Merced, CA
Full City Profile · California · Merced County County
2.4
/5.0
C
Fair
89,766
Population
3,861/sq mi density
$59,938
Median Income
$26,140 per capita
$347,700
Home Value
$393,170 Zillow
$1,293
Median Rent
32.0% income on rent
63°F
Avg Temperature
327 sunny days/yr
644
Violent Crime/100K
2,793 property/100K
C
Overall
2.4 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C+
Economy
2.7 / 5.0
$59,938 median income, 7.6% unemployment
B
Affordability
3.4 / 5.0
$347,700 home value, $1,293/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
644 violent crimes/100K (69% above avg)
C
Education
2.4 / 5.0
18.0% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+17.1%
80,461 → 94,190
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+1.59%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+58.5%
$37,822 → $59,938
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+4.71%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Merced across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
105,187
+10,997 from 2023 (94,190)
Projected Median Income 2030
$82,722
+$22,784 from 2023 ($59,938)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 80,461 | — | $37,822 | — |
| 2015 | 81,506 | +1.3% | $37,627 | -0.5% |
| 2017 | 82,467 | +1.2% | $40,704 | +8.2% |
| 2019 | 84,678 | +2.7% | $45,232 | +11.1% |
| 2021 | 89,308 | +5.5% | $52,305 | +15.6% |
| 2023 | 94,190 | +5.5% | $59,938 | +14.6% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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