Median Income
$38,750
48% lower than US avg
Home Value
$159,200
44% lower than US avg
Violent Crime
20/100K
95% lower than US avg
Bachelor's+
14.3%
58% lower than US avg
Median Rent
$550
53% lower than US avg
Obesity Rate
34.0%
6% higher than US avg
Unemployment
1.8%
50% lower than US avg
Poverty Rate
27.0%
118% higher than US avg
How Duncan Compares to the U.S. Average (100% = U.S. avg)
People
Population1,063
Median Age35.2 yrs
Density494/mi²
Male / Female42% / 58%
Largest GroupWhite 71%
Veterans6.4%
Economy
C+
Median Income$38,750
Per Capita$20,874
Unemployment1.8%
Poverty27.0%
County GDP$2,015M
Commute37 min
Housing
A
Home Value$159,200
Rent$550
Ownership55.3%
Zillow$237,473
Housing Units436
Rent Burden18.8%
Crime
F
Violent20/100K
Property2,099/100K
Health
Obesity34.0%
Uninsured15.0%
Smoking13.9%
Depression21.7%
Heart Disease5.7%
Climate
Avg Temp61°F (16°C)
AQI45 (Good)
Rain10.4 in/yr
Sunny Days330/yr
Elevation3,786 ft (1,154 m)
Education
C
Bachelor's+14.3%
High School+72.7%
Graduate+4.9%
School Score5.22
Community
2024 VoteR 74% / D 25%
Commute37 min
Broadband86.9%
Libraries2
Is Duncan a Good Place to Live?
Based on current data, Duncan receives an overall livability score of 2.6 out of 5.0, earning a grade of C+. Key strengths include low unemployment, low crime rates, affordable housing, abundant sunshine. Areas to be aware of include an elevated poverty rate, a high uninsured rate, below-average incomes. Duncan has some notable strengths but also faces challenges that prospective residents should consider.
Economy & Jobs
The median household income in Duncan is $38,750, 48% below the national average of $75,149. The job market is very strong with unemployment at just 1.8%. The poverty rate of 27.0% exceeds the national average of 12.4%, indicating economic hardship for a significant portion of the population. Workers commute an average of 37 minutes, longer than the typical American commute of 28 minutes.
Cost of Living & Housing
The median home value in Duncan is $159,200, 44% below the national median / offering relatively affordable homeownership. Renters pay a median of $550 per month, below the national average / a plus for affordability. A price-to-income ratio of 4.1x indicates a reasonably affordable housing market.
Safety & Crime
Duncan is a very safe community with a violent crime rate of 20 per 100,000 residents / well below the national average of 380. Property crime occurs at a rate of 2,099 per 100,000, near the national average.
Education
14.3% of residents hold a bachelor's degree, below the national average of 33.7%. 72.7% have completed high school. Area schools have an average test score of 5.2/10.
Climate & Weather
Duncan enjoys a moderate climate with an average annual temperature of 61°F. Winters average 43°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July. With 330 sunny days per year, residents enjoy well above the national average of sunshine. Annual precipitation totals 10.4 inches. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45.
Duncan has a population of 1,063 with a density of 494 people per square mile, spread across 2.2 square miles. The median age is 35.2 years, 10% younger than the national median of 38.9. The gender split is 58% female and 42% male. The city is predominantly White (71.1%), with 4.8% Hispanic. English is the primary language spoken at home by 89.8% of residents, while 10.2% speak Spanish. 6.4% of the population are veterans. 21.5% of residents have a disability (above the 13.0% national average). 94.5% have health insurance coverage.
Population
35.2yrs
Median Age
10% below US avg
Language Spoken at Home
English Only
89.8%
14% above US avg
Spanish
10.2%
24% below US avg
The median household income in Duncan is $38,750, which is 48% below the national average of $75,149. Per capita income is $20,874 (below the $39,052 national figure). The average weekly wage is $1,100, 23% lower than the U.S. average. The unemployment rate is 1.8% (below the 3.6% US average). 27.0% of residents live below the poverty line, higher than the national rate of 12.4%. The area has 624 business establishments, including 69 restaurants. The cost of living index is 100.7, roughly in line with the national average. Workers commute an average of 37 minutes (longer than the 28-minute US average). 4.1% of workers work from home (below the 15.2% national rate).
