Weather & Climate in Welch, TX

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Welch enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 61°F (16°C). Winters average 41°F in January while summers reach 80°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 16.8 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 2.6 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42. The city sits at an elevation of 3,119 feet.

Temperature

41°F Jan (5°C) 80°F Jul (27°C)

Annual Average	60.9°F
	13% above US avg
January Average	41°F (5°C)
July Average	80°F (27°C)
Sunny Days	330 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	3,119 ft (951 m)
Area	1.5 sq mi (3.8 km²)
Population Density	189/sq mi
Coordinates	32.9336°N, 102.1232°W
Timezone	America/Chicago
County	Gaines County County
Nearest Airport	Lubbock Preston Smith International (LBB) 53 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 16.8"

56% below US avg

Snowfall 2.6"

Wettest Month (Sep) 2.76"

Driest Month (Jan) 0.51"

Air Quality

AQI Median	42.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively Low
Risk Score	57.6 / 100
Social Vulnerability	79.3 / 100
Community Resilience	0.7 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Relatively Low
Hurricane	Very Low
Earthquake	Very Low
Wildfire	Relatively Moderate
Flood	Very Low
Hail	Relatively High
Strong Wind	Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave	Relatively Low
Winter Weather	Relatively Moderate
Lightning	Relatively Low
Ice Storm	Relatively Low
Drought	Relatively High
Cold Wave	Relatively Moderate
Landslide	Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

516 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M5.1.

Jul 26, 2024	17 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M5.1	138 km	3 km
Sep 17, 2024	2024 North of Tarzan, Texas Earthquake	M5.1	58 km	6 km
Jul 23, 2024	17 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M4.9	138 km	3 km
Feb 28, 2025	26 km SW of Ackerly, Texas	M4.8	65 km	7 km
Feb 16, 2023	15 km NE of Hermleigh, Texas	M4.7	138 km	8 km
Jan 2, 1992	12 km SSE of Eunice, New Mexico	M4.6	113 km	5 km
Jul 27, 2024	13 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M4.5	135 km	3 km
Jul 23, 2024	16 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M4.4	136 km	3 km
Apr 10, 2024	21 km N of Stanton, Texas	M4.4	74 km	5 km
Sep 11, 2011	20 km NE of Snyder, Texas	M4.3	127 km	5 km
Jul 25, 2024	16 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M4.0	136 km	3 km
Jun 6, 2022	18 km SE of Ackerly, Texas	M3.9	77 km	7 km
Sep 22, 2023	8 km NE of Hermleigh, Texas	M3.9	137 km	7 km
Mar 13, 2011	32 km WNW of Rotan, Texas	M3.8	127 km	5 km
Aug 17, 2022	17 km NNE of Hermleigh, Texas	M3.8	138 km	6 km
Jul 30, 2024	15 km NE of Hermleigh, Texas	M3.8	139 km	8 km
Mar 5, 2024	37 km SSW of Los Ybanez, Texas	M3.8	56 km	6 km
Aug 15, 2024	28 km SW of Garden City, Texas	M3.8	144 km	8 km
Apr 10, 2023	20 km NW of Stanton, Texas	M3.7	77 km	6 km
Jul 10, 2025	33 km SSW of Los Ybanez, Texas	M3.7	55 km	8 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Tornado History

508 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF5. Total: 26 fatalities, 588 injuries.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
May 11, 1970	EF5	72 km	8.4 mi	26
Apr 17, 1970	EF4	88 km	30.0 mi	0
Apr 21, 1957	EF4	76 km	29.2 mi	0
Apr 21, 1957	EF4	72 km	15.5 mi	0
May 22, 2016	EF3	88 km	4.0 mi	0
May 12, 2005	EF3	92 km	6.0 mi	0
Jun 6, 1989	EF3	94 km	30.0 mi	0
Apr 19, 1969	EF3	57 km	0.1 mi	0
May 24, 1957	EF3	72 km	1.5 mi	0
May 24, 1957	EF3	41 km	37.3 mi	0
Jun 17, 1956	EF3	99 km	1.0 mi	0
May 23, 2022	EF2	86 km	7.6 mi	0
May 5, 2019	EF2	45 km	17.2 mi	0
Nov 16, 2015	EF2	43 km	5.6 mi	0
Jun 19, 2013	EF2	73 km	5.2 mi	0
Apr 16, 2009	EF2	87 km	11.3 mi	0
May 5, 2006	EF2	52 km	6.1 mi	0
Jun 5, 2005	EF2	82 km	4.0 mi	0
Jun 5, 2005	EF2	87 km	5.0 mi	0
Apr 10, 1997	EF2	37 km	2.6 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: TOM (64,786 acres, 2011).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
2011	TOM	64,786	63 km
2011	KILLOUGH	35,447	93 km
2011	DERICK FIRE	27,780	89 km
1989	WATTS	11,602	93 km
2008	BORDEN COUNTY COMPLEX	11,276	57 km
2017	303	9,601	65 km
2011	FATHERS DAY	8,947	93 km
2006	FM 214 CR 210	8,848	89 km
2011	UNNAMED	8,308	85 km
2008	CHEVRON	7,735	88 km
2008	PARKER	6,844	81 km
2008	UNNAMED	6,835	59 km
2008	NORTH	6,109	87 km
1994	UNNAMED	6,004	77 km
2011	SAND RANCH	5,839	97 km
2008	ANDREW COUNTY COMPLEX	5,010	81 km
2011	SPADE RANCH	3,904	58 km
2011	MIDDLETON	3,792	93 km
2011	WHITEFACE	3,743	97 km
2008	UNNAMED	3,167	95 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	41°F (5°C)	0.5 in	Coldest, Driest
February	45°F (7°C)	0.6 in
March	52°F (11°C)	0.8 in
April	61°F (16°C)	1.0 in
May	70°F (21°C)	2.4 in
June	77°F (25°C)	2.7 in
July	80°F (27°C)	2.3 in	Warmest
August	78°F (26°C)	2.2 in
September	72°F (22°C)	2.8 in	Wettest
October	62°F (17°C)	1.7 in
November	50°F (10°C)	0.7 in
December	42°F (6°C)	0.6 in

Welch has a seasonal temperature swing of 40°F / from 41°F in January to 80°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 18.2 inches, with September being the wettest month (2.8") and January the driest (0.5").

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