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Weather & Climate in South Fork Estates, TX
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
South Fork Estates has a warm climate with an average annual temperature of 74°F (23°C). Winters average 58°F in January while summers reach 87°F in July. The area gets 312 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 22.7 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42. The city sits at an elevation of 599 feet.
Temperature
58°F Jan (14°C)
87°F Jul (30°C)
| Annual Average | 74.0°F |
| 37% above US avg | |
| January Average | 58°F (14°C) |
| July Average | 87°F (30°C) |
| Sunny Days | 312 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 599 ft (183 m) |
| Area | 3.4 sq mi (8.7 km²) |
| Population Density | 54/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 27.2697°N, 98.7240°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Jim Hogg County County |
| Nearest Airport | Laredo International (LRD) 49 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 42.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 45.5 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 98.8 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 2.0 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | No Rating |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
13 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.9.
| Apr 25, 2010 | 10 km WNW of Driscoll, Texas | M3.9 | 100 km | 5 km |
| Mar 24, 1997 | 4 km SSE of Alice, Texas | M3.8 | 83 km | 5 km |
| Jun 24, 2012 | 16 km ESE of Tilden, Texas | M3.4 | 133 km | 5 km |
| Jul 24, 2021 | 11 km NW of Tilden, Texas | M3.1 | 140 km | 5 km |
| Sep 21, 2024 | 17 km NE of Tilden, Texas | M2.9 | 147 km | 6 km |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 km E of Cotulla, Texas | M2.8 | 138 km | 5 km |
| Jun 13, 2021 | 11 km WNW of Tilden, Texas | M2.7 | 139 km | 5 km |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 7 km N of Three Rivers, Texas | M2.7 | 149 km | 5 km |
| Jan 27, 2019 | 12 km NW of Three Rivers, Texas | M2.6 | 147 km | 5 km |
| Sep 7, 2024 | 18 km NE of Tilden, Texas | M2.6 | 147 km | 6 km |
| Jul 16, 2019 | 20 km SW of Fowlerton, Texas | M2.5 | 123 km | 5 km |
| Jun 1, 2024 | 10 km N of Tilden, Texas | M2.5 | 144 km | 5 km |
| May 14, 2024 | 11 km N of Tilden, Texas | M2.5 | 145 km | 3 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
12 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 4.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Beryl | Category 1 | 92 mph | 292 km |
| 2021 | Nicholas | Category 1 | 75 mph | 262 km |
| 2020 | Hanna | Category 1 | 92 mph | 103 km |
| 2017 | Harvey | Category 4 | 132 mph | 190 km |
| 2008 | Dolly | Category 2 | 98 mph | 125 km |
| 2005 | Emily | Category 3 | 127 mph | 252 km |
| 2003 | Claudette | Category 1 | 92 mph | 232 km |
| 2003 | Erika | Category 1 | 75 mph | 256 km |
| 1999 | Bret | Category 4 | 144 mph | 65 km |
| 1988 | Gilbert | Category 1 | - | 297 km |
| 1983 | Barry | Category 1 | 81 mph | 241 km |
| 1980 | Allen | Category 4 | 144 mph | 28 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).
Tornado History
117 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 1 fatality, 61 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Jun 24, 1970 | EF3 | 99 km | 1.5 mi | 1 |
| Jun 5, 1965 | EF3 | 98 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1965 | EF3 | 74 km | 1.5 mi | 0 |
| May 5, 1991 | EF2 | 87 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | EF2 | 83 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | EF2 | 98 km | 2.5 mi | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1980 | EF2 | 98 km | 5.9 mi | 0 |
| Apr 28, 1976 | EF2 | 98 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1971 | EF2 | 32 km | 0.3 mi | 0 |
| May 23, 1970 | EF2 | 69 km | 4.5 mi | 0 |
| May 23, 1970 | EF2 | 68 km | 4.5 mi | 0 |
| Sep 22, 1967 | EF2 | 97 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| May 18, 1965 | EF2 | 87 km | 0.3 mi | 0 |
| Jun 1, 1962 | EF2 | 76 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1961 | EF2 | 74 km | 2.5 mi | 0 |
| Sep 7, 1956 | EF2 | 69 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Jan 26, 1950 | EF2 | 74 km | 4.7 mi | 0 |
| May 31, 2016 | EF1 | 91 km | 2.3 mi | 0 |
| May 31, 2016 | EF1 | 90 km | 0.9 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 2014 | EF1 | 60 km | 5.3 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: BURNS RANCH FIRE (58,395 acres, 2008).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2008 | BURNS RANCH FIRE | 58,395 | 80 km |
| 2022 | BORREGA | 54,575 | 72 km |
| 2011 | SMAC | 19,449 | 34 km |
| 2008 | UNNAMED | 13,175 | 81 km |
| 2021 | KING | 9,793 | 77 km |
| 2022 | VIB | 7,817 | 76 km |
| 2017 | HOPPER | 7,150 | 46 km |
| 2022 | BLANKET | 5,823 | 45 km |
| 2011 | GUS CANALAS | 4,316 | 64 km |
| 2008 | ENCINO | 3,979 | 74 km |
| 2023 | LAGUNA LARGA | 3,850 | 72 km |
| 2021 | NORTH JONES | 3,541 | 42 km |
| 1999 | UNNAMED | 3,532 | 92 km |
| 2023 | JENNINGS | 3,494 | 52 km |
| 2008 | UNNAMED | 3,389 | 47 km |
| 2008 | DANA | 3,127 | 9 km |
| 2008 | JONES RANCH | 2,998 | 44 km |
| 2005 | 2686 | 2,979 | 59 km |
| 2009 | HOPPER | 2,929 | 47 km |
| 2008 | 285 FIRE | 2,820 | 24 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 58°F (14°C) | 1.1 in | Coldest |
| February | 59°F (15°C) | 1.3 in | |
| March | 67°F (19°C) | 0.8 in | Driest |
| April | 73°F (23°C) | 1.6 in | |
| May | 79°F (26°C) | 3.0 in | |
| June | 84°F (29°C) | 3.0 in | |
| July | 87°F (30°C) | 1.5 in | Warmest |
| August | 85°F (30°C) | 2.2 in | |
| September | 81°F (27°C) | 4.1 in | Wettest |
| October | 74°F (23°C) | 2.1 in | |
| November | 65°F (18°C) | 1.2 in | |
| December | 58°F (15°C) | 0.9 in |
South Fork Estates has a seasonal temperature swing of 29°F / from 58°F in January to 87°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 22.6 inches, with September being the wettest month (4.1") and March the driest (0.8").