Weather & Climate in Toluca, IL
Temperature, precipitation, air quality, natural hazards, and monthly weather data.
Toluca experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 51°F (11°C). Winters average 24°F in January while summers reach 75°F in July. Annual precipitation totals 37.1 inches. The area receives 18.4 inches of snow annually, a moderate snowfall amount. The city sits at an elevation of 689 feet.
Temperature
24°F Jan (-4°C)
75°F Jul (24°C)
| Annual Average | 51.2°F |
| 5% below US avg | |
| January Average | 24°F (-4°C) |
| July Average | 75°F (24°C) |
Geography
| Elevation | 689 ft (210 m) |
| Area | 0.4 sq mi (1.1 km²) |
| Population Density | 1,239/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 41.0044°N, 89.1339°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Marshall County County |
| Nearest Airport | Illinois Valley Regional-Walter A Duncan Field (VYS) 24 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Air Quality
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Very Low |
| Risk Score | 27.2 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 45.7 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 92.1 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado | Relatively Low |
| Hurricane | Very Low |
| Earthquake | Very Low |
| Wildfire | Very Low |
| Flood | Relatively Low |
| Hail | Very Low |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate |
| Heat Wave | Very Low |
| Winter Weather | Very Low |
| Lightning | Very Low |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low |
| Landslide | Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
8 earthquakes (M2.5+) recorded within 150 km since 1990. Strongest on record: M4.2.
| Jun 28, 2004 | 12 km NW of Dayton, Illinois | M4.2 | 54 km | 10 km |
| Feb 10, 2010 | 2 km NW of Lily Lake, Illinois | M3.8 | 120 km | 10 km |
| Sep 2, 1999 | 8 km W of Amboy, Illinois | M3.5 | 84 km | 5 km |
| Nov 4, 2013 | 1 km SSW of Lyons, Illinois | M3.2 | 141 km | 1 km |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 2 km WNW of Somonauk, Illinois | M3.1 | 80 km | 10 km |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 km WNW of Lake in the Hills, Illinois | M2.9 | 146 km | 6 km |
| Jun 10, 2013 | 4 km NNE of Virgil, Illinois | M2.6 | 121 km | 5 km |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 6 km W of Dwight, Illinois | M2.6 | 54 km | 5 km |
Source: USGS Earthquake Catalog (M2.5+, 1990-2025). Sorted by magnitude.
Tornado History
700 tornadoes (EF0+) recorded within 100 km since 1950. Strongest on record: EF5. Total: 58 fatalities, 1,030 injuries.
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Fatalities |
| Aug 28, 1990 | EF5 | 100 km | 16.4 mi | 29 |
| Apr 9, 2015 | EF4 | 95 km | 30.1 mi | 2 |
| Nov 17, 2013 | EF4 | 56 km | 46.4 mi | 3 |
| Jul 13, 2004 | EF4 | 28 km | 9.6 mi | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1979 | EF4 | 95 km | 5.4 mi | 0 |
| May 5, 1977 | EF4 | 85 km | 7.3 mi | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1976 | EF4 | 57 km | 4.9 mi | 0 |
| Apr 17, 1963 | EF4 | 89 km | 57.3 mi | 1 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | EF3 | 22 km | 17.8 mi | 0 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | EF3 | 39 km | 11.5 mi | 2 |
| Jun 22, 2015 | EF3 | 71 km | 16.3 mi | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2010 | EF3 | 36 km | 8.6 mi | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2004 | EF3 | 30 km | 15.8 mi | 8 |
| May 10, 2003 | EF3 | 75 km | 17.5 mi | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1996 | EF3 | 78 km | 9.4 mi | 0 |
| May 13, 1995 | EF3 | 93 km | 25.0 mi | 0 |
| May 9, 1995 | EF3 | 65 km | 22.0 mi | 0 |
| Apr 27, 1984 | EF3 | 91 km | 9.0 mi | 1 |
| Apr 2, 1982 | EF3 | 97 km | 12.0 mi | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1977 | EF3 | 65 km | 6.1 mi | 0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center (EF0+, 1950-2024, US only).
Wildfire History
4 wildfires (100+ acres) recorded within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (1,741 acres, 2019).
| Year | Name | Acres Burned | Distance |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 1,741 | 91 km |
| 2019 | UNNAMED | 1,664 | 95 km |
| 2021 | MIDDLE GRANT CREEK | 700 | 92 km |
| 2017 | UNNAMED | 549 | 91 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN Wildfire Records (100+ acres).
Monthly Weather
| Month | Avg Temperature | Precipitation | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 24°F (-4°C) | 1.9 in | Coldest |
| February | 28°F (-2°C) | 1.6 in | Driest |
| March | 39°F (4°C) | 2.4 in | |
| April | 51°F (10°C) | 3.8 in | |
| May | 63°F (17°C) | 4.5 in | Wettest |
| June | 72°F (22°C) | 4.1 in | |
| July | 75°F (24°C) | 3.8 in | Warmest |
| August | 73°F (23°C) | 3.9 in | |
| September | 66°F (19°C) | 3.5 in | |
| October | 54°F (12°C) | 3.1 in | |
| November | 41°F (5°C) | 2.8 in | |
| December | 30°F (-1°C) | 1.9 in |
Toluca has a seasonal temperature swing of 51°F / from 24°F in January to 75°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 37.1 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.5") and February the driest (1.6").