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Carnelian Bay, CA
Full City Profile · California · Sierra County County
3.8
/5.0
B+
Good
432
Population
332/sq mi density
$196,250
Median Income
$89,579 per capita
$814,900
Home Value
$1,048,626 Zillow
$3,193
Median Rent
29.3% income on rent
44°F
Avg Temperature
302 sunny days/yr
111
Violent Crime/100K
1,015 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.8 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
5.0 / 5.0
$196,250 median income, 0.0% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.3 / 5.0
$814,900 home value, $3,193/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
111 violent crimes/100K
A+
Education
5.0 / 5.0
63.7% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+3.8%
416 → 432
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+0.38%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+214.7%
$62,361 → $196,250
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+12.15%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Carnelian Bay across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
444
+12 from 2023 (432)
Projected Median Income 2030
$437,930
+$241,680 from 2023 ($196,250)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 416 | — | $62,361 | — |
| 2015 | 433 | +4.1% | $83,750 | +34.3% |
| 2017 | 438 | +1.2% | $74,792 | -10.7% |
| 2019 | 451 | +3% | $77,841 | +4.1% |
| 2021 | 627 | +39% | $122,375 | +57.2% |
| 2023 | 432 | -31.1% | $196,250 | +60.4% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.