All Countries
Nogales, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Santa Cruz County County
2.5
/5.0
C+
Fair
19,753
Population
949/sq mi density
$40,745
Median Income
$21,340 per capita
$172,800
Home Value
$216,785 Zillow
$691
Median Rent
25.1% income on rent
65°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
204
Violent Crime/100K
3,023 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.5 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C
Economy
2.1 / 5.0
$40,745 median income, 8.1% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.3 / 5.0
$172,800 home value, $691/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
204 violent crimes/100K
C
Education
2.5 / 5.0
18.4% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-3.3%
20,576 → 19,901
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-0.33%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+54.7%
$26,333 → $40,745
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.46%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Nogales across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
19,446
-455 from 2023 (19,901)
Projected Median Income 2030
$55,300
+$14,555 from 2023 ($40,745)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 20,576 | — | $26,333 | — |
| 2015 | 20,287 | -1.4% | $28,044 | +6.5% |
| 2017 | 20,239 | -0.2% | $28,264 | +0.8% |
| 2019 | 20,202 | -0.2% | $29,339 | +3.8% |
| 2021 | 19,766 | -2.2% | $31,997 | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 19,901 | +0.7% | $40,745 | +27.3% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.