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Weather & Climate in St. Paul, AR
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
St. Paul enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F (16°C). Winters average 38°F in January while summers reach 81°F in July. The area gets 301 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Annual precipitation totals 52.2 inches (wetter than the 38-inch national average). Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 43. The city sits at an elevation of 1,661 feet.
Temperature
38°F Jan (4°C)
81°F Jul (27°C)
| Annual Average | 60.2°F |
| 11% above US avg | |
| January Average | 38°F (4°C) |
| July Average | 81°F (27°C) |
| Sunny Days | 301 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 1,661 ft (506 m) |
| Area | 0.3 sq mi (0.7 km²) |
| Population Density | 178/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 35.8268°N, 93.7673°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Franklin County County |
| Nearest Airport | Northwest Arkansas Ntl (XNA) 44 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 43.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Low |
| Risk Score | 49.4 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 94.8 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 18.3 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High |
| Drought | Relatively Low |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Very Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
220 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.7.
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.7 | 142 km | 3 km |
| May 4, 2001 | 8 km NNW of Holland, Arkansas | M4.3 | 148 km | 8 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M4.1 | 140 km | 6 km |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 142 km | 6 km |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.9 | 141 km | 5 km |
| Jun 4, 2014 | 3 km ESE of Fairfield Bay, Arkansas | M3.8 | 140 km | 0 km |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.8 | 142 km | 6 km |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 km NE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.7 | 142 km | 6 km |
| Sep 12, 2019 | 13 km N of Big Flat, Arkansas | M3.7 | 127 km | 18 km |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.6 | 140 km | 4 km |
| Jun 11, 2017 | 6 km NNE of Bergman, Arkansas | M3.6 | 93 km | 6 km |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.6 | 141 km | 5 km |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 km NW of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 140 km | 6 km |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 140 km | 6 km |
| Nov 15, 1990 | 16 km NNW of Hector, Arkansas | M3.5 | 70 km | 29 km |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 142 km | 7 km |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 0 km N of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 141 km | 7 km |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.5 | 141 km | 6 km |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 4 km NNE of Greenbrier, Arkansas | M3.4 | 141 km | 7 km |
| May 24, 2013 | 16 km WSW of Center Ridge, Arkansas | M3.4 | 112 km | 6 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990–2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
477 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF4. Total: 60 fatalities, 981 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| May 24, 2011 | EF4 | 63 km | 45.7 mi | 4 |
| Apr 19, 1968 | EF4 | 83 km | 2.0 mi | 14 |
| May 5, 1960 | EF4 | 87 km | 5.4 mi | 5 |
| Jan 22, 1957 | EF4 | 95 km | 0.1 mi | 10 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 75 km | 21.6 mi | 4 |
| May 25, 2024 | EF3 | 93 km | 7.9 mi | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2022 | EF3 | 48 km | 5.2 mi | 0 |
| May 24, 2011 | EF3 | 50 km | 29.0 mi | 1 |
| Dec 31, 2010 | EF3 | 74 km | 21.1 mi | 4 |
| Mar 12, 2006 | EF3 | 91 km | 25.0 mi | 0 |
| May 4, 1999 | EF3 | 76 km | 38.2 mi | 0 |
| Apr 21, 1996 | EF3 | 79 km | 10.1 mi | 2 |
| Apr 21, 1996 | EF3 | 6 km | 15.0 mi | 2 |
| Nov 22, 1983 | EF3 | 89 km | 19.0 mi | 0 |
| Dec 2, 1982 | EF3 | 57 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF3 | 88 km | 1.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1980 | EF3 | 48 km | 3.6 mi | 0 |
| Mar 26, 1976 | EF3 | 92 km | 16.1 mi | 0 |
| Jun 6, 1974 | EF3 | 28 km | 11.7 mi | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1973 | EF3 | 66 km | 7.8 mi | 1 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950–2024, US only).
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (15,318 acres, 2000).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2000 | UNNAMED | 15,318 | 72 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 14,993 | 42 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 14,774 | 16 km |
| 1998 | UNNAMED | 13,929 | 73 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 11,929 | 72 km |
| 2024 | RX FOUCHE VALLEY | 10,912 | 100 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 9,385 | 97 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 9,368 | 42 km |
| 2018 | UNNAMED | 9,226 | 76 km |
| 2017 | MIDDLE RIDGE | 8,501 | 82 km |
| 2003 | UNNAMED | 8,286 | 77 km |
| 2014 | UNNAMED | 7,945 | 94 km |
| 2016 | UNNAMED | 7,919 | 11 km |
| 2013 | UNNAMED | 7,804 | 11 km |
| 2003 | UNNAMED | 7,415 | 26 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 7,344 | 11 km |
| 2007 | UNNAMED | 6,657 | 80 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 6,457 | 81 km |
| 2001 | UNNAMED | 6,354 | 66 km |
| 2010 | SPUD ROCK CENTRAL | 6,117 | 22 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 38°F (4°C) | 2.5 in | Coldest, Driest |
| February | 40°F (5°C) | 3.0 in | |
| March | 49°F (9°C) | 4.7 in | |
| April | 57°F (14°C) | 4.7 in | |
| May | 64°F (18°C) | 5.6 in | Wettest |
| June | 72°F (22°C) | 4.4 in | |
| July | 81°F (27°C) | 3.3 in | Warmest |
| August | 76°F (24°C) | 3.3 in | |
| September | 69°F (21°C) | 4.4 in | |
| October | 59°F (15°C) | 4.2 in | |
| November | 47°F (9°C) | 4.7 in | |
| December | 39°F (4°C) | 3.8 in |
St. Paul has a seasonal temperature swing of 43°F / from 38°F in January to 81°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 48.5 inches, with May being the wettest month (5.6") and January the driest (2.5").