi | 0 |
| May 17, 1989 | EF3 | 70 km | 3.0 mi | 1 |
| May 9, 1981 | EF3 | 100 km | 5.2 mi | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1980 | EF3 | 93 km | 31.7 mi | 1 |
| May 26, 1976 | EF3 | 53 km | 2.0 mi | 2 |
| May 14, 1969 | EF3 | 94 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
14 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: CRITTENBERG COMPLEX (21,391 acres, 2022).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2022 | CRITTENBERG COMPLEX | 21,391 | 73 km |
| 2011 | ROBINETTE | 6,039 | 75 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 5,706 | 69 km |
| 2011 | S839 CONCORD ROBBINS | 4,388 | 80 km |
| 2011 | C#491 | 3,616 | 66 km |
| 2018 | HARMAN ROAD | 3,094 | 99 km |
| 2009 | OWL CREEK | 2,376 | 75 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 2,236 | 70 km |
| 2006 | BROWNS CREEK RANGE | 1,889 | 74 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 1,581 | 78 km |
| 2008 | HWY 195 FIRE | 1,523 | 79 km |
| 2009 | UNNAMED | 1,445 | 66 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 1,140 | 73 km |
| 2011 | CEDAR RIDGE | 1,051 | 90 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 46°F (8°C) | 2.2 in | Coldest |
| February | 52°F (11°C) | 2.5 in | |
| March | 60°F (16°C) | 2.6 in | |
| April | 67°F (20°C) | 3.2 in | |
| May | 74°F (24°C) | 4.8 in | Wettest |
| June | 81°F (27°C) | 3.2 in | |
| July | 83°F (28°C) | 2.0 in | |
| August | 84°F (29°C) | 1.9 in | Warmest, Driest |
| September | 79°F (26°C) | 3.9 in | |
| October | 69°F (21°C) | 3.7 in | |
| November | 58°F (15°C) | 3.0 in | |
| December | 50°F (10°C) | 2.6 in |
Rosebud has a seasonal temperature swing of 38°F / from 46°F in January to 84°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 35.4 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.8") and August the driest (1.9").