Valrico, FL
Full City Profile · Florida · Hillsborough County County
3.6
/5.0
B+
Good
38,820
Population
2,811/sq mi density
$98,451
Median Income
$44,102 per capita
$356,200
Home Value
$411,777 Zillow
$1,698
Median Rent
33.6% income on rent
74°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
464
Violent Crime/100K
3,975 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.6 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.8 / 5.0
$98,451 median income, 2.3% unemployment
A+
Affordability
4.6 / 5.0
$356,200 home value, $1,698/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
464 violent crimes/100K (22% above avg)
A
Education
4.1 / 5.0
38.2% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+7.7%
36,043 → 38,820
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+0.74%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+39.9%
$70,352 → $98,451
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+3.42%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Valrico across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
40,876
+2,056 from 2023 (38,820)
Projected Median Income 2030
$124,581
+$26,130 from 2023 ($98,451)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 36,043 | — | $70,352 | — |
| 2015 | 36,975 | +2.6% | $70,732 | +0.5% |
| 2017 | 37,546 | +1.5% | $72,772 | +2.9% |
| 2019 | 37,980 | +1.2% | $75,221 | +3.4% |
| 2021 | 39,632 | +4.3% | $84,986 | +13% |
| 2023 | 38,820 | -2% | $98,451 | +15.8% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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