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Weather & Climate in Warm Springs, VA
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Warm Springs experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 48°F (9°C). Winters average 27°F in January while summers reach 67°F in July. The area gets 293 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 47.8 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 51.1 inches of snow annually, making winter weather a significant factor for residents. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35. The city sits at an elevation of 2,662 feet.
Temperature
27°F Jan (-3°C)
67°F Jul (20°C)
| Annual Average | 48.1°F |
| 11% below US avg | |
| January Average | 27°F (-3°C) |
| July Average | 67°F (20°C) |
| Sunny Days | 293 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 2,662 ft (811 m) |
| Area | 1.5 sq mi (3.9 km²) |
| Population Density | 14/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 38.0450°N, 79.7787°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Bath County County |
| Nearest Airport | Shenandoah Valley Regional (SHD) 50 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 35.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 5.4 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 53.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 71.2 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Very Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Very Low |
| Landslide | Relatively Low |
| Avalanche | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
38 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M3.8.
| Oct 21, 1998 | 13 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia | M3.8 | 137 km | 13 km |
| Apr 22, 1991 | 14 km ESE of Falling Spring, West Virginia | M3.5 | 39 km | 15 km |
| Apr 4, 2010 | 14 km SW of Gassaway, West Virginia | M3.4 | 117 km | 0 km |
| Mar 31, 2013 | West Virginia | M3.4 | 114 km | 8 km |
| Sep 13, 2017 | 11 km NE of Peterstown, West Virginia | M3.2 | 103 km | 18 km |
| Sep 22, 2001 | 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia | M3.2 | 121 km | 0 km |
| Dec 4, 2001 | 9 km W of Alderson, West Virginia | M3.1 | 93 km | 9 km |
| Jun 28, 1991 | 4 km ENE of Pratt, West Virginia | M3.0 | 138 km | 7 km |
| May 16, 2009 | 2 km NNE of Cave Spring, Virginia | M3.0 | 91 km | 13 km |
| May 6, 2025 | 8 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia | M3.0 | 132 km | 8 km |
| Jan 22, 1995 | 0 km WNW of Pulaski, Virginia | M2.9 | 142 km | 9 km |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 14 km WNW of Birch River, West Virginia | M2.8 | 113 km | 0 km |
| Jul 4, 2009 | 3 km E of Narrows, Virginia | M2.8 | 118 km | 0 km |
| Jul 30, 2013 | 12 km SSW of Glenville, West Virginia | M2.8 | 132 km | 13 km |
| Apr 21, 1998 | 1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia | M2.8 | 107 km | 2 km |
| Jul 15, 2021 | 10 km S of Narrows, Virginia | M2.8 | 128 km | 20 km |
| May 12, 2017 | 6 km SSW of Narrows, Virginia | M2.8 | 127 km | 4 km |
| Apr 29, 2010 | 7 km W of Gassaway, West Virginia | M2.7 | 117 km | 0 km |
| Jul 20, 2013 | 6 km SW of Glenville, West Virginia | M2.7 | 135 km | 21 km |
| Nov 25, 2009 | 14 km S of Arrington, Virginia | M2.7 | 96 km | 0 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
1 hurricane (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 1.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2003 | Isabel | Category 1 | 75 mph | 237 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
69 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 2 fatalities, 45 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Apr 15, 2018 | EF3 | 93 km | 20.4 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 2022 | EF2 | 83 km | 6.3 mi | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 98 km | 33.5 mi | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | EF2 | 88 km | 3.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | EF2 | 91 km | 10.0 mi | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1996 | EF2 | 79 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Jun 9, 1996 | EF2 | 97 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 22, 1990 | EF2 | 76 km | 5.0 mi | 0 |
| May 4, 1990 | EF2 | 40 km | 7.0 mi | 2 |
| Jul 9, 1980 | EF2 | 84 km | 0.3 mi | 0 |
| Jul 11, 1976 | EF2 | 85 km | 4.1 mi | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1975 | EF2 | 67 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 4, 1974 | EF2 | 86 km | 6.5 mi | 0 |
| Nov 29, 1963 | EF2 | 67 km | 0.1 mi | 0 |
| May 17, 1953 | EF2 | 96 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1952 | EF2 | 99 km | 4.9 mi | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1952 | EF2 | 85 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | EF1 | 85 km | 1.2 mi | 0 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF1 | 90 km | 2.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 26, 2022 | EF1 | 67 km | 6.0 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: RICH HOLE (15,923 acres, 2012).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2012 | RICH HOLE | 15,923 | 22 km |
| 2012 | ALLEGHANY TUNNELS FIRES | 11,055 | 45 km |
| 2023 | MATTS CREEK | 11,028 | 59 km |
| 2016 | MOUNT PLEASANT | 11,001 | 63 km |
| 2022 | UNNAMED | 7,791 | 11 km |
| 2012 | BARBOURS CREEK. | 7,244 | 56 km |
| 2014 | ARCHER KNOB RX | 6,093 | 37 km |
| 2022 | UNNAMED | 5,893 | 37 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 5,345 | 63 km |
| 2015 | UNNAMED | 5,149 | 63 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 4,687 | 71 km |
| 2008 | ST MARYS | 4,373 | 58 km |
| 1999 | SHOP RUN | 4,261 | 88 km |
| 2012 | UNNAMED | 4,219 | 10 km |
| 1986 | BIG RUN | 4,161 | 99 km |
| 2008 | ANGEL | 4,129 | 78 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 4,022 | 71 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 3,569 | 10 km |
| 2021 | UNNAMED | 3,518 | 54 km |
| 2002 | MARBLEYARD | 3,123 | 57 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 27°F (-3°C) | 3.2 in | Coldest |
| February | 33°F (1°C) | 3.0 in | Driest |
| March | 41°F (5°C) | 3.8 in | |
| April | 50°F (10°C) | 3.5 in | |
| May | 59°F (15°C) | 4.1 in | |
| June | 66°F (19°C) | 3.5 in | |
| July | 67°F (20°C) | 4.2 in | Wettest |
| August | 69°F (20°C) | 3.5 in | Warmest |
| September | 63°F (17°C) | 3.5 in | |
| October | 52°F (11°C) | 3.6 in | |
| November | 42°F (6°C) | 3.5 in | |
| December | 34°F (1°C) | 3.1 in |
Warm Springs has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 27°F in January to 69°F in August. Total annual precipitation is 42.6 inches, with July being the wettest month (4.2") and February the driest (3.0").