All Countries
Surprise, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Maricopa County County
3.4
/5.0
B
Good
149,519
Population
1,353/sq mi density
$93,371
Median Income
$39,604 per capita
$396,000
Home Value
$421,071 Zillow
$1,917
Median Rent
31.9% income on rent
74°F
Avg Temperature
350 sunny days/yr
98
Violent Crime/100K
1,478 property/100K
B
Overall
3.4 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.8 / 5.0
$93,371 median income, 2.5% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.3 / 5.0
$396,000 home value, $1,917/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
98 violent crimes/100K
B
Education
3.5 / 5.0
31.0% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+27.3%
124,998 → 159,128
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+2.44%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+59.7%
$58,455 → $93,371
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.79%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Surprise across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
188,379
+29,251 from 2023 (159,128)
Projected Median Income 2030
$129,554
+$36,183 from 2023 ($93,371)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 124,998 | — | $58,455 | — |
| 2015 | 130,302 | +4.2% | $59,916 | +2.5% |
| 2017 | 134,753 | +3.4% | $62,927 | +5% |
| 2019 | 141,836 | +5.3% | $69,076 | +9.8% |
| 2021 | 149,191 | +5.2% | $76,623 | +10.9% |
| 2023 | 159,128 | +6.7% | $93,371 | +21.9% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.