Income
| Median HH Income | $38,750 |
| 48% below US avg |
| Per Capita Income | $20,874 |
| Avg Weekly Wage | $1,100 |
| IRS Avg AGI | $63,621 |
| Gini Index | 0.406 (0=equal, 1=unequal) |
Employment & Poverty
| Unemployment | 1.8% |
| 50% below US avg |
| Poverty Rate | 27.0% |
| 118% above US avg |
| Establishments (County) | 624 |
| County GDP | $2,015M |
Business (County)
| Restaurants | 69 |
| Healthcare | 86 |
| Retail | 94 |
| Manufacturing | 19 |
Tax & Cost of Living
| Property Tax (IRS) | $2,214 |
| 37% below US avg |
| Cost of Living | 100.70 (100=avg) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 1.39% |
Commute & Transportation
| Commute Time | 37.1 min |
| Drive Alone | 75.6% |
| Public Transit | 0.0% |
| Work from Home | 4.1% |
The median home value in Duncan is $159,200, 44% below the national median of $281,900. Zillow estimates the typical home value at $237,473, higher than the Census estimate. Monthly rent averages $550 (53% below the national average of $1,163). Fair market rent ranges from $1,151 for a one-bedroom to $1,419 for a two-bedroom apartment. 55.3% of housing units are owner-occupied (below the 65.4% national rate). There are 436 total housing units in the city. The median year a home was built is 1974. The average annual property tax is $2,214 (lower than the $3,500 national average). 18.8% of renters spend 30% or more of their income on housing. The home price-to-income ratio is 4.1x.
Home Values
| Census Median | $159,200 |
| 44% below US avg |
| Zillow ZHVI | $237,473 |
Real Estate Market (Redfin)
Rental Costs
| Census Median Rent | $550 |
| 53% below US avg |
| Rent Burden | 18.8% |
HUD Fair Market Rent
| Studio | $1,053 |
| 1 Bedroom | $1,151 |
| 2 Bedrooms | $1,419 |
| 3 Bedrooms | $1,889 |
| 4 Bedrooms | $2,158 |
Ownership & Property
| Homeownership | 55.3% |
| Owner-Occupied | 55.3% |
| Renter-Occupied | 44.7% |
| Housing Units | 436 |
| Median Year Built | 1974 |
Property Tax
| Avg Tax (IRS) | $2,214 |
| 37% below US avg |
| Effective Rate | 1.39% |
In Duncan, 34.0% of adults are obese, above the national rate of 32.1%. 10.2% have diabetes. Heart disease affects 5.7% of residents. 30.0% have high blood pressure. 13.9% are current smokers. 17.2% report binge drinking. 23.7% are physically inactive. 21.7% report depression. 17.8% experience frequent mental distress. 15.0% of residents lack health insurance (above the 8.6% national rate). The primary care physician ratio is 1:2,441. The dentist ratio is 1:1,847. 67.5% of residents have access to exercise opportunities. The food environment index is 6.7 out of 10.
Health Metrics: Duncan vs U.S. Average (%)
Chronic Conditions
| Obesity | 34.0% |
| 6% above US avg |
| Diabetes | 10.2% |
| Heart Disease | 5.7% |
| High Blood Pressure | 30.0% |
| Asthma | 11.1% |
| COPD | 6.5% |
| Cancer | 7.0% |
| Stroke | 3.1% |
Behaviors & Mental Health
| Smoking | 13.9% |
| 1% below US avg |
| Binge Drinking | 17.2% |
| Physical Inactivity | 23.7% |
| Depression | 21.7% |
| Mental Distress | 17.8% |
| Physical Distress | 14.1% |
| Short Sleep | 39.0% |
Healthcare Access
| Insurance Rate | 94.5% |
| Uninsured | 15.0% |
| 74% above US avg |
| Primary Care | 1:2,441 |
| Dentists | 1:1,847 |
| Mental Health | 1:1,718 |
| Checkup Rate | 70.7% |
| Dental Visits | 53.2% |
| Premature Death | 11,353/100K |
Food & Exercise
| Food Environment | 6.7/10 |
| Exercise Access | 67.5% |
| Healthcare Facilities | 86 |
Duncan has a violent crime rate of 20 per 100,000 residents, 95% below the national average of 380. Property crime stands at 2,099 per 100,000, 7% above the U.S. average. The county recorded 4 fatal traffic crashes. Overall, Duncan receives a safety grade of F.
