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Lake Barcroft, VA

Full City Profile · Virginia · Falls Church city County

3.6 /5.0
B+ Good
10,678 Population 4,394/sq mi density
$143,796 Median Income $73,495 per capita
$848,200 Home Value $699,751 Zillow
$1,914 Median Rent 27.8% income on rent
56°F Avg Temperature 293 sunny days/yr
130 Violent Crime/100K 1,595 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.6 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.9 / 5.0
$143,796 median income, 3.0% unemployment
B
Affordability
3.3 / 5.0
$848,200 home value, $1,914/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
130 violent crimes/100K
A+
Education
5.0 / 5.0
64.0% bachelor's degree or higher
Lake Barcroft enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 56°F (13°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 78°F in July. The area gets 293 sunny days per year. Annual precipitation totals 48.5 inches. The area receives 5.8 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35.

Temperature

34°F Jan (1°C) 78°F Jul (26°C)
Annual Average56.2°F
4% above US avg
January Average34°F (1°C)
July Average78°F (26°C)
Sunny Days293 days/yr

Geography

Elevation305 ft (93 m)
Area2.4 sq mi (6.3 km²)
Population Density4,394/sq mi
Coordinates38.8516°N, 77.1587°W
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
CountyFalls Church city County
Nearest AirportRonald Reagan Washington Ntl (DCA)
7 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 48.5"
28% above US avg
Snowfall 5.8"
Wettest Month (May) 4.13"
Driest Month (Feb) 2.76"

Air Quality

AQI Median35.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskVery Low
Risk Score1.6 / 100
Social Vulnerability10.6 / 100
Community Resilience98.3 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Very Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought No Rating
Cold Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

44 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990. Strongest: M5.8. Most recent: M2.8 on Jan 14, 2025.

Aug 23, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M5.8 125 km
Aug 25, 2011 8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M4.5 123 km
Aug 24, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M4.2 125 km
Mar 15, 1991 7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.8 139 km
Jul 16, 2010 5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland M3.6 50 km
Aug 24, 2011 16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.4 133 km
Sep 1, 2011 7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M3.4 121 km
Sep 22, 2001 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia M3.2 142 km
Jan 30, 2012 9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia M3.1 124 km
Jun 3, 2010 4 km ENE of Franklintown, Pennsylvania M3.1 138 km
Jan 17, 2016 3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia M3.0 78 km
Oct 12, 2011 9 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 124 km
Oct 2, 2010 10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia M3.0 115 km
Mar 26, 2012 13 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 128 km
Apr 24, 2009 1 km S of Franklintown, Pennsylvania M2.9 135 km
Sep 15, 2019 5 km ESE of East Berlin, Pennsylvania M2.8 121 km
Aug 23, 2011 9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 123 km
Mar 15, 2015 6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 121 km
Apr 21, 1998 1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia M2.8 144 km
Jan 14, 2025 1 km NNE of Wyndham, Virginia M2.8 133 km
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)

Hurricane History

5 hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 500 km since 1980. Strongest: Category 2. Most recent: Irene (2011, Cat 1).

Year Name Category Closest
2011 Irene Category 1 206 km
2003 Isabel Category 1 244 km
1999 Floyd Category 1 246 km
1986 Charley Category 1 235 km
1985 Gloria Category 2 236 km
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Cat 1+, 1980–2026)

Tornado History

476 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950. Strongest: EF4. Total: 9 fatalities, 369 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Fatalities
Apr 28, 2002 EF4 34 km 3
Sep 24, 2001 EF4 78 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF3 67 km 0
Apr 28, 2002 EF3 89 km 0
Sep 24, 2001 EF3 18 km 2
Jul 19, 1996 EF3 74 km 0
Oct 18, 1990 EF3 94 km 0
May 22, 1983 EF3 95 km 0
Sep 5, 1979 EF3 11 km 1
Jan 26, 1978 EF3 41 km 1
Apr 1, 1973 EF3 16 km 0
Jun 9, 1961 EF3 61 km 0
Sep 1, 2021 EF2 49 km 0
Nov 2, 2018 EF2 55 km 0
Jul 23, 2017 EF2 71 km 0
May 8, 2008 EF2 63 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 60 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 34 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 54 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 93 km 0
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)

Wildfire History

2 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km. Largest: SMITH RUN FIRE (1,908 ac, 2011).

Year Name Acres Distance
2011 SMITH RUN FIRE 1,908 89 km
1999 NCO 816 39 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 34°F (1°C) 3.1 in Coldest
February 37°F (3°C) 2.8 in Driest
March 45°F (7°C) 3.6 in
April 55°F (13°C) 3.2 in
May 65°F (18°C) 4.1 in Wettest
June 73°F (23°C) 3.5 in
July 78°F (26°C) 3.9 in Warmest
August 76°F (24°C) 3.8 in
September 69°F (21°C) 3.7 in
October 58°F (14°C) 3.3 in
November 48°F (9°C) 3.4 in
December 39°F (4°C) 3.2 in

Lake Barcroft has a seasonal temperature swing of 44°F / from 34°F in January to 78°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 41.6 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.1") and February the driest (2.8").

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