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Manteca, CA
Full City Profile · California · San Joaquin County County
2.9
/5.0
C+
Fair
86,521
Population
3,974/sq mi density
$94,718
Median Income
$37,326 per capita
$561,200
Home Value
$583,668 Zillow
$1,934
Median Rent
32.6% income on rent
61°F
Avg Temperature
322 sunny days/yr
238
Violent Crime/100K
2,213 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.9 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.5 / 5.0
$94,718 median income, 4.0% unemployment
B
Affordability
3.3 / 5.0
$561,200 home value, $1,934/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
238 violent crimes/100K
C+
Education
2.7 / 5.0
20.9% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+27.4%
71,890 → 91,614
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+2.45%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+54.1%
$61,458 → $94,718
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.42%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Manteca across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
108,529
+16,915 from 2023 (91,614)
Projected Median Income 2030
$128,209
+$33,491 from 2023 ($94,718)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 71,890 | — | $61,458 | — |
| 2015 | 75,074 | +4.4% | $62,364 | +1.5% |
| 2017 | 79,150 | +5.4% | $68,019 | +9.1% |
| 2019 | 83,286 | +5.2% | $72,867 | +7.1% |
| 2021 | 85,792 | +3% | $82,538 | +13.3% |
| 2023 | 91,614 | +6.8% | $94,718 | +14.8% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.