All Countries
Vail, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Santa Cruz County County
3.9
/5.0
B+
Good
15,722
Population
693/sq mi density
$121,385
Median Income
$44,706 per capita
$367,500
Home Value
$405,328 Zillow
$1,854
Median Rent
23.7% income on rent
70°F
Avg Temperature
323 sunny days/yr
33
Violent Crime/100K
1,444 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.9 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
5.0 / 5.0
$121,385 median income, 1.4% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$367,500 home value, $1,854/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
33 violent crimes/100K
A+
Education
4.6 / 5.0
45.3% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+45.8%
10,785 → 15,722
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+3.84%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+50.9%
$80,439 → $121,385
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.2%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Vail across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
20,467
+4,745 from 2023 (15,722)
Projected Median Income 2030
$161,897
+$40,512 from 2023 ($121,385)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 10,785 | — | $80,439 | — |
| 2015 | 11,143 | +3.3% | $81,894 | +1.8% |
| 2017 | 11,735 | +5.3% | $76,974 | -6% |
| 2019 | 12,982 | +10.6% | $85,927 | +11.6% |
| 2021 | 14,715 | +13.3% | $107,470 | +25.1% |
| 2023 | 15,722 | +6.8% | $121,385 | +12.9% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.