Arivaca, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Santa Cruz County County
2.9
/5.0
C+
Fair
494
Population
18/sq mi density
$31,791
Median Income
$18,936 per capita
$78,700
Home Value
$498,778 Zillow
63°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
236
Violent Crime/100K
2,644 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.9 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C+
Economy
2.8 / 5.0
$31,791 median income, 0.0% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$78,700 home value, /mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
236 violent crimes/100K
C+
Education
2.8 / 5.0
22.9% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-20.1%
618 → 494
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-2.21%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
-2.5%
$32,607 → $31,791
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
-0.25%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Arivaca across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
422
-72 from 2023 (494)
Projected Median Income 2030
$31,239
$-552 from 2023 ($31,791)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 618 | — | $32,607 | — |
| 2015 | 587 | -5% | $22,130 | -32.1% |
| 2017 | 627 | +6.8% | $27,143 | +22.7% |
| 2019 | 723 | +15.3% | $30,977 | +14.1% |
| 2021 | 527 | -27.1% | $29,598 | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 494 | -6.3% | $31,791 | +7.4% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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