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Chinle, AZ

Full City Profile · Arizona · Apache County County

2.7 /5.0
C+ Fair
4,395 Population 270/sq mi density
$46,458 Median Income $21,033 per capita
$38,000 Home Value $394,556 Zillow
$504 Median Rent 13.4% income on rent
54°F Avg Temperature 330 sunny days/yr
783 Violent Crime/100K 4,878 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.7 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C
Economy
2.0 / 5.0
$46,458 median income, 6.8% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$38,000 home value, $504/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
783 violent crimes/100K (106% above avg)
C+
Education
2.8 / 5.0
23.0% bachelor's degree or higher

Change Over Time (2013–2023)

Population Change
-4.4%
4,595 → 4,395
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-0.44%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+20.1%
$38,686 → $46,458
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+1.85%
Compound annual growth rate

Population Over Time

Total population for Chinle across each available Census ACS release.

Median Household Income Over Time

Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).

Projected 2030

Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.

Projected Population 2030
4,261
-134 from 2023 (4,395)
Projected Median Income 2030
$52,819
+$6,361 from 2023 ($46,458)

Year-by-Year Detail

Year Population YoY % Median Income YoY %
2013 4,595 $38,686
2015 4,947 +7.7% $41,296 +6.7%
2017 5,698 +15.2% $30,368 -26.5%
2019 4,879 -14.4% $31,250 +2.9%
2021 3,771 -22.7% $27,443 -12.2%
2023 4,395 +16.5% $46,458 +69.3%
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.