All Countries
First Mesa, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Navajo County County
2.8
/5.0
C+
Fair
1,381
Population
88/sq mi density
$53,173
Median Income
$14,166 per capita
$57,100
Home Value
$394,556 Zillow
$731
Median Rent
16.5% income on rent
51°F
Avg Temperature
318 sunny days/yr
783
Violent Crime/100K
4,878 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.8 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
B
Economy
3.2 / 5.0
$53,173 median income, 2.6% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$57,100 home value, $731/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
783 violent crimes/100K (106% above avg)
D
Education
1.9 / 5.0
11.4% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-29.3%
1,953 → 1,381
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-3.41%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+113%
$24,964 → $53,173
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+7.85%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for First Mesa across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
1,083
-298 from 2023 (1,381)
Projected Median Income 2030
$90,247
+$37,074 from 2023 ($53,173)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 1,953 | — | $24,964 | — |
| 2015 | 1,739 | -11% | $23,790 | -4.7% |
| 2017 | 1,928 | +10.9% | $22,353 | -6% |
| 2019 | 1,937 | +0.5% | $32,135 | +43.8% |
| 2021 | 1,660 | -14.3% | $50,208 | +56.2% |
| 2023 | 1,381 | -16.8% | $53,173 | +5.9% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.