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Weather & Climate in Shepherd, TX
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Shepherd enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 67°F (19°C). Winters average 50°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July. The area gets 306 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 55.5 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42. The city sits at an elevation of 186 feet.
Temperature
50°F Jan (10°C)
82°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 66.6°F |
| 23% above US avg | |
| January Average | 50°F (10°C) |
| July Average | 82°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 306 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 186 ft (57 m) |
| Area | 6.1 sq mi (15.8 km²) |
| Population Density | 348/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 30.4862°N, 95.0113°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | San Jacinto County County |
| Nearest Airport | Conroe/North Houston Regional (CXO) 26 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 42.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 58.9 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 80.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 9.5 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low |
| Drought | No Rating |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
4 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.5.
| Mar 29, 2025 | 13 km NNE of Wells, Texas | M3.5 | 124 km | 7 km |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 7 km SSW of San Augustine, Texas | M3.3 | 138 km | 5 km |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 5 km WSW of Chireno, Texas | M3.0 | 124 km | 8 km |
| May 4, 2024 | 5 km WSW of Chireno, Texas | M2.6 | 124 km | 6 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
18 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Beryl | Category 1 | 92 mph | 163 km |
| 2021 | Nicholas | Category 1 | 75 mph | 199 km |
| 2020 | Laura | Category 4 | 150 mph | 154 km |
| 2020 | Delta | Category 2 | 104 mph | 199 km |
| 2019 | Barry | Category 1 | 75 mph | 288 km |
| 2017 | Harvey | Category 4 | 132 mph | 297 km |
| 2008 | Ike | Category 2 | 109 mph | 28 km |
| 2008 | Gustav | Category 1 | - | 299 km |
| 2007 | Humberto | Category 1 | 92 mph | 117 km |
| 2005 | Rita | Category 3 | 127 mph | 87 km |
| 2003 | Claudette | Category 1 | 92 mph | 248 km |
| 2002 | Lili | Category 1 | 92 mph | 266 km |
| 1989 | Jerry | Category 1 | 86 mph | 143 km |
| 1989 | Chantal | Category 1 | 81 mph | 115 km |
| 1986 | Bonnie | Category 1 | 86 mph | 95 km |
| 1985 | Juan | Category 1 | 86 mph | 235 km |
| 1985 | Danny | Category 1 | 92 mph | 229 km |
| 1983 | Alicia | Category 3 | 115 mph | 99 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).
Tornado History
594 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 26 fatalities, 477 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Nov 21, 1992 | EF4 | 88 km | 30.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 28, 2024 | EF3 | 48 km | 10.3 mi | 0 |
| Dec 28, 2024 | EF3 | 98 km | 67.9 mi | 0 |
| Apr 22, 2020 | EF3 | 43 km | 28.5 mi | 3 |
| Dec 25, 2012 | EF3 | 81 km | 9.7 mi | 0 |
| Dec 23, 2009 | EF3 | 96 km | 4.1 mi | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2002 | EF3 | 96 km | 0.7 mi | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2002 | EF3 | 72 km | 49.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 1, 1999 | EF3 | 76 km | 5.5 mi | 0 |
| Nov 21, 1992 | EF3 | 52 km | 32.0 mi | 0 |
| Jan 19, 1990 | EF3 | 82 km | 13.0 mi | 0 |
| Feb 5, 1986 | EF3 | 73 km | 5.0 mi | 2 |
| Jan 31, 1983 | EF3 | 92 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| May 13, 1982 | EF3 | 92 km | 8.5 mi | 1 |
| Dec 13, 1977 | EF3 | 83 km | 25.1 mi | 1 |
| Oct 28, 1974 | EF3 | 87 km | 3.3 mi | 1 |
| Mar 20, 1974 | EF3 | 98 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Sep 8, 1969 | EF3 | 90 km | 0.8 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 1969 | EF3 | 84 km | 1.5 mi | 3 |
| Dec 12, 1968 | EF3 | 44 km | 6.2 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: EAST TEXAS COMPLEX (19,100 acres, 2011).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2011 | EAST TEXAS COMPLEX | 19,100 | 66 km |
| 2011 | RILEY ROAD | 18,999 | 83 km |
| 2010 | RX10COMP 63-64-65 | 7,353 | 98 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 7,272 | 92 km |
| 2011 | PIPELINE | 7,167 | 67 km |
| 2010 | C 32 WFHF | 6,451 | 77 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 6,349 | 72 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 5,827 | 90 km |
| 2010 | RX BURN COMPARTMENT 86-87 | 5,501 | 28 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 5,187 | 90 km |
| 2011 | DYER MILL | 5,170 | 89 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 5,033 | 55 km |
| 2011 | 841 ARBOR | 4,966 | 95 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 4,767 | 91 km |
| 1989 | BIG CREEK | 4,723 | 97 km |
| 2020 | C-38/39/40 | 4,708 | 59 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 4,302 | 94 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 4,242 | 95 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 4,218 | 68 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 4,215 | 85 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 50°F (10°C) | 4.0 in | Coldest |
| February | 53°F (12°C) | 3.6 in | |
| March | 60°F (15°C) | 3.6 in | |
| April | 66°F (19°C) | 3.5 in | |
| May | 73°F (23°C) | 5.7 in | Wettest |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 5.4 in | |
| July | 82°F (28°C) | 3.7 in | |
| August | 82°F (28°C) | 3.3 in | Warmest, Driest |
| September | 77°F (25°C) | 4.7 in | |
| October | 68°F (20°C) | 4.1 in | |
| November | 58°F (15°C) | 4.3 in | |
| December | 51°F (11°C) | 4.5 in |
Shepherd has a seasonal temperature swing of 32°F / from 50°F in January to 82°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 50.5 inches, with May being the wettest month (5.7") and August the driest (3.3").