All Countries
Tonka Bay, MN
Full City Profile · Minnesota · Carver County County
3.5
/5.0
B+
Good
1,361
Population
1,448/sq mi density
$151,563
Median Income
$133,352 per capita
$869,900
Home Value
$1,064,963 Zillow
$2,299
Median Rent
19.6% income on rent
45°F
Avg Temperature
270 sunny days/yr
23
Violent Crime/100K
864 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.5 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.6 / 5.0
$151,563 median income, 4.7% unemployment
B
Affordability
3.4 / 5.0
$869,900 home value, $2,299/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
23 violent crimes/100K
A+
Education
5.0 / 5.0
64.8% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+1%
1,527 → 1,543
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+0.1%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+39.1%
$108,942 → $151,563
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+3.36%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Tonka Bay across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
1,554
+11 from 2023 (1,543)
Projected Median Income 2030
$191,012
+$39,449 from 2023 ($151,563)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 1,527 | — | $108,942 | — |
| 2015 | 1,540 | +0.9% | $108,250 | -0.6% |
| 2017 | 1,559 | +1.2% | $119,779 | +10.7% |
| 2019 | 1,568 | +0.6% | $133,000 | +11% |
| 2021 | 1,599 | +2% | $141,000 | +6% |
| 2023 | 1,543 | -3.5% | $151,563 | +7.5% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.