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Weather & Climate in Lake Mystic, FL
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Lake Mystic enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 67°F (20°C). Winters average 51°F in January while summers reach 81°F in July. The area gets 313 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 63.1 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 41. The city sits at an elevation of 137 feet.
Temperature
51°F Jan (11°C)
81°F Jul (27°C)
| Annual Average | 67.1°F |
| 24% above US avg | |
| January Average | 51°F (11°C) |
| July Average | 81°F (27°C) |
| Sunny Days | 313 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 137 ft (42 m) |
| Area | 4.5 sq mi (11.8 km²) |
| Population Density | 122/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 30.3916°N, 84.9913°W |
| Timezone | America/New_York |
| County | Liberty County County |
| Nearest Airport | Tallahassee International (TLH) 38 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 41.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 12.7 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 54.7 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 26.3 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Very Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Very Low |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Drought | Very Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Hurricane History
15 hurricanes (Category 1+) recorded within 500 km since 1980. Strongest on record: Category 5.
| Year | Name | Category | Max Wind | Closest |
| 2024 | Helene | Category 4 | 138 mph | 132 km |
| 2024 | Debby | Category 1 | 81 mph | 163 km |
| 2023 | Idalia | Category 4 | 132 mph | 145 km |
| 2020 | Sally | Category 2 | 109 mph | 235 km |
| 2018 | Michael | Category 5 | 161 mph | 45 km |
| 2016 | Hermine | Category 1 | 81 mph | 92 km |
| 2005 | Dennis | Category 4 | 138 mph | 192 km |
| 2004 | Ivan | Category 3 | 121 mph | 271 km |
| 2000 | Gordon | Category 1 | 75 mph | 290 km |
| 1998 | Earl | Category 2 | 98 mph | 75 km |
| 1997 | Danny | Category 1 | 81 mph | 279 km |
| 1995 | Opal | Category 4 | 127 mph | 186 km |
| 1995 | Erin | Category 2 | 98 mph | 139 km |
| 1985 | Elena | Category 3 | 127 mph | 141 km |
| 1985 | Kate | Category 3 | 109 mph | 24 km |
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Category 1+, 1980–2026).
Tornado History
500 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF3. Total: 25 fatalities, 361 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Jan 9, 2024 | EF3 | 78 km | 5.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2022 | EF3 | 57 km | 12.1 mi | 2 |
| Mar 3, 2019 | EF3 | 84 km | 8.8 mi | 0 |
| Mar 22, 2005 | EF3 | 74 km | 18.0 mi | 1 |
| Dec 28, 1968 | EF3 | 53 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Dec 10, 1967 | EF3 | 66 km | 7.1 mi | 1 |
| May 10, 2024 | EF2 | 37 km | 24.2 mi | 0 |
| May 10, 2024 | EF2 | 48 km | 24.8 mi | 2 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | EF2 | 64 km | 0.9 mi | 0 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | EF2 | 42 km | 16.3 mi | 0 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | EF2 | 77 km | 34.8 mi | 1 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | EF2 | 65 km | 12.9 mi | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2023 | EF2 | 17 km | 2.5 mi | 0 |
| Mar 18, 2022 | EF2 | 74 km | 1.6 mi | 0 |
| Apr 10, 2021 | EF2 | 91 km | 0.5 mi | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2020 | EF2 | 68 km | 17.2 mi | 0 |
| Mar 3, 2019 | EF2 | 90 km | 2.7 mi | 0 |
| Jan 2, 2017 | EF2 | 98 km | 4.3 mi | 0 |
| Jan 2, 2017 | EF2 | 94 km | 7.8 mi | 0 |
| Jan 2, 2017 | EF2 | 97 km | 10.9 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: EAST FORK (26,251 acres, 2004).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2004 | EAST FORK | 26,251 | 47 km |
| 2021 | BU 360 361 362 363 | 24,747 | 48 km |
| 1998 | HOLIDAY | 24,666 | 48 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 24,574 | 48 km |
| 2022 | BERTHA SWAMP RD | 23,036 | 40 km |
| 2008 | UNNAMED | 18,704 | 50 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 11,747 | 54 km |
| 2005 | UNNAMED | 11,539 | 38 km |
| 2009 | UNNAMED | 11,445 | 30 km |
| 2021 | BU 83/84/85 | 10,582 | 41 km |
| 2010 | UNNAMED | 10,261 | 54 km |
| 2009 | UNNAMED | 10,132 | 41 km |
| 2009 | UNNAMED | 10,098 | 82 km |
| 2008 | GUM BAY | 9,965 | 44 km |
| 2006 | UNNAMED | 9,352 | 42 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 9,252 | 59 km |
| 2008 | UNNAMED | 9,117 | 85 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 8,688 | 41 km |
| 2011 | UNNAMED | 8,424 | 18 km |
| 2014 | BURN UNIT 057 | 8,381 | 37 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 51°F (11°C) | 5.2 in | Coldest |
| February | 53°F (12°C) | 4.7 in | |
| March | 60°F (16°C) | 5.6 in | |
| April | 66°F (19°C) | 3.7 in | |
| May | 73°F (23°C) | 4.4 in | |
| June | 79°F (26°C) | 5.8 in | |
| July | 81°F (27°C) | 7.4 in | Warmest, Wettest |
| August | 81°F (27°C) | 6.5 in | |
| September | 78°F (25°C) | 5.5 in | |
| October | 68°F (20°C) | 3.3 in | |
| November | 60°F (16°C) | 3.2 in | Driest |
| December | 53°F (12°C) | 3.9 in |
Lake Mystic has a seasonal temperature swing of 29°F / from 51°F in January to 81°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 59.3 inches, with July being the wettest month (7.4") and November the driest (3.2").