Crime Rates: Duncan vs U.S. Average (per 100,000)
Violent Crime
| Total Violent | 19.8/100K |
| 95% below US avg |
| |
Property Crime
| Total Property | 2,099.4/100K |
| 7% above US avg |
Traffic Safety
| Fatal Crashes (County/yr) | 4 |
| Traffic Accidents | 37 |
| Avg Accident Severity | 2.4 / 4.0 |
Safety Score
| Safety Grade | F |
| Safety Score | 1.0 / 5.0 |
Duncan enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 61°F (16°C). Winters average 43°F in January while summers reach 82°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 10.4 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45. The city sits at an elevation of 3,786 feet.
Temperature
43°F Jan (6°C)
82°F Jul (28°C)
| Annual Average | 61.4°F |
| 14% above US avg |
| January Average | 43°F (6°C) |
| July Average | 82°F (28°C) |
| Sunny Days | 330 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 3,786 ft (1,154 m) |
| Area | 2.2 sq mi (5.6 km²) |
| Population Density | 494/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 32.7500°N, 109.0884°W |
| Timezone | America/Phoenix |
| County | Graham County County |
| Nearest Airport | Safford Regional (SAD)
33 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Annual Rainfall
10.4"
73% below US avg
Wettest Month (Jul)
2.40"
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 45.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 64.6 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 71.6 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 7.8 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado |
Very Low |
| Hurricane |
Very Low |
| Earthquake |
Very Low |
| Wildfire |
Relatively Moderate |
| Flood |
Relatively Low |
| Hail |
Very Low |
| Strong Wind |
Very Low |
| Heat Wave |
Relatively Moderate |
| Winter Weather |
Relatively Moderate |
| Lightning |
Relatively High |
| Drought |
Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave |
Very Low |
| Landslide |
Very Low |
| Avalanche |
Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
67 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990.
Strongest: M5.3. Most recent: M2.6 on Aug 9, 2025.
| Jun 29, 2014 |
13 km SW of Franklin, Arizona |
M5.3 |
20 km |
| Jun 29, 2014 |
12 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M4.0 |
21 km |
| Jul 3, 2014 |
11 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.9 |
19 km |
| Jul 12, 2014 |
17 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.6 |
25 km |
| Jul 9, 2014 |
13 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.6 |
22 km |
| Jun 29, 2014 |
16 km SSW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.6 |
24 km |
| Jul 11, 2014 |
5 km WSW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.6 |
11 km |
| Jul 10, 2014 |
16 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.6 |
24 km |
| Oct 8, 2012 |
32 km WNW of Glenwood, New Mexico |
M3.6 |
73 km |
| May 24, 2010 |
27 km NNE of Morenci, Arizona |
M3.6 |
62 km |
| Aug 5, 2021 |
24 km SSE of Animas, New Mexico |
M3.6 |
118 km |
| May 24, 2010 |
24 km NNE of Morenci, Arizona |
M3.6 |
60 km |
| Oct 29, 2012 |
35 km WNW of Glenwood, New Mexico |
M3.5 |
74 km |
| Jul 6, 2014 |
Arizona |
M3.5 |
21 km |
| Jun 30, 2014 |
19 km SSW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.5 |
28 km |
| Jun 29, 2014 |
14 km S of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.5 |
22 km |
| Jul 11, 2014 |
12 km SSW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.5 |
20 km |
| Apr 22, 2020 |
28 km SSW of Rodeo, New Mexico |
M3.5 |
130 km |
| Jun 29, 2014 |
10 km SW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.4 |
17 km |
| Apr 27, 2019 |
2 km WSW of Franklin, Arizona |
M3.4 |
9 km |
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)
Tornado History
13 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950.
