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Weather & Climate in Horseshoe Bay, TX
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Horseshoe Bay enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 68°F (20°C). Winters average 49°F in January while summers reach 84°F in July. The area gets 328 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 28.4 inches (drier than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42. The city sits at an elevation of 885 feet.
Temperature
49°F Jan (10°C)
84°F Jul (29°C)
| Annual Average | 67.5°F |
| 25% above US avg | |
| January Average | 49°F (10°C) |
| July Average | 84°F (29°C) |
| Sunny Days | 328 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 885 ft (270 m) |
| Area | 14.3 sq mi (37.1 km²) |
| Population Density | 316/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 30.5408°N, 98.3806°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Blanco County County |
| Nearest Airport | Austin-Bergstrom International (AUS) 49 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 42.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 33.0 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 45.4 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 52.5 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Low |
| Ice Storm | Very Low |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
1 earthquake (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M2.9.
| Sep 3, 2015 | 7 km NNE of Leander, Texas | M2.9 | 54 km | 5 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Hurricane History
5 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 3.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Beryl | Category 1 | 92 mph | 268 km |
| 2017 | Harvey | Category 4 | 132 mph | 230 km |
| 2008 | Ike | Category 1 | - | 299 km |
| 2003 | Claudette | Category 1 | 92 mph | 259 km |
| 1983 | Alicia | Category 2 | 92 mph | 292 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980-2026).
Tornado History
365 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF5. Total: 32 fatalities, 249 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| May 27, 1997 | EF5 | 79 km | 5.1 mi | 27 |
| May 11, 1999 | EF4 | 71 km | 7.0 mi | 1 |
| May 27, 1997 | EF4 | 39 km | 5.6 mi | 1 |
| Apr 12, 2022 | EF3 | 68 km | 16.6 mi | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2001 | EF3 | 43 km | 2.5 mi | 0 |
| May 11, 1999 | EF3 | 83 km | 3.5 mi | 0 |
| May 27, 1997 | EF3 | 54 km | 9.2 mi | 0 |
| May 13, 1994 | EF3 | 11 km | 3.5 mi | 0 |
| May 17, 1989 | EF3 | 77 km | 3.0 mi | 1 |
| Apr 7, 1980 | EF3 | 65 km | 31.7 mi | 1 |
| Mar 2, 1979 | EF3 | 99 km | 7.1 mi | 0 |
| Mar 10, 1973 | EF3 | 26 km | 7.8 mi | 0 |
| May 6, 1969 | EF3 | 53 km | 38.9 mi | 0 |
| May 10, 1959 | EF3 | 70 km | 11.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 30, 1954 | EF3 | 90 km | 139.9 mi | 0 |
| Mar 21, 2022 | EF2 | 67 km | 34.6 mi | 0 |
| Mar 21, 2022 | EF2 | 93 km | 12.0 mi | 0 |
| Jun 9, 2019 | EF2 | 78 km | 1.6 mi | 0 |
| Feb 20, 2017 | EF2 | 99 km | 4.2 mi | 0 |
| Feb 20, 2017 | EF2 | 98 km | 9.4 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: SAN SABA FIRE (12,896 acres, 1993).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 1993 | SAN SABA FIRE | 12,896 | 83 km |
| 2015 | EATON CEMETERY | 10,441 | 70 km |
| 2020 | MAYS | 9,736 | 98 km |
| 1999 | WILLIAMS RANCH FIRE | 6,226 | 75 km |
| 2011 | ROBINETTE | 6,039 | 99 km |
| 2003 | UNNAMED | 4,490 | 90 km |
| 2011 | SPICEWOOD | 4,239 | 30 km |
| 2011 | JAMES RIVER ROAD | 3,918 | 87 km |
| 1984 | STEWAIT | 3,696 | 19 km |
| 2015 | LOG CABIN | 3,391 | 79 km |
| 2022 | 3 OAKS | 3,294 | 96 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 3,133 | 100 km |
| 2018 | HARMAN ROAD | 3,094 | 96 km |
| 2000 | UNNAMED | 2,928 | 87 km |
| 2022 | TRAINING AREA 23 | 2,696 | 95 km |
| 2007 | ART | 2,623 | 73 km |
| 2014 | HAVELAH | 2,320 | 77 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 2,236 | 98 km |
| 2002 | UNNAMED | 2,234 | 17 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 2,183 | 98 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 49°F (10°C) | 1.4 in | Coldest, Driest |
| February | 51°F (11°C) | 2.0 in | |
| March | 59°F (15°C) | 1.9 in | |
| April | 66°F (19°C) | 2.4 in | |
| May | 74°F (23°C) | 4.5 in | Wettest |
| June | 80°F (27°C) | 3.3 in | |
| July | 84°F (29°C) | 1.7 in | Warmest |
| August | 83°F (28°C) | 2.0 in | |
| September | 77°F (25°C) | 3.2 in | |
| October | 68°F (20°C) | 3.3 in | |
| November | 57°F (14°C) | 2.1 in | |
| December | 50°F (10°C) | 1.6 in |
Horseshoe Bay has a seasonal temperature swing of 35°F / from 49°F in January to 84°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 29.3 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.5") and January the driest (1.4").