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Weather & Climate in Shenandoah, VA

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Shenandoah experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 54°F (12°C). Winters average 32°F in January while summers reach 75°F in July. The area gets 302 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 39.0 inches. The area receives 19.4 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35. The city sits at an elevation of 1,030 feet.

Temperature

32°F Jan (0°C) 75°F Jul (24°C)
Annual Average53.6°F
1% below US avg
January Average32°F (0°C)
July Average75°F (24°C)
Sunny Days302 days/yr

Geography

Elevation1,030 ft (314 m)
Area2.2 sq mi (5.6 km²)
Population Density1,443/sq mi
Coordinates38.4871°N, 78.6165°W
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
CountyPage County County
Nearest AirportShenandoah Valley Regional (SHD)
22 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 39.0"
3% above US avg
Snowfall 19.4"
Wettest Month (Jul) 4.09"
Driest Month (Feb) 2.76"

Air Quality

AQI Median35.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskVery Low
Risk Score37.9 / 100
Social Vulnerability66.4 / 100
Community Resilience37.2 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Very Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

41 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.8.

Aug 23, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M5.8 88 km 6 km
Aug 25, 2011 8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M4.5 83 km 7 km
Aug 24, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M4.2 86 km 0 km
Oct 21, 1998 13 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia M3.8 120 km 13 km
Mar 15, 1991 7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.8 103 km 16 km
Jul 16, 2010 5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland M3.6 135 km 7 km
May 5, 2003 Virginia M3.6 112 km 13 km
Aug 24, 2011 16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.4 94 km 0 km
Sep 1, 2011 7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M3.4 85 km 3 km
Sep 22, 2001 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia M3.2 55 km 0 km
May 22, 2014 15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia M3.1 117 km 10 km
Jan 30, 2012 9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia M3.1 82 km 3 km
Jan 17, 2016 3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia M3.0 115 km 5 km
Mar 26, 2012 13 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 85 km 9 km
Oct 2, 2010 10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia M3.0 119 km 19 km
Oct 12, 2011 9 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 82 km 4 km
May 6, 2025 8 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia M3.0 115 km 8 km
Apr 21, 1998 1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia M2.8 35 km 2 km
Aug 23, 2011 9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 86 km 0 km
Mar 15, 2015 6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 82 km 5 km
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Hurricane History

2 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.

Year Name Category Max Wind Closest
2003 Isabel Category 1 75 mph 215 km
1999 Floyd Category 1 290 km
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).

Tornado History

188 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 14 fatalities, 55 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Path Fatalities
Sep 24, 2001 EF4 56 km 10.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF3 71 km 9.0 mi 0
Oct 18, 1990 EF3 60 km 3.5 mi 0
Jul 25, 1985 EF3 36 km 0.2 mi 0
Mar 21, 1976 EF3 28 km 5.6 mi 0
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 49 km 0.8 mi 11
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 26 km 2.0 mi 1
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 74 km 6.5 mi 0
Apr 19, 2019 EF2 89 km 2.0 mi 0
Apr 28, 2011 EF2 35 km 33.5 mi 0
May 8, 2008 EF2 97 km 3.4 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 24 km 8.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 79 km 13.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 28 km 5.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 74 km 8.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 65 km 7.0 mi 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 85 km 5.0 mi 0
Sep 8, 2004 EF2 74 km 1.5 mi 0
Apr 28, 2002 EF2 22 km 4.0 mi 0
Sep 27, 1993 EF2 86 km 3.0 mi 0
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 acres, 2000).

Year Name Acres Burned Distance
2000 PINNACLES 24,792 29 km
2016 MOUNT PLEASANT 11,001 97 km
2016 ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016 9,299 20 km
2024 WATERFALL MOUNTAIN 9,251 21 km
2014 ARCHER KNOB RX 6,093 77 km
2022 UNNAMED 5,893 77 km
2024 WAITES RUN 5,496 61 km
2021 UNNAMED 5,345 58 km
2015 UNNAMED 5,149 58 km
2013 UNNAMED 4,687 49 km
2002 FULTZ RUN 4,638 6 km
2008 ST MARYS 4,373 79 km
1999 SHOP RUN 4,261 39 km
1986 BIG RUN 4,161 23 km
2018 UNNAMED 4,022 48 km
2012 SHIPWRECK 3,779 4 km
2021 UNNAMED 3,667 6 km
2014 CUB RUN RX 2,868 6 km
2011 VALLEY 2,514 35 km
2024 RAMSHORN-GUINN RIDGES RX 2,469 100 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 32°F (0°C) 2.8 in Coldest
February 34°F (1°C) 2.8 in Driest
March 42°F (6°C) 3.3 in
April 52°F (11°C) 3.0 in
May 61°F (16°C) 4.1 in
June 68°F (20°C) 3.7 in
July 75°F (24°C) 4.1 in Warmest, Wettest
August 71°F (22°C) 3.8 in
September 65°F (18°C) 3.9 in
October 54°F (12°C) 3.8 in
November 45°F (7°C) 3.5 in
December 36°F (2°C) 2.8 in

Shenandoah has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 32°F in January to 75°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 41.7 inches, with July being the wettest month (4.1") and February the driest (2.8").

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