Strongest: EF3. Total: 5 injuries.
| Date |
Rating |
Distance |
Fatalities |
| Oct 12, 1957 |
EF3 |
87 km |
0 |
| Sep 23, 2019 |
EF1 |
93 km |
0 |
| Aug 13, 1989 |
EF1 |
74 km |
0 |
| Aug 19, 1979 |
EF1 |
77 km |
0 |
| Jul 17, 1971 |
EF1 |
89 km |
0 |
| Jun 15, 1967 |
EF1 |
76 km |
0 |
| Jun 15, 1961 |
EF1 |
88 km |
0 |
| Oct 7, 2015 |
EF0 |
92 km |
0 |
| Jul 31, 2015 |
EF0 |
59 km |
0 |
| Sep 6, 2007 |
EF0 |
56 km |
0 |
| Aug 17, 1992 |
EF0 |
79 km |
0 |
| Jul 31, 1979 |
EF0 |
88 km |
0 |
| Sep 9, 1972 |
EF0 |
94 km |
0 |
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)
Nearby Volcanoes
1 volcano within 200 km.
Closest: Red Hill (169 km).
| Name |
Type |
Elevation |
Last Eruption |
Distance |
| Red Hill |
Volcanic field |
2,300 m (7,546 ft) |
-9450 |
169 km |
Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP). Sorted by distance.
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km.
Largest: WHITEWATER-BALDY (306,923 ac, 2012).
| Year |
Name |
Acres |
Distance |
| 2012 |
WHITEWATER-BALDY |
306,923 |
80 km |
| 2011 |
HORSESHOE 2 |
226,079 |
95 km |
| 2001 |
UNNAMED |
151,684 |
98 km |
| 2003 |
DRY LAKE COMPLEX (DRY LAKES) |
113,956 |
81 km |
| 2021 |
JOHNSON |
95,808 |
75 km |
| 2011 |
MILLER |
84,760 |
86 km |
| 2017 |
FRYE |
54,202 |
73 km |
| 1993 |
BRUSH |
39,349 |
81 km |
| 2006 |
BEAR |
34,703 |
89 km |
| 2020 |
COW CANYON |
33,536 |
89 km |
| 2004 |
NUTALL COMPLEX (NUTALL) |
31,880 |
74 km |
| 2009 |
GREASEWOOD |
24,902 |
69 km |
| 2020 |
CUB |
24,489 |
84 km |
| 2021 |
BEAR |
24,459 |
86 km |
| 2020 |
BRINGHAM |
23,134 |
79 km |
| 2020 |
GOOD |
19,507 |
87 km |
| 1995 |
RHETT |
19,337 |
87 km |
| 1997 |
LILLY |
18,507 |
86 km |
| 2000 |
BLOODGOOD |
17,656 |
83 km |
| 2012 |
GRAPEVINE |
17,542 |
74 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)
Monthly Weather
| Month |
Avg Temperature |
Precipitation |
Summary |
| January |
43°F (6°C) |
1.0 in |
Coldest |
| February |
47°F (8°C) |
0.8 in |
|
| March |
52°F (11°C) |
0.6 in |
|
| April |
58°F (15°C) |
0.2 in |
Driest |
| May |
67°F (19°C) |
0.3 in |
|
| June |
76°F (24°C) |
0.4 in |
|
| July |
82°F (28°C) |
2.4 in |
Warmest, Wettest |
| August |
78°F (26°C) |
2.2 in |
|
| September |
73°F (23°C) |
1.5 in |
|
| October |
62°F (17°C) |
1.2 in |
|
| November |
50°F (10°C) |
0.8 in |
|
| December |
43°F (6°C) |
1.3 in |
|
Duncan has a seasonal temperature swing of 39°F / from 43°F in January to 82°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 12.6 inches, with July being the wettest month (2.4") and April the driest (0.2").
