Chowchilla, CA
Full City Profile · California · Merced County County
2.6
/5.0
C+
Fair
18,876
Population
1,636/sq mi density
$63,308
Median Income
$21,944 per capita
$331,500
Home Value
$387,464 Zillow
$1,204
Median Rent
33.8% income on rent
63°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
208
Violent Crime/100K
1,245 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.6 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
B
Economy
3.4 / 5.0
$63,308 median income, 3.5% unemployment
B+
Affordability
3.7 / 5.0
$331,500 home value, $1,204/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
208 violent crimes/100K
C
Education
2.3 / 5.0
16.7% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+11.2%
17,392 → 19,332
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+1.06%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+69%
$37,466 → $63,308
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+5.39%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Chowchilla across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
20,813
+1,481 from 2023 (19,332)
Projected Median Income 2030
$91,423
+$28,115 from 2023 ($63,308)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 17,392 | — | $37,466 | — |
| 2015 | 18,448 | +6.1% | $34,559 | -7.8% |
| 2017 | 18,548 | +0.5% | $40,938 | +18.5% |
| 2019 | 18,432 | -0.6% | $53,563 | +30.8% |
| 2021 | 19,007 | +3.1% | $60,875 | +13.7% |
| 2023 | 19,332 | +1.7% | $63,308 | +4% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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