McSwain, CA
Full City Profile · California · Merced County County
3.5
/5.0
B+
Good
5,556
Population
921/sq mi density
$140,173
Median Income
$72,505 per capita
$639,800
Home Value
$415,897 Zillow
$1,205
Median Rent
22.2% income on rent
62°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
628
Violent Crime/100K
3,536 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.5 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.8 / 5.0
$140,173 median income, 1.8% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.1 / 5.0
$639,800 home value, $1,205/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
628 violent crimes/100K (65% above avg)
A
Education
4.2 / 5.0
40.1% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+24.9%
4,447 → 5,556
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+2.25%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+42.6%
$98,289 → $140,173
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+3.61%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for McSwain across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
6,492
+936 from 2023 (5,556)
Projected Median Income 2030
$179,670
+$39,497 from 2023 ($140,173)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 4,447 | — | $98,289 | — |
| 2015 | 4,562 | +2.6% | $100,156 | +1.9% |
| 2017 | 4,363 | -4.4% | $113,477 | +13.3% |
| 2019 | 4,399 | +0.8% | $101,283 | -10.7% |
| 2021 | 4,606 | +4.7% | $111,995 | +10.6% |
| 2023 | 5,556 | +20.6% | $140,173 | +25.2% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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