Average costs for common services in Duncan. Prices are estimated based on regional cost of living data and may vary by provider.
Healthcare
| Doctor Visit (Primary Care) |
$252 ($151–$403) |
| Specialist Visit |
$352 ($201–$554) |
| Urgent Care Visit |
$201 ($101–$352) |
| Emergency Room Visit |
$2,215 ($806–$5,035) |
| Dental Cleaning |
$131 ($76–$201) |
| Dental Filling |
$252 ($151–$403) |
View all 40 services
Auto Repair
| Oil Change (Conventional) |
$45 ($25–$76) |
| Oil Change (Synthetic) |
$76 ($50–$121) |
| Brake Pad Replacement |
$302 ($151–$504) |
| Tire Rotation |
$40 ($20–$76) |
| New Tires (Set of 4) |
$604 ($403–$1,007) |
| Battery Replacement |
$201 ($101–$352) |
View all 18 services
Home Services
| Plumber (Per Hour) |
$101 ($60–$151) |
| Electrician (Per Hour) |
$91 ($50–$141) |
| HVAC Repair |
$403 ($151–$806) |
| HVAC System Install |
$7,049 ($4,028–$12,084) |
| Roof Repair |
$1,007 ($403–$2,014) |
| Roof Replacement |
$9,063 ($5,539–$15,105) |
View all 25 services
Legal
| Divorce (Uncontested) |
$1,511 ($504–$3,525) |
| Divorce (Contested) |
$15,105 ($5,035–$30,210) |
| DUI Defense |
$5,035 ($2,014–$10,070) |
| Bankruptcy (Chapter 7) |
$1,511 ($806–$3,021) |
| Will Preparation |
$504 ($201–$1,007) |
| Trust Preparation |
$2,518 ($1,007–$5,035) |
View all 12 services
Personal Care
| Men's Haircut |
$25 ($15–$45) |
| Women's Haircut |
$55 ($30–$101) |
| Hair Coloring (Full) |
$151 ($76–$252) |
| Manicure |
$25 ($15–$45) |
| Pedicure |
$40 ($25–$65) |
| Massage (1 Hour) |
$81 ($50–$131) |
View all 12 services
Food & Grocery
| Gallon of Milk (per gallon) |
$4.13 ($3.02–$5.54) |
| Dozen Eggs (per dozen) |
$3.52 ($2.52–$5.04) |
| Loaf of Bread |
$3.83 ($2.52–$5.54) |
| Chicken Breast (per lb) |
$4.53 ($3.02–$6.55) |
| Ground Beef (per lb) |
$5.54 ($4.03–$7.55) |
| Rice (per lb) |
$1.01 ($0.60–$1.81) |
View all 20 services
Utilities
| Electricity (Monthly) |
$141 ($81–$252) |
| Natural Gas (Monthly) |
$70 ($30–$151) |
| Water/Sewer (Monthly) |
$70 ($40–$121) |
| Internet (Monthly) |
$70 ($40–$101) |
| Cell Phone Plan (Monthly) |
$65 ($30–$101) |
| Cable TV (Monthly) |
$86 ($50–$151) |
View all 8 services
Transportation
| Monthly Parking (Downtown) |
$201 ($76–$504) |
| Car Insurance (Annual) |
$2,014 ($1,208–$3,525) |
| Bus Pass (Monthly) |
$70 ($30–$131) |
| Taxi/Uber (5-Mile Ride) |
$15 ($8.06–$25) |
| Car Registration (Annual) |
$101 ($30–$252) |
| Driver's License Renewal |
$30 ($15–$76) |
View all 8 services
Education & Childcare
| Daycare (Infant, Monthly) |
$1,208 ($604–$2,518) |
| Daycare (Toddler, Monthly) |
$1,007 ($504–$2,014) |
| After-School Care (Monthly) |
$403 ($201–$705) |
| Tutoring (Per Hour) |
$50 ($25–$101) |
| SAT/ACT Prep Course |
$1,007 ($403–$2,518) |
| Private School (K-12, Annual) |
$12,588 ($5,035–$30,210) |
View all 8 services
Pets
| Vet Visit (Routine Checkup) |
$60 ($30–$101) |
| Dog Vaccination (Annual) |
$101 ($50–$201) |
| Dog Grooming |
$60 ($30–$101) |
| Pet Boarding (Per Night) |
$40 ($20–$76) |
| Dog Spay/Neuter |
$302 ($151–$504) |
| Cat Spay/Neuter |
$201 ($101–$403) |
View all 9 services
Childcare
| Center-Based (monthly) |
| Infant | $931 |
| Toddler | $670 |
| Preschool | $670 |
| Family Childcare (monthly) |
| Infant | $758 |
| Toddler | $758 |
| Preschool | $758 |
Source: DOL Women's Bureau (2022)
Frequently Asked Questions About Duncan
What is the population of Duncan?
Duncan has a population of 1,063 residents and is located in Arizona. The population density is 494 people per square mile, spread across 2.2 square miles. The median age of residents is 35.2 years, which is younger than the national median of 38.9 years. The population is 58% female and 42% male.
Is Duncan expensive to live in?
Duncan has a cost of living roughly in line with the national average, with an index of 100.7 (baseline: 100). The median household income is $38,750, 48% below the national average of $75,149. The median home value is $159,200 (44% below the U.S. median). Renters pay a median of $550 per month, below the national average of $1,163. The home price-to-income ratio is 4.1x, indicating housing is reasonably affordable relative to local income levels.
Is Duncan safe?
Duncan is considered a very safe city with a violent crime rate of 20 per 100,000 residents, well below the national average of 380. Property crime occurs at a rate of 2,099 per 100,000 (above the national average). Overall, Duncan receives a safety grade of F based on combined crime data.
What is the weather like in Duncan?
Duncan enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 61°F (16°C). Winter temperatures average 43°F in January, while summers reach an average of 82°F in July. The area receives 330 sunny days per year, well above the national average of 205. Annual rainfall totals 10.4 inches. Air quality is rated Good with a median Air Quality Index (AQI) of 45.
How is the job market in Duncan?
The job market in Duncan is very strong, with unemployment at just 1.8% / well below the national rate of 3.6%. The average weekly wage is $1,100. There are 624 business establishments in the area, including 69 restaurants and food service locations. The average commute time is 37 minutes, and 4.1% of workers work from home.
How much does housing cost in Duncan?
The median home value in Duncan is $159,200. Zillow estimates the typical home value at $237,473. For renters, the median monthly rent is $550. Fair market rent is $1,151 for a 1-bedroom and $1,419 for a 2-bedroom apartment. The homeownership rate is 55.3%. The average annual property tax is $2,214.
How are the schools in Duncan?
Schools in Duncan score 5.2 out of 10 on standardized testing, near the national average. 14.3% of adults in Duncan hold a bachelor's degree or higher, below the national average of 33.7%. 72.7% have completed high school. 4.9% hold a graduate or professional degree.
How healthy is Duncan?
The obesity rate in Duncan is 34.0% (above the national rate of 32.1%). 13.9% of adults are smokers. 23.7% are physically inactive. 21.7% of residents report depression. 15.0% lack health insurance (above the national rate). 67.5% of residents have access to exercise opportunities. The primary care physician ratio is 1:2,441.
What is transportation like in Duncan?
The average commute in Duncan is 37 minutes, longer than the national average of 28 minutes. 75.6% of workers drive alone to work, and 4.1% work from home.
What are the demographics of Duncan?
The racial and ethnic makeup of Duncan is 71.1% White, 4.8% Hispanic or Latino. 89.8% of residents speak only English at home, while 10.2% speak Spanish. 6.4% of the population are military veterans. 21.5% of residents have a disability. 94.5% have health insurance coverage.
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