Weather & Climate in Estancia, NM

Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.

Estancia experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 51°F (11°C). Winters average 32°F in January while summers reach 72°F in July. The area gets 330 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 13.6 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). The area receives 17.9 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 37. The city sits at an elevation of 6,104 feet.

Temperature

32°F Jan (-0°C) 72°F Jul (22°C)

Annual Average	51.4°F
	5% below US avg
January Average	32°F (-0°C)
July Average	72°F (22°C)
Sunny Days	330 days/yr

Geography

Elevation	6,104 ft (1,860 m)
Area	6.2 sq mi (16.0 km²)
Population Density	227/sq mi
Coordinates	34.7643°N, 106.0386°W
Timezone	America/Denver
County	Valencia County County
Nearest Airport	Albuquerque International Sunport (ABQ) 37 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 13.6"

64% below US avg

Snowfall 17.9"

Wettest Month (Aug) 2.44"

Driest Month (Jan) 0.59"

Air Quality

AQI Median	37.0
Rating	Good

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall Risk	Relatively Moderate
Risk Score	82.3 / 100
Social Vulnerability	64.2 / 100
Community Resilience	3.9 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado	Very Low
Earthquake	Relatively Moderate
Wildfire	Relatively Low
Flood	Relatively Moderate
Hail	Relatively Low
Strong Wind	Relatively Low
Heat Wave	Relatively Low
Winter Weather	Relatively Moderate
Lightning	Relatively High
Ice Storm	Very Low
Drought	Relatively Low
Cold Wave	Very Low
Landslide	Very Low
Volcano	Very Low
Avalanche	Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

81 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.5.

Jan 29, 1990	6 km W of Abeytas, New Mexico	M4.5	84 km	12 km
Nov 8, 1990	4 km WSW of Abeytas, New Mexico	M4.4	83 km	6 km
Jan 31, 1990	5 km WSW of Abeytas, New Mexico	M4.0	83 km	10 km
Feb 27, 1990	25 km E of San Antonio, New Mexico	M3.9	103 km	5 km
Jul 22, 1990	5 km SE of McIntosh, New Mexico	M3.7	9 km	10 km
May 5, 1990	6 km WSW of Abeytas, New Mexico	M3.6	84 km	7 km
Jan 4, 1998	5 km NE of Mountainair, New Mexico	M3.6	27 km	5 km
Feb 21, 1990	31 km ENE of San Antonio, New Mexico	M3.6	96 km	5 km
Nov 15, 1990	4 km WSW of Abeytas, New Mexico	M3.6	83 km	7 km
Jun 20, 1991	47 km SE of San Antonito, New Mexico	M3.5	134 km	0 km
Dec 31, 1997	8 km E of Mountainair, New Mexico	M3.5	28 km	5 km
May 24, 2004	8 km W of Abeytas, New Mexico	M3.5	86 km	5 km
Oct 17, 2011	3 km SE of Cuyamungue, New Mexico	M3.5	121 km	5 km
May 1, 2025	14 km NW of Alamillo, New Mexico	M3.5	100 km	13 km
Dec 31, 1997	8 km ENE of Mountainair, New Mexico	M3.5	26 km	5 km
Sep 29, 2012	4 km WNW of Belen, New Mexico	M3.5	72 km	5 km
Sep 10, 2024	7 km WNW of Paradise Hills, New Mexico	M3.5	85 km	6 km
Oct 20, 2016	3 km NNW of Seboyeta, New Mexico	M3.5	135 km	5 km
Jul 22, 2013	25 km E of San Antonio, New Mexico	M3.4	105 km	5 km
May 23, 2007	4 km WNW of Socorro, New Mexico	M3.4	113 km	5 km

Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.

Tornado History

79 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF2. Total: 1 injury.

Date	Rating	Distance	Path	Fatalities
May 27, 1975	EF2	70 km	0.1 mi	0
Jun 8, 1989	EF1	37 km	5.0 mi	0
Jun 1, 1989	EF1	99 km	5.0 mi	0
Sep 13, 1988	EF1	76 km	0.2 mi	0
Jun 23, 1981	EF1	86 km	0.1 mi	0
Apr 15, 1971	EF1	99 km	2.0 mi	0
Jul 5, 1966	EF1	64 km	0.2 mi	0
May 31, 1965	EF1	68 km	0.1 mi	0
Aug 20, 1956	EF1	48 km	0.5 mi	0
Jul 23, 2021	EF0	77 km	0.0 mi	0
Jul 13, 2021	EF0	62 km	0.2 mi	0
May 31, 2021	EF0	75 km	0.9 mi	0
May 17, 2021	EF0	88 km	1.7 mi	0
May 17, 2021	EF0	60 km	0.0 mi	0
May 17, 2021	EF0	63 km	0.7 mi	0
Aug 15, 2020	EF0	81 km	0.0 mi	0
Jul 15, 2020	EF0	68 km	0.4 mi	0
Jun 17, 2019	EF0	56 km	1.3 mi	0
Jun 2, 2019	EF0	54 km	4.2 mi	0
Jun 3, 2018	EF0	36 km	2.6 mi	0

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).

Nearby Volcanoes

2 volcanoes within 200 km. Closest: Carrizozo (110 km).

Name	Type	Elevation	Last Eruption	Distance
Carrizozo	Pyroclastic cone(s)	1,731 m (5,679 ft)	-3250	110 km
Zuni-Bandera	Volcanic field	2,550 m (8,366 ft)	-1170	179 km

Source: Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP).

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: PEREZ (30,288 acres, 1997).

Year	Name	Acres Burned	Distance
1997	PEREZ	30,288	99 km
2016	DOG HEAD	19,816	26 km
2008	TRIGO	13,855	33 km
1989	BURGETTE	10,576	95 km
2009	BLACK BUTTE	8,124	75 km
2008	UNNAMED	7,351	66 km
2011	MILAGRO	7,102	87 km
2022	BIGGS	6,994	85 km
2000	VAUGHN	6,967	93 km
2007	OJO PEAK	6,118	39 km
2008	UNNAMED	5,083	39 km
2008	BIG SPRING	5,050	29 km
2017	NMSER FY17 RX #1	4,817	70 km
2004	LOOKOUT	4,778	61 km
1994	VEGA	4,642	66 km
2002	MIDDLE TANK	4,279	69 km
2019	NMSER-FY18-RX-NORTH DIAMOND	4,261	71 km
1994	LOVELACE	3,880	90 km
1996	PINATOSA	3,455	69 km
2017	BULLDOG	2,807	56 km

Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).

Monthly Weather

Month	Avg Temperature	Precipitation	Summary
January	32°F (-0°C)	0.6 in	Coldest, Driest
February	38°F (3°C)	0.6 in
March	44°F (6°C)	0.6 in
April	50°F (10°C)	0.6 in
May	59°F (15°C)	0.9 in
June	68°F (20°C)	0.9 in
July	72°F (22°C)	2.2 in	Warmest
August	70°F (21°C)	2.4 in	Wettest
September	63°F (17°C)	1.7 in
October	53°F (12°C)	1.3 in
November	41°F (5°C)	0.7 in
December	33°F (1°C)	0.8 in

Estancia has a seasonal temperature swing of 40°F / from 32°F in January to 72°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 13.3 inches, with August being the wettest month (2.4") and January the driest (0.6").

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