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Weather & Climate in Tolani Lake, AZ
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Tolani Lake enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 57°F (14°C). Winters average 36°F in January while summers reach 79°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 6.5 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45. The city sits at an elevation of 4,958 feet.
Temperature
36°F Jan (2°C)
79°F Jul (26°C)
| Annual Average | 56.7°F |
| 5% above US avg | |
| January Average | 36°F (2°C) |
| July Average | 79°F (26°C) |
| Sunny Days | 330 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 4,958 ft (1,511 m) |
| Area | 0.4 sq mi (1.1 km²) |
| Population Density | 683/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 35.4298°N, 110.8412°W |
| Timezone | America/Phoenix |
| County | Navajo County County |
| Nearest Airport | Winslow-Lindbergh Regional (INW) 29 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 45.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk Score | 88.1 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 97.7 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 3.6 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Hurricane | No Rating |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively High |
| Flood | Relatively Moderate |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low |
| Winter Weather | Very High |
| Lightning | Very High |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | Relatively Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate |
| Volcano | Very Low |
| Avalanche | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
75 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.3.
| Apr 29, 1993 | 5 km SSE of Valle, Arizona | M5.3 | 117 km | 10 km |
| Mar 2, 2005 | 40 km SSW of Winslow West, Arizona | M5.1 | 80 km | 5 km |
| Apr 25, 1993 | 3 km SSW of Valle, Arizona | M5.0 | 120 km | 10 km |
| Jul 5, 1992 | Arizona | M4.0 | 139 km | 5 km |
| Jan 30, 2005 | 41 km NNE of Washington Park, Arizona | M4.0 | 77 km | 5 km |
| Jan 6, 1998 | 15 km WSW of Joseph City, Arizona | M3.9 | 65 km | 5 km |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 7 km NNW of Clarkdale, Arizona | M3.8 | 132 km | 5 km |
| May 7, 1993 | 4 km SW of Valle, Arizona | M3.8 | 123 km | 10 km |
| Jan 28, 2005 | 40 km NE of Washington Park, Arizona | M3.8 | 81 km | 5 km |
| Apr 17, 1995 | 8 km W of Tusayan, Arizona | M3.7 | 138 km | 5 km |
| Mar 14, 1992 | 12 km WSW of Grand Canyon Village, Arizona | M3.7 | 144 km | 5 km |
| Mar 31, 1997 | 18 km SE of Valle, Arizona | M3.7 | 105 km | 5 km |
| Mar 14, 1992 | 20 km WSW of Grand Canyon Village, Arizona | M3.7 | 149 km | 5 km |
| Feb 4, 1993 | 8 km W of Tusayan, Arizona | M3.6 | 138 km | 5 km |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 7 km NNW of Clarkdale, Arizona | M3.6 | 131 km | 5 km |
| Apr 29, 1993 | 4 km S of Valle, Arizona | M3.6 | 120 km | 10 km |
| Feb 8, 2005 | 37 km NE of Washington Park, Arizona | M3.6 | 84 km | 5 km |
| Jun 21, 1993 | 14 km WSW of Grand Canyon Village, Arizona | M3.5 | 145 km | 5 km |
| May 10, 2023 | 33 km SW of Cameron, Arizona | M3.4 | 78 km | 7 km |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 6 km SE of Moenkopi, Arizona | M3.4 | 76 km | 12 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
45 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Oct 6, 2010 | EF3 | 58 km | 0.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 14, 2011 | EF2 | 79 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Oct 24, 1992 | EF2 | 62 km | 5.5 mi | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2006 | EF1 | 98 km | 9.3 mi | 0 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | EF0 | 84 km | 9.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | EF0 | 79 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| May 13, 2024 | EF0 | 63 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | EF0 | 82 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2022 | EF0 | 70 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 23, 2022 | EF0 | 49 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 29, 2021 | EF0 | 64 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2021 | EF0 | 31 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| May 20, 2019 | EF0 | 83 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2018 | EF0 | 39 km | 1.7 mi | 0 |
| Aug 18, 2018 | EF0 | 67 km | 3.1 mi | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2015 | EF0 | 100 km | 6.9 mi | 0 |
| Jul 15, 2013 | EF0 | 47 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Sep 1, 2011 | EF0 | 90 km | 1.2 mi | 0 |
| Oct 6, 2010 | EF0 | 93 km | 17.1 mi | 0 |
| May 22, 2009 | EF0 | 63 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Nearby Volcanoes
1 volcano within 200 km. Closest: San Francisco Volcanic Field (76 km).
| Name | Type | Elevation | Last Eruption | Distance |
| San Francisco Volcanic Field | Pyroclastic cone | 3,850 m (12,631 ft) | 1075 | 76 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: JACK (35,926 acres, 2016).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2016 | JACK | 35,926 | 92 km |
| 2022 | PIPELINE | 26,437 | 66 km |
| 2015 | CAMILLO | 24,654 | 79 km |
| 2014 | SLIDE | 22,698 | 99 km |
| 2017 | BOUNDARY | 17,814 | 91 km |
| 1996 | HOCKDERFFER | 17,755 | 77 km |
| 2022 | TUNNEL | 17,659 | 61 km |
| 2004 | JACKET | 17,453 | 60 km |
| 2000 | PUMPKIN | 16,086 | 92 km |
| 2018 | TINDER | 16,083 | 97 km |
| 2009 | WILDHORSE COMPLEX | 14,007 | 96 km |
| 2010 | SCHULTZ | 13,957 | 70 km |
| 2021 | SLATE | 11,540 | 86 km |
| 2023 | STILL | 10,626 | 100 km |
| 1996 | HORSESHOE | 9,310 | 81 km |
| 2012 | CANYON | 8,836 | 81 km |
| 2019 | MAROON | 8,605 | 52 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 8,163 | 100 km |
| 2007 | WILKINS | 8,127 | 100 km |
| 2016 | MORMON | 7,897 | 85 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 36°F (2°C) | 0.4 in | |
| February | 41°F (5°C) | 0.6 in | |
| March | 47°F (8°C) | 0.7 in | |
| April | 54°F (12°C) | 0.4 in | |
| May | 63°F (17°C) | 0.4 in | |
| June | 72°F (22°C) | 0.2 in | Driest |
| July | 79°F (26°C) | 1.1 in | Warmest |
| August | 76°F (24°C) | 1.3 in | Wettest |
| September | 68°F (20°C) | 1.0 in | |
| October | 56°F (14°C) | 0.8 in | |
| November | 44°F (7°C) | 0.6 in | |
| December | 34°F (1°C) | 0.6 in | Coldest |
Tolani Lake has a seasonal temperature swing of 45°F / from 34°F in December to 79°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 8.0 inches, with August being the wettest month (1.3") and June the driest (0.2").