Mesa, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Pinal County County
3.2
/5.0
B
Good
507,478
Population
3,578/sq mi density
$78,779
Median Income
$39,586 per capita
$364,300
Home Value
$432,764 Zillow
$1,478
Median Rent
31.8% income on rent
74°F
Avg Temperature
348 sunny days/yr
377
Violent Crime/100K
1,869 property/100K
B
Overall
3.2 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A
Economy
4.3 / 5.0
$78,779 median income, 3.0% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.1 / 5.0
$364,300 home value, $1,478/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
377 violent crimes/100K
B+
Education
3.5 / 5.0
31.5% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013, 2023)
Population Change
+10.6%
464,661 → 513,993
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+1.01%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+62.3%
$48,547 → $78,779
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.96%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Mesa across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013, 2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts, real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
551,452
+37,459 from 2023 (513,993)
Projected Median Income 2030
$110,555
+$31,776 from 2023 ($78,779)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 464,661 | - | $48,547 | - |
| 2015 | 481,721 | +3.7% | $48,809 | +0.5% |
| 2017 | 499,957 | +3.8% | $52,155 | +6.9% |
| 2019 | 518,497 | +3.7% | $58,181 | +11.6% |
| 2021 | 509,475 | -1.7% | $65,725 | +13% |
| 2023 | 513,993 | +0.9% | $78,779 | +19.9% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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