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Ninilchik, AK
Full City Profile · Alaska · Kenai Peninsula Borough County
3.0
/5.0
B
Good
1,009
Population
5/sq mi density
$53,125
Median Income
$33,004 per capita
$251,600
Home Value
$197,457 Zillow
$922
Median Rent
42.2% income on rent
34°F
Avg Temperature
269 sunny days/yr
595
Violent Crime/100K
4,481 property/100K
B
Overall
3.0 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
B+
Economy
3.8 / 5.0
$53,125 median income, 2.2% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.0 / 5.0
$251,600 home value, $922/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
595 violent crimes/100K (57% above avg)
B
Education
3.3 / 5.0
28.7% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+45.4%
694 → 1,009
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+3.81%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+7.4%
$49,444 → $53,125
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+0.72%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Ninilchik across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
1,311
+302 from 2023 (1,009)
Projected Median Income 2030
$55,861
+$2,736 from 2023 ($53,125)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 694 | — | $49,444 | — |
| 2015 | 728 | +4.9% | $49,659 | +0.4% |
| 2017 | 741 | +1.8% | $50,972 | +2.6% |
| 2019 | 836 | +12.8% | $51,071 | +0.2% |
| 2021 | 964 | +15.3% | $51,958 | +1.7% |
| 2023 | 1,009 | +4.7% | $53,125 | +2.2% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.