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Warrenton, VA

Full City Profile · Virginia · Fauquier County County

3.5 /5.0
B+ Good
10,151 Population 2,318/sq mi density
$80,441 Median Income $41,407 per capita
$423,500 Home Value $671,269 Zillow
$1,512 Median Rent 30.5% income on rent
55°F Avg Temperature 297 sunny days/yr
140 Violent Crime/100K 1,093 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.5 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.6 / 5.0
$80,441 median income, 1.2% unemployment
B+
Affordability
3.7 / 5.0
$423,500 home value, $1,512/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
140 violent crimes/100K
A+
Education
4.5 / 5.0
43.9% bachelor's degree or higher
Warrenton experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 55°F (13°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 75°F in July. The area gets 297 sunny days per year. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 35.

Temperature

34°F Jan (1°C) 75°F Jul (24°C)
Annual Average54.9°F
2% above US avg
January Average34°F (1°C)
July Average75°F (24°C)
Sunny Days297 days/yr

Geography

Elevation610 ft (186 m)
Area4.4 sq mi (11.3 km²)
Population Density2,318/sq mi
Coordinates38.7178°N, 77.7973°W
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
CountyFauquier County County
Nearest AirportManassas Regional/Harry P Davis Field (MNZ)
16 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Wettest Month (May) 4.02"
Driest Month (Feb) 2.76"

Air Quality

AQI Median35.0
RatingGood

Air Pollutants (EPA 2023)

Ozone (O₃)0.0426 ppm

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskRelatively Low
Risk Score47.7 / 100
Social Vulnerability10.6 / 100
Community Resilience67.8 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Very Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

42 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990. Strongest: M5.8. Most recent: M2.8 on Jan 14, 2025.

Aug 23, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M5.8 91 km
Aug 25, 2011 8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M4.5 87 km
Aug 24, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M4.2 90 km
Mar 15, 1991 7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.8 109 km
Jul 16, 2010 5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland M3.6 69 km
May 5, 2003 Virginia M3.6 122 km
Aug 24, 2011 16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.4 100 km
Sep 1, 2011 7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M3.4 86 km
Sep 22, 2001 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia M3.2 93 km
Jan 30, 2012 9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia M3.1 87 km
May 22, 2014 15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia M3.1 134 km
Jan 17, 2016 3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia M3.0 67 km
Oct 12, 2011 9 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 88 km
Oct 2, 2010 10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia M3.0 99 km
Mar 26, 2012 13 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 92 km
Apr 21, 1998 1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia M2.8 91 km
Aug 23, 2011 9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 88 km
Mar 15, 2015 6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 85 km
Jan 14, 2025 1 km NNE of Wyndham, Virginia M2.8 114 km
Oct 28, 1994 1 km E of Mount Vernon, Maryland M2.7 122 km
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)

Hurricane History

5 hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 500 km since 1980. Strongest: Category 2. Most recent: Irene (2011, Cat 1).

Year Name Category Closest
2011 Irene Category 1 253 km
2003 Isabel Category 1 225 km
1999 Floyd Category 1 260 km
1986 Charley Category 1 271 km
1985 Gloria Category 2 289 km
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Cat 1+, 1980–2026)

Tornado History

402 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950. Strongest: EF4. Total: 10 fatalities, 311 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Fatalities
Apr 28, 2002 EF4 57 km 3
Sep 24, 2001 EF4 23 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF3 22 km 0
Sep 24, 2001 EF3 75 km 2
Apr 1, 1998 EF3 94 km 2
Oct 18, 1990 EF3 49 km 0
Jul 25, 1985 EF3 79 km 0
Sep 5, 1979 EF3 63 km 1
Jan 26, 1978 EF3 50 km 1
Mar 21, 1976 EF3 63 km 0
Apr 1, 1973 EF3 42 km 0
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 72 km 1
Apr 19, 2019 EF2 81 km 0
Nov 2, 2018 EF2 89 km 0
May 8, 2008 EF2 47 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 51 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 67 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 5 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 74 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 11 km 0
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 ac, 2000).

Year Name Acres Distance
2000 PINNACLES 24,792 47 km
2016 ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016 9,299 88 km
2024 WATERFALL MOUNTAIN 9,251 68 km
2024 WAITES RUN 5,496 78 km
2002 FULTZ RUN 4,638 69 km
1986 BIG RUN 4,161 91 km
2012 SHIPWRECK 3,779 79 km
2021 UNNAMED 3,667 79 km
2014 CUB RUN RX 2,868 79 km
2019 UNNAMED 2,460 66 km
2024 CAPON 2,302 98 km
2012 NEIGHBOR MTN FIRE 1,986 50 km
2011 SMITH RUN FIRE 1,908 35 km
1999 BOOTEN GAP 1,652 63 km
2024 DOVE HOLLOW 1,634 98 km
2020 UNNAMED 1,572 76 km
1995 SHENGAP 1,385 69 km
2006 CARDINAL 1,345 67 km
2012 POINT 2 1,126 51 km
2024 ROCKY BRANCH 1,018 47 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 34°F (1°C) 2.9 in Coldest
February 35°F (2°C) 2.8 in Driest
March 44°F (7°C) 3.3 in
April 54°F (12°C) 3.2 in
May 63°F (17°C) 4.0 in Wettest
June 71°F (22°C) 3.7 in
July 75°F (24°C) 3.7 in Warmest
August 74°F (23°C) 3.7 in
September 67°F (20°C) 3.5 in
October 56°F (13°C) 3.4 in
November 46°F (8°C) 3.5 in
December 37°F (3°C) 3.0 in

Warrenton has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 34°F in January to 75°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 40.7 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.0") and February the driest (2.8").

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