Nocatee, FL
Full City Profile · Florida · Duval County County
3.7
/5.0
B+
Good
25,581
Population
954/sq mi density
$131,488
Median Income
$67,710 per capita
$585,000
Home Value
$626,924 Zillow
$3,501
Median Rent
29.0% income on rent
71°F
Avg Temperature
306 sunny days/yr
615
Violent Crime/100K
3,706 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.7 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.8 / 5.0
$131,488 median income, 3.4% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.2 / 5.0
$585,000 home value, $3,501/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
615 violent crimes/100K (62% above avg)
A+
Education
5.0 / 5.0
68.0% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+447.8%
4,670 → 25,581
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+18.54%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+54.1%
$85,354 → $131,488
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.42%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Nocatee across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
84,134
+58,553 from 2023 (25,581)
Projected Median Income 2030
$177,980
+$46,492 from 2023 ($131,488)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 4,670 | — | $85,354 | — |
| 2015 | 7,306 | +56.4% | $85,632 | +0.3% |
| 2017 | 11,634 | +59.2% | $114,048 | +33.2% |
| 2019 | 14,747 | +26.8% | $119,276 | +4.6% |
| 2021 | 19,601 | +32.9% | $128,382 | +7.6% |
| 2023 | 25,581 | +30.5% | $131,488 | +2.4% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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