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Arivaca Junction, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Santa Cruz County County
3.2
/5.0
B
Good
650
Population
220/sq mi density
$66,250
Median Income
$28,152 per capita
$148,300
Home Value
$250,413 Zillow
63°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
33
Violent Crime/100K
1,444 property/100K
B
Overall
3.2 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
B+
Economy
3.9 / 5.0
$66,250 median income, 4.9% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$148,300 home value, /mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
33 violent crimes/100K
C+
Education
3.0 / 5.0
24.4% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-31.6%
950 → 650
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-3.72%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+79.3%
$36,950 → $66,250
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+6.01%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Arivaca Junction across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
499
-151 from 2023 (650)
Projected Median Income 2030
$99,681
+$33,431 from 2023 ($66,250)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 950 | — | $36,950 | — |
| 2015 | 868 | -8.6% | $36,354 | -1.6% |
| 2017 | 1,187 | +36.8% | $39,844 | +9.6% |
| 2019 | 1,248 | +5.1% | $43,684 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | 879 | -29.6% | $46,020 | +5.3% |
| 2023 | 650 | -26.1% | $66,250 | +